VIC - Sequence of fronts (Part 2): August 14-22 2018

[Tassiedave]

As of 1.00 pm max temp in Launceston has been 6.3 degrees. Record low at current site for August is is 8.1 degrees set in 2004

[hillybilly]

Coldest day of the sequence here today with a max of 6.0C. Certainly felt cold with a brisk wind, mist and fog, showers and even a bit of sleet and graupel around 9am. A day and a half of showery weather coming up, clearing pretty quickly on Wednesday.

The patterns about to shift with highs becoming dominant and the next system going to our north. Mild sunny weather coming up for a week or so. Most of Vic needs another event to get to the long term average, so hopefully we can sneak one more before August 31.

[hillybilly]

Foggy morning up here with the odd spit. A further 7mm overnight. Makes (about) 35mm for the thread. MTD about 90mm so healthy, but still some ways to the long term average.

Maybe the odd shower the next two days then clearing to a few nice spring days. Won’t get too warm , but certainly near 20C is a good chance for a few days on the flatland. Lots of sunshine. Next system going through northern NSW which will finally get some rain

Btw for a giggle look at Ec for day 10. 980 hPa low approaching near the SA/Vic border. Be the biggest system since December last year if that happens

[hillybilly]

A cold spitty and foggy day here in the hills. 0.4mm more rain and a max of 6.8C. About to head into a week of now weather. Weekend weather looks like a good chance to cut those lawns, clean the windows and clean the pool

[JasmineStorm]

some days of calm before the storm maybe.... I haven't seen anything like this modelled since September 2016. Even if it doesn't happen, you don't normally see EC model these within 10 days http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.co ... 97#p106297

[hillybilly]

A foggy drizzly night in the Dandenongs and much of east central. Cloud base was low this morning heading down the hill, say near 300m.

Picked up another 4mm and was still falling thick at ~5am.

>EDIT drizzle really ramped up. Another ~4mm in the gauge in the last couple of hours.

[stevco123]

About 4mm from the constant drizzle that hasn't stopped pretty much all night since 9pm (ish). Was a tiny bit drier going towards Scoresby however

[StratoBendigo]

We managed another 3mm on Monday night, so 17mm from Friday night to Tuesday morning. Much more than the forecast models predicted

Next week looks like a dog's breakfast. Access-G looks interesting with a decent cut-off low over Vic next Tuesday.

[Gordon]

Another 1.5mm here brings us to 32.5mm for the dates and 76mm mtd.

7.5mm to go to make our monthly average; should be a chance despite the upcoming mild/ dry/ light wind spell - which I'm about ready for. (Hope I don't regret saying that!)

[JasmineStorm]

Big models are getting volatile UKmet 2208 00z run dropping a 100mm + waterbomb on East Gippsland next week. These upper lows are starting to cause some atmospheric chaos in the modelling

[stevco123]

Minimum of 2.5 this morning here, with a light frost in parts.

NIce couple of days coming up

[hillybilly]

First sunny day here for a while. Tipped out 4mm from the gauge for yesterday’s drizzle (between 6am and 10am), so MTD in the mid 90s. Fear we are running up out of time to get to average, though models are spraying in different directions next week so who knows.

Latest EC has a very cold airmass coming through on Monday with decent shower and snow to near sea level, while cmc is almost as cold but a bit less rain. Gfs has nothing. Too early to make sense of that