Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020

Event discussion and analysis for Victoria and Tasmania, including day to day weather.

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hillybilly
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Location: Ferny Creek 560m and Walkerville 100m
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:05 pm

Under the anvil from the storm entering the Yarra Valley. Just hearing the first rumbles. The bigger cells are tapping the shear and look to be rotating cyclonicly into the sea breeze.

Lots of chunky Cu sat under the anvil so firing nicely.

EDIT> now getting big booms almost continuous to our north :D sea breeze is really getting sucked into the monster with the southerly picking up here. We should see northerlies push down through the Yarra Valley as the storms edge south and the trough deepens to our west.
Dane
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:07 pm

Looks like a nothing day here. Dew point at the Airport (Ballarat) has dropped below zero, so dry here.
Can just see the tops of those storms NE Of Melbourne.
Locally just a few fair weather Cu around.
Fizzer here I think for today anyway. Again. :x
stevco123
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Location: Cranbourne West 53m asl

Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:11 pm

Ok i take back my comments from earlier. Good old sky watching (as opposed to computer watching) is showing rapid development. Mammatus to my near North-East. Quietly excited. :D :D :D
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Horts
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Location: Safety Beach (Home) / Mount Waverley (Work) / Cowes (Beach House)

Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:12 pm

Ok seabreeze has picked up considerably on the bay.
Hawker
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:12 pm

Same here Dane, flat as a pancake, can see some of the convection to the east,
they look mean on the radar, to some extent I am happy to not be under the worst.
Bom is warning for large hail.
Hopefully some rain tomorrow, but might be in the hole again
stevco123
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:16 pm

From my backyard a few moments ago
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Didjman
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:22 pm

Wow at the satpic!
http://satview.bom.gov.au/
tonycynic
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Location: Mount Evelyn (h),Donvale (w)

Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:22 pm

Hail in Mount Evelyn. Heavy rain too. Only just finished plumbing in the new tanks.
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hillybilly
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:25 pm

Few 20-30mm falls showing up already in the Yarra Valley. Looks to be about fifteen minutes away here. Rumbles are booming to the north :D

Might put the car in the garage :?
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Didjman
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:31 pm

"Seabreeze" has reached up here. Things could get interesting.
stevco123
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:35 pm

Wow, wow and triple wow...

Yep, I'd tend to agree with HB about the car under the carport
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Jake Smethurst
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:40 pm

Awesome pics! Can just start to hear the thunder in Cheltenham!

From Moorabbin DFO.
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Jake - Senior AWF Forecaster
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stevco123
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:45 pm

Slightly dying down as it heads this way so we'll see what happens, but plenty of action behind it
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nafets
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:46 pm

"Possibly Giant Hailstones" in the latest STW for Melbourne Area. Hearing rumbles in the Inner North.
Go the bombersss!
Skywalker
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:51 pm

Just as well we are delaying the trip home from the island, would be driving right through those storms. :o

Instead we will wait here and enjoy the show if they make it down this far.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
stevco123
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:51 pm

I have never seen this with my eyes. Over the space of about 15 minutes the mammatus that was coming in from the north east dissipated and looked like it turned into low cloud that is now coming in from the south east. Some sort of boundary i guess???

And yep in true fashion storms have split into two and will now bypass me. Can here thunder however
Last edited by stevco123 on Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:53 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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flyfisher
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:51 pm

The dangerous thunderstorm at Lillydale is a right mover and drawing away from the Dangenongs. Interesting interactions with the seabreeze. Rumbles here but not expecting much from this first band. NE is not usually a good direction for Belgrave.
SC.
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:55 pm

Constant rumbles here for the last 5 mins. Just put my car in the garage.
Matt

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Adam38
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Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:56 pm

Cloud is really starting build up here now, humidity has gone up too.
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Onetahuti
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Location: Dandenong Nth.

Sun Jan 19, 2020 4:05 pm

Closing in on here, as mentioned by others near constant thunder, rain soon. Brought laundry home from nursing home after lunch, happy, it is washed and off the line dry.
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