VIC: Hot and humid with some storms - January 24 to 31 2018

[stevco123]

Looks like development has started in the inner western suburbs (ahead of that band tat has been drifting in from western VIC.

[StratoBendigo]

Northerly wind is picking up here. 32/18 at present. I hope we get decent rain tonight.

Things are looking ominous for the South Island of NZ. That should suck a bit of heat out of the Tasman Sea.

[Gordon]

EC predicting 1-1.5m of snow for Mt Cook from that storm!

Back to Victoria, and we've got 27C and DP18C. Sky looks ominous, if that counts for anything .

(The funny little local weather app on my phone (The Weather Channel) promises a one hundred percent chance of a thunderstorm by 1pm...)

[Sean]

Well, Darwin has already surpassed our yearly average in less than a month...

Starting to spit outside, but only lightly. Very muggy conditions. Hope something good eventuates, everything is so bloody dry

[Horts]

Just drove from Mt Waverley to Safety Beach through what looked on radar like a rain band, but nothing, not a drop

[Skywalker]

. EC after being keen has halved totals on it's latest run and has little on the change, and most post front.

Just going back to what you mentioned earlier this morning HB, I reckon EC will be spot on. That's my feeling anyway, happy to be proven wrong as we are absolutely desperate for a decent drink.

[James]

where are all the storms?
EDIT: i see one is sparking near geelong now

[WeatherViewer]

Feels like Singapore in Melbourne right now.

Is that the official cool change hitting Geelong right now? Will it make it's way up the bay or stall?

[Hunter1890]

@WV Yup, barely much of a cool change but it will only be a few degrees cooler. It will make its way up the bay and hit the metro area in the next hour or so. It will still however, be very muggy and we won't feel the fresh cool air until tomorrow around late morning.

//EDIT

I would say it's a "pre" cool change, where the main change will come through tomorrow, to answer your question!

//2nd EDIT

Looks like a SWW has been issued for West and South Gippy and on the ranges for heavy rainfall. Am hoping for at least 10 mm for my neck of the woods (metro area)

[Skywalker]

Change has arrived here.
Have opened everything up here at work to flush out the warehouse. Been shocking conditions to work in today.

[Jake Smethurst]

No storm chart from me today, but radar confirming some rapid development of cells to the west of Melbourne around Ballarat and Ararat areas, and much closer to Geelong a cell appeared earlier. Should be an interesting afternoon before hopefully some nice rain tonight. It’s a very much watch the radar/satellite/obs kind of day.

[jmw2207]

Nice line starting to develop from broken hill down to ballarat.....fingers crossed

[Gordon]

No storm chart from me today, but radar confirming some rapid development of cells to the west of Melbourne around Ballarat and Ararat areas, and much closer to Geelong a cell appeared earlier. Should be an interesting afternoon before hopefully some nice rain tonight. It’s a very much watch the radar/satellite/obs kind of day.

Some impressive storms shooting up near here and to the NW; surprised there's no STW for heavy rain at least as some seem quite slow moving.

Edit: torrential rain here now and power is out.
Edit again: 4mm in 4 minutes.

[Vic]

The area between Blackwood and Avalon is really starting to fill up with activity on the radar, hopefully it leads to something

[Hunter1890]

EC spot on for where the storms were to develop

[Vic]

BOM has issued a severe thunderstorm warning for most of the central district

[Gordon]

Some impressive storms shooting up near here and to the NW; surprised there's no STW for heavy rain at least as some seem quite slow moving.

Edit: torrential rain here now and power is out.
Edit again: 4mm in 4 minutes.

Must've read my post http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDV21033.shtml

[Jake Smethurst]

Severe Thunderstorm Warning
for HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in parts of Central, East Gippsland, South West, North Central and West and South Gippsland Forecast Districts.

Issued at 4:34 pm Monday, 29 January 2018.

Weather Situation:
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding in the warning area over the next several hours. Locations which may be affected include Maryborough, Ballarat, Melbourne, Wonthaggi, Bacchus Marsh and Bairnsdale.

Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area
for HEAVY RAINFALL
For people in Port Phillip, Western and parts of Mornington Peninsula, Inner, Northern and Geelong and Bellarine Peninsula Local Warning Areas.

Issued at 4:40 pm Monday, 29 January 2018.

The Bureau of Meteorology warns that, at 4:35 pm, severe thunderstorms were detected on the weather radar near Lara and Melton.

These thunderstorms are moving towards the southeast.

They are forecast to affect St Albans, Sunbury and Werribee by 5:05 pm and Craigieburn, Footscray, Melbourne City and Rosebud by 5:35 pm.

Heavy rainfall that may lead to flash flooding is likely.

[Chritc]

I think we (in and around Melbourne) need to prepare for what now looks like a major storm/rain event!!! The next 12 hours look significant.

[Horts]

Steady thunder on the peninsula now!

Here we gooo!!!