Victoria: Major upper and surface lows - 12–16 Dec 2018

Hawker · Post by **Hawker** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:20 am

There is a bit of black in that storm moving through Mangalore and Seymour.
I might even get a bit out of it, but don't want any
black on the radar over me!

snowfall · Post by **snowfall** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:22 am

Stayed dry here overnight. A fairly intense looking cell is heading toward the northern side of the Macedon Ranges.

Wilko · Post by **Wilko** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:36 am

JasmineStorm wrote: ↑Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:20 am incoming!! High precip cell that is exploding on the eastern flank into North Central.

That is angry as hell
Lookout Jasmine

Tassiedave · Post by **Tassiedave** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:36 am

Event has finally started here in Tassie: Rain since 9am yesterday: Gray 71mm, Flinders Island Apt 62mm, St Helens 54mm, Eddystone 30mm, Mt Victoria 28mm, Mathinna 26mm

Wilko · Post by **Wilko** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:40 am

Wilko wrote: ↑Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:36 am
JasmineStorm wrote: ↑Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:20 am incoming!! High precip cell that is exploding on the eastern flank into North Central.
That is angry as hell
Lookout Jasmine

Jasmine make sure cars are undercover!

JasmineStorm · Post by **JasmineStorm** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:44 am

Flying eagle signature on the radar on the eastern flank now. It's Super-celling

Helmet on, batteries charged, candles in position

Wilko · Post by **Wilko** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:52 am

JasmineStorm wrote: ↑Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:44 am Flying eagle signature on the radar on the eastern flank now. It's Super-celling

Helmet on, batteries charged, candles in position

Black core

Rapid development

PapaD · Post by **PapaD** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 8:15 am

Intense 10 minute hailstorm at hanging rock. Now looks like it has snowed!

Adam38 · Post by **Adam38** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 8:17 am

That storm looks nasty! I was thinking it will miss me but it’s growing bigger so I’m not to sure now...
everything in waterlogged after yesterday’s storm.
60mm here yesterday with 50mm coming from 1 Thunderstorm and 80mm for the event so far, the average for December is 42mm.

StratoBendigo · Post by **StratoBendigo** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 8:42 am

PapaD wrote: ↑Sat Dec 15, 2018 8:15 am Intense 10 minute hailstorm at hanging rock. Now looks like it has snowed!

Must look spectacular!

We just had a near miss, it went to our South. More development in the Goulburn Valley already so it'll be a fun day today. EC reckons another 25mm over the weekend for us...

flyfisher · Post by **flyfisher** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 8:45 am

Sitting on 20mm for the event - very lucky to even get that. NE is not our direction here. Not expecting anything today infact a good outside day might cut the lawns. Just watching countless storms sail past into western Melbourne. If this was the normal pattern this area would be the "eastern desert".

Anything that remotely looks like getting here gets torn by the main range (Donna Buang) or the north side of the Dandenongs. Perhaps tomorrow when the low shifts south we might scrape a few mm together.

typhoon29 · Post by **typhoon29** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 8:57 am

been a while since I have posted, but so far we have had 70+mm! Another big storm is almost here. Cricket washed out hazzah!

snowfall · Post by **snowfall** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 9:26 am

That cell is sure looking intense. It just missed us here by a couple of km, but rapid rain rates just our north.

Macedonian · Post by **Macedonian** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 9:36 am

We were on the edge of it here as well, Snowfall. Still managed to get a very quick 10mm out of it with hail and loud thunder and eerie green light.
Somewhere near 70mm for the event now. This is my kind of summer. Long may she rain over us.

wolfcat · Post by **wolfcat** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 9:43 am

Picked up 18mm overnight, 16 of it as a cell went over at 3:40am.

Up to 56mm for the event now.

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 9:46 am

Macedonian wrote: ↑Sat Dec 15, 2018 9:36 am We were on the edge of it here as well, Snowfall. Still managed to get a very quick 10mm out of it with hail and loud thunder and eerie green light.
Somewhere near 70mm for the event now. This is my kind of summer. Long may she rain over us.

Not often I hope a storm will miss, but glad that thing went south of us. Too much black!

JasmineStorm · Post by **JasmineStorm** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:03 am

Cracker of a storm. 15mm in 10 min, hail, constant strobe lightning, wall cloud. Airport recorded a gust of 74 km/h. Worst part was on the eastern flank, SE of here. Now up to 35mm, trying to catch up with the rest of the thread

The mothership is still dragging moisture into big parts of Vic. Any little tight convergence, can go off quickly.

Macedonian · Post by **Macedonian** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:37 am

Thats amazing JS. There wasn't any wind here at all.

JasmineStorm · Post by **JasmineStorm** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:42 am

@Macedonian, probably a micoburst on the front of the storm.

Moisture plumes are going up again in the mid levels NE of here.

Melbournian's.... keep a close eye on wind observations bayside. If they continue to swing back to the north this afternoon, there is potential for another local convergence around Melbourne with lots of moisture to feed it. Current DP's near 20c in a few places

stevco123 · Post by **stevco123** » Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:51 am

Zero confidence for ANY rain here today.

Or tomorrow.

The Australian Weather Forum

Victoria: Major upper and surface lows - 12–16 Dec 2018

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