Welcome New Members! We want to hear from you. Register, stop lurking and start posting!

Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Archived topics from the General Weather Discussion board.
G
Gordon
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2878
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Gordon »

STW for Heavy Rainfall now issued for Bendigo and Castlemaine... storms creeping south, will they make it here? BOM thinks not. So close!
S
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2802
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by StratoBendigo »

Flash flooding in parts of Swan Hill atm. They got the bullseye.
A
Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 483
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Adam38 »

Getting some rain here now, Ballarat has had almost 10mm.
G
Gordon
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2878
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Gordon »

5mm here, made it after all!
W
Wilko
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1488
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Moorabbin & Highett, Vic

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Wilko »

Looking forward to some serious storm action tomorrow
Bye the way things are looking dire for Fiji with Cyclone Yasa at major category 5 strength :o
G
Gordon
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2878
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Gordon »

Models and BOM forecast zilch for us and Ballarat today, so who knows what we can expect tomorrow? :?
S
Sean
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Reactions:
Posts: 999
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:35 pm
Location: Patterson Lakes - SE Melb

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Sean »

Wilko wrote: Wed Dec 16, 2020 9:51 pm Looking forward to some serious storm action tomorrow
Bye the way things are looking dire for Fiji with Cyclone Yasa at major category 5 strength :o
Not looking good, and this comes after/during the economic downturn relating to covid.

Prospects look better for us re. storms tomorrow, but EC has them favouring gippy, so I expect zilch.
w
wobbie
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 149
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 9:45 pm
Location: Knox

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by wobbie »

Looking a bit blah, save the "chance" of a storm. Bring on January hopefully things kick in then
User avatar
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
Reactions:
Posts: 4964
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
Contact:

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by hillybilly »

Frustrating system and indeed week. Watching so many bands of rain and storms in eastern Australia but zilch here so far. Woken to sit and fog this morning.

Today is our best chance, but doesn’t look great. Showers and storms central and east from mid arvo. Worried about the lack of northerly in the low levels to keep a sea breeze out. That said, the steering is NWly so will push in from the northwest.

There’s quite a strong front for overnight with very moist low levels. Looks very showery/drizzly in the south overnight. Wouldn’t be surprised if we snuck 15mm here from that, though it will thin out away from the coast and ranges.

The troughs are stuck over us now for ten days or more. It’s a heat trough that keeps wiggling back and forth. It deepens on Monday and could get quite showery for two days. The north will stay warm to hot. South mainly warm and quite humid.
M
Mike
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 226
Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:18 pm
Location: Woodend 578m

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Mike »

0.5mm here in the wind last night. Warm damp and light NNE wind here atm. If surface trough roughly between Ararat and Stawell doesn't move we might be in business. Likely it will, initiation here and lots of fun to the east perhaps?
S
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 2802
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by StratoBendigo »

Some places had huge falls yesterday:

Kerang - 35mm
Bet Bet - 93mm :o (that seems an incredible isolated total - Dunolly got 21mm incidentally) I'm questioning it too because Bet Bet Creek nearby did not register any stream rise. Strange.
D
Dane
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1659
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 9:51 am
Location: Sebastopol 420m ASL
Contact:

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Dane »

4.8mm's of Rain overnight, 10mm's at Ballarat Airport.
My Mtd is 21mm's the airport 16.4mm's. Ave for the month is 50mm's.
Humid and sunny for most of this morning but convective cloud
building now. Might get something later, fingers crossed.
w
weathergasm
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 244
Joined: Sun Feb 14, 2010 9:32 pm
Location: Box Hill

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by weathergasm »

Latest skew-t indicates fairly unstable conditions in Melbourne this afternoon, but nothing too crazy. Forecasts for storms today got increasingly marginal in the last 48 hours.
M
Mike
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 226
Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:18 pm
Location: Woodend 578m

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Mike »

Starting to look like development to my ESE (by a fair distance). Will be some decent storms eastward today, not super hopeful for central. Hope for 1 or 2mm of mizzle tonight if not bagging a shower this arvo.

Edit: Actually pretty solid development to my SSW as well
User avatar
hillybilly
Site Admin/Moderator
Reactions:
Posts: 4964
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Howden Tasmania, 25m above sea level
Contact:

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by hillybilly »

First cells gone up :D steering out of the northwest. EC had it happening right about now, so seems to have a good handle.

Now waiting to see how the convection and sea breeze interact. With NWly steering it often can ride over the sea breeze, and even strengthen.

Putrid and calm up here. 23C with DP of 18C :?
User avatar
BigTom
Cumulus
Reactions:
Posts: 84
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 9:01 pm
Location: Caroline Springs, Victoria

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by BigTom »

Boom of thunder n heavy rain here in the western suburbs :o
S
Skywalker
Supercell
Reactions:
Posts: 1869
Joined: Sun Nov 29, 2009 10:03 am
Location: Burnside Heights/Cowes (Home) & Sunshine West (Work)

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Skywalker »

Just scored a direct hit from that cell. Thunder & heavy rain here at work. :D
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
Q
QldTwister
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 424
Joined: Tue May 22, 2012 7:56 pm
Location: Ashwood Vic

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by QldTwister »

Hot, Humid, Hazy solid convection looks great out there wish we had more days like this

Wish still had a nice NE wind the Sly worries me but otherwise nice to see some stroms around in the coming hours :D :D

Big stroms well esat of Melb love to be under one rain will be very heavy
Bring on the heat and stroms
f
flyfisher
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 250
Joined: Wed Jul 18, 2012 1:39 pm
Location: Belgrave
Contact:

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by flyfisher »

Storms disintegrating into the Seabreeze. Seabreeze is not that strong either.
A
Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Reactions:
Posts: 483
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Re: Becoming hot then rain and storms: Dec 13-20

Post by Adam38 »

Just had a quick thunderstorm here, 5mm and now the sun is out making it very steamy!!
Locked