Vic - Humid & Potential for Rain: Feb 5-20, 2020

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.

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Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 354
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Tue Feb 18, 2020 1:14 pm

Here it comes ⛈️⛈️⛈️

Edit: 12mm in 10 minutes, heaps of lighting.
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hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 3757
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
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Tue Feb 18, 2020 1:45 pm

Heavy rain in the CBD down and viz right down. This will add up quickly.

The eastern burbs are starting to fill in nicely on radar while the showers in the cold air part of this developing low are moving up on Mt Gambier. Quite the classic mid latitude cyclogenesis. Not often you get this type of system in mid February, but when you do the very warm ocean temperatures mean that are very effective rain producers.
tonycynic
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 418
Joined: Tue Feb 15, 2011 5:57 pm
Location: Mount Evelyn (h),Donvale (w)

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:08 pm

Torrential rain here in Doveton. Very loud in the warehouse.
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1213
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:10 pm

15mm and absolutely torrential now
Looks like brief clearance then buckle up for later hopefully
Gordon
Supercell
Posts: 2272
Joined: Thu Jun 17, 2010 10:01 am
Location: Near Gordon, Vic. 620 m asl

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:17 pm

hillybilly wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 1:45 pm
Heavy rain in the CBD down and viz right down. This will add up quickly.

The eastern burbs are starting to fill in nicely on radar while the showers in the cold air part of this developing low are moving up on Mt Gambier. Quite the classic mid latitude cyclogenesis. Not often you get this type of system in mid February, but when you do the very warm ocean temperatures mean that are very effective rain producers.
This from BOM twitter a couple of hours ago (my bold):
'Storms moving across #Melbourne atm. This pattern will continue throughout the day today: storms moving through, periods of quieter weather, then more storms developing. The most significant storms are likely around 4-6pm.'


Will these storms be associated with what we can see on the radar moving up through the southwest, or will they form up in the clear air between the two bands?
StratoBendigo
Supercell
Posts: 1826
Joined: Fri Jan 02, 2015 2:18 pm
Location: Kangaroo Flat

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:18 pm

All over here. Perhaps 0.4 mm.
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Tempest
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 134
Joined: Sat Aug 14, 2010 8:34 pm
Location: Warragul North, Vic... 140m asl

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:20 pm

Looks like it's lining us up for another battering. I probably should have left the driveway in the backyard for a couple more days. Ha! :?
wolfcat
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 562
Joined: Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:14 pm
Location: Bentleigh East
Contact:

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:20 pm

Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Image
Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 354
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:26 pm

There is a lot cloud building up again and the sun is out.
Sean
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 879
Joined: Mon Feb 27, 2012 6:35 pm
Location: Patterson Lakes - SE Melb

Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:30 pm

Decent drink here. About 11mm. More of a thundery band down this way but very much welcome.
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Australis(Shell3155)
Supercell
Posts: 2682
Joined: Mon Nov 30, 2009 8:05 pm
Location: FTG
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Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:32 pm

Tempest wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:20 pm
Looks like it's lining us up for another battering. I probably should have left the driveway in the backyard for a couple more days. Ha! :?
Yes I just mowed my driveway that was spread all over the front lawn..
could make good potting mix out of some sections around here.
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Didjman
Moderator
Posts: 1786
Joined: Fri Sep 03, 2010 2:52 pm
Location: Wallan, Vic 328m ASL
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Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:50 pm

wolfcat wrote:
Tue Feb 18, 2020 2:20 pm
Severe Thunderstorm Warning

Image
Wallan got slammed by >20cg's! I was at work in Tulla where we just got a bit of heavy rain
stevco123
Supercell
Posts: 2457
Joined: Sat Aug 07, 2010 7:42 pm
Location: Cranbourne West 53m asl

Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:21 pm

With 15mm of rain, humidity of 91% and a sun trying to peak through, it will very shortly feel like you've stepped into a sauna
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1213
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:28 pm

Nice drop 21mm
Bring on the next round :D
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Onetahuti
Supercell
Posts: 2707
Joined: Thu Mar 25, 2010 9:37 pm
Location: Dandenong Nth.

Tue Feb 18, 2020 3:42 pm

20.6mm in the PWS.
That heavy for a time I had to raise my voice more than usual while calling bingo at the nursing home.
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1213
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Tue Feb 18, 2020 4:09 pm

Major instability to the SW near Colac
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hillybilly
Senior Moderator
Posts: 3757
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 7:26 am
Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
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Tue Feb 18, 2020 4:10 pm

Took a while to get going, but ended in a hurry. Scored 19.8mm. Locally, 15-20mm across the southern Dandenongs with the top fall just west of me with a 22mm near The Basin.

Now waiting for part 2.
wolfcat
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 562
Joined: Sun Mar 07, 2010 12:14 pm
Location: Bentleigh East
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Tue Feb 18, 2020 4:13 pm

Round 2 coming along just nicely

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Adam38
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 354
Joined: Tue Jul 31, 2018 1:57 pm
Location: Bacchus Marsh

Tue Feb 18, 2020 4:58 pm

Thunder rumbling again.
Wilko
Supercell
Posts: 1213
Joined: Wed Aug 11, 2010 12:08 pm
Location: Highett, Vic

Tue Feb 18, 2020 5:25 pm

Down at Sandringham
Booming constant in the distance
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