Trough and front: 10-12 November

[hillybilly]

Btw couple of black core right movers south of Bendigo. Long way out from radar so must be nasty. Looking at the amateur networks some spots nearing 40mm up there for the arvo

[James]

great, lets see what happens tonight then.. I am slowly learning!

[Chritc]

There are no guarantees with the weather however, just have to take what you get delivered. High based rumbles here in Gardenvale at the moment.

[Didjman]

Look for more storms to fire along the current dry line moving through the Otways. Could impact Melbourne around 9-10pm if they develop.

Radar is indicating backbuilding along the dry line NW of Melb

[hillybilly]

Wind is howling up here now, coming out of the NNE. Nearby aws showing 80km/hr gusts.

Couple of spots near Bendigo showing near 50mm. Waiting on the next band of storms to be thrown into central.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Just got comfy in the normal sleeping room.
Now located in the not so comfy lounge.. yes some big gusts

[snowfall]

Quite a few rumbles of thunder here this afternoon and evening. 6.5mm so far. Currently raining but looks like it may be over for here soon.

[Didjman]

Is that a vnotch to my NW??????

[Chritc]

Yes. V notch, extremely dangerous.

[Skywalker]

Another ho hum event here, 1-2mm here earlier if that.

Moving on....

[Didjman]

Bom Sev Wx confirmed V Notch which dissipated on passing over the ranges. No real wind here. Max rain rate 54.5mm/hr here as it passed over.

[James]

heard a rumble earlier but it seems thats it, is it really supposed to fire after midnight? - how is it triggered?

[Didjman]

Bom Sev Wx confirmed V Notch which dissipated on passing over the ranges. No real wind here. Max rain rate 54.5mm/hr here as it passed over.

I am glad it was fast moving and the temp was only 17c - as it passed right overhead!

[Chritc]

Chances are fading now as storms failed to initiate. I think it can be put down as another near miss for the metro Melbourne area.

[stevco123]

Chance is still there until daybreak

[snowfall]

7.6mm here in the end. Don’t think we’ll be seeing anything more in these parts. The total is fairly close to overall model predictions though.

[hillybilly]

heard a rumble earlier but it seems thats it, is it really supposed to fire after midnight? - how is it triggered?

Always worth a look at the the EC meteogram (https://www.windy.com/-37.910/145.415?r ... ,145.767,7). While it’s just one model it is a good starting spot for understanding storm potential.

Storm chances were always fading after mid-night give or take. Will fire up again today, but only out east.

We’ve got a swly change later today so will see a few more showers. The air mass is quite damp, so expecting showers to be better around topography. This airstream continues til about Saturday PM.

10mm in the gauge this morning. That’s about double the progs so happy. Not a drought breaker, but keeps the garden fresh and tops the tanks up.

[Didjman]

We received 14mm (mostly from that dying supercell).

[Mike]

16.5mm here, thunder off and on from 2pm till 9pm. Good day!

[StratoBendigo]

21mm here in the end. Sedgwick just 10km South of here had 43mm.