Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.

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James
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 907
Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia Central

Wed Oct 28, 2020 3:43 pm

is there a sea breeze keeping it from coming more into the eastern suburbs?
Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 376
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:12 pm

Very dark to my NW here ⚡️⚡️
stevco123
Supercell
Posts: 2494
Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2010 7:42 pm
Location: Cranbourne West 53m asl

Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:21 pm

Next to no chance making it into the metro area.
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Hawker
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 402
Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 7:49 pm
Location: Castlemaine

Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:22 pm

Just started raining here, I didn't think it would make it here today!
Mike
Cumulus
Posts: 44
Joined: Sat Nov 10, 2018 2:18 pm
Location: Woodend 578m

Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:40 pm

5.8mm and remaining very black to my west and increasingly around to my SSW , some localised heavy totals I would think
wobbie
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 138
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 9:45 pm
Location: Knox

Wed Oct 28, 2020 4:59 pm

BOM just tweeted this
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Blackie
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 459
Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 9:36 pm
Location: Elwood and Mansfield Victoria
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Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:09 pm

A little time lapse of the cu development today around here.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8WV697F0RJ8

Best looking sky so far this Spring. Hoping for a repeat tomorrow and Friday.
WeatherViewer
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 361
Joined: Fri Oct 19, 2012 5:57 pm
Location: Truganina

Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:17 pm

Nice cell just popped up over in the eastern suburbs, near Clayton and Glen Waverley :o
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Posts: 1885
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Wed Oct 28, 2020 6:43 pm

2.5 mm this afternoon under a Cu. Rather humid atm.
Hawker
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 402
Joined: Tue Jul 10, 2012 7:49 pm
Location: Castlemaine

Wed Oct 28, 2020 6:47 pm

8mm here watered what garden I have, lol
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hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 3894
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
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Wed Oct 28, 2020 8:51 pm

Got a great little storm 5-10km northwest of here, but not a drop of rain. Lots of rumbles. Local falls to near 10mm around Ringwood and Bayswater.

Tomorrow looks like a repeat, as does Friday.

Mini burst of heat to start next week. Gonna be a bit of a shock.
Gordon
Supercell
Posts: 2314
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Wed Oct 28, 2020 10:10 pm

Some big storms here earlier; we scored 12mm and 25mm just down the road.
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Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
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Location: FTG
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Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:03 am

My son enjoyed watching yesterday explode on the radar..
Couple of rumbles grey skies full stop..

So glad that wind has eased.. slept in a real bed,
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hillybilly
Senior Moderator
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Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
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Thu Oct 29, 2020 6:45 am

Trough over eastern Vic and trough over western Vic today. Complex set up with lots of showers and storm, though light wind will tend to keep them away from the coastal fringe.

Expect them to fire from early arvo. Could get 0.2 or 20mm here. Looks better on the ranges to the east.

Repeat on Friday. There is quite a strong low that’s going to drift across northern Vic, becoming an ECL for the weekend off, about, Gabo Island. More good falls to wrap into Gippsland.
stevco123
Supercell
Posts: 2494
Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2010 7:42 pm
Location: Cranbourne West 53m asl

Thu Oct 29, 2020 12:34 pm

Developing overhead. Me thinks radar will explode very shortly with nice colours
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1239
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Thu Oct 29, 2020 1:32 pm

Yes very connective overhead...about to explode
weathergasm
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 149
Joined: Sun Feb 14, 2010 9:32 pm
Location: Elwood home, CBD work

Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:04 pm

Fairly iffy instability around Melbourne according the most recent Skew-T, I’d expect these thundery showers on the radar to collapse very quickly once the sun gets a bit lower.
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Didjman
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Location: Wallan, Vic 328m ASL
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Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:25 pm

weathergasm wrote:
Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:04 pm
Fairly iffy instability around Melbourne according the most recent Skew-T, I’d expect these thundery showers on the radar to collapse very quickly once the sun gets a bit lower.
When I saw it at lunchtime on the BoM site and looked at the sky - Nah, no storms b4 the front maximum!
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1239
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Thu Oct 29, 2020 5:50 pm

That’s a disappointing afternoon :x
James
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 907
Joined: Wed Nov 25, 2009 6:10 pm
Location: Boronia Central

Thu Oct 29, 2020 7:01 pm

still yet to hear a rumble of thunder here so far this season
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