Messy week ahead with a high to our south and an easterly trough dominating. Tonight an upper trough approaches from the SW with light rain developing across Bass Strait and parts of Vic. Models in complete disagreement for totals (e.g., CMC has zilch for Melbourne while EC has locally near 10mm).
Instability lingers through Monday in the northeast, then as the week progresses becomes more general. Quite unclear how the week will end, with EC and ACCESS bring down the EC-TC with heavy rain. CMC pulls most the TC residuals to the south and gives us a hot mostly dry end to the week while GFS sits inbetween.
Is one of the more frustrating set up for consistency in the models and between model runs, so obviously a huge amount of uncertainty. Based on current runs, FC could see anywhere between 6mm and 60mm
for the week.