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VIC - Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14 2018

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hillybilly
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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by hillybilly » Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:10 am

Models more or less holding for tomorrow. Freezing level dipping to around 800m, with 850Ts dropping to about -5C (or perhaps a touch lower).

OK rain in southern and mountain areas with 10-15mm in the usual wetter spots. Plains west of Melbourne and north will struggle.

We should see snow in the Dandenongs, but I won't be around to see it :(

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Australis(Shell3155)
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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Australis(Shell3155) » Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:16 am

This may use up the last of the fire wood, thanks for the heads up..

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Skywalker » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:16 am

hillybilly wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:10 am
Plains west of Melbourne and north will struggle.
How unusual, another dud system on the way. :roll:
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by StratoBendigo » Fri Sep 14, 2018 10:38 am

Some interesting temp gradients coming up tonight. 18Z GFS has us going from 18c at 4am, 11c at 10am, and 7c at 4pm. That's going to confuse the Daily Min/Max for tomorrow!

Certainly a very impressive system (temperature wise) for Mid-September coming up, that's for sure.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by hillybilly » Fri Sep 14, 2018 5:59 pm

Going to be a pretty wild 24 hours looking at the progs. Gales, a sharp change, showers then a deep freeze. Should see some snow showers in the Dandenongs.

Unpleasant fire weather conditions to the north :o

I'm flying to Sydney around noon and anticipating quite a "flight" as we cross a ~20C temperature gradient.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Didjman » Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:36 pm

hillybilly wrote:
Fri Sep 14, 2018 5:59 pm
I'm flying to Sydney around noon and anticipating quite a "flight" as we cross a ~20C temperature gradient.
Hope you get some cloud pics if by a window - should be impressive!

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Adam38 » Fri Sep 14, 2018 6:43 pm

Plenty of dust around here today, lawns, nature strips and paddocks have really browned off and is looking more like summer
than early spring.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by hillybilly » Sat Sep 15, 2018 5:48 am

Radar looks pretty underwhelming this morning. Was hoping to see a strong band of showers :?

Going to get cold, but showers look pretty sparse away from the coastal strip and ranges. Should see 5-10mm here, though really need more like 25mm to get September back on track...

Week ahead kind continues the pattern of windy spells, but fronts which are moisture starved and quickly anticyclonic.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Macedonian » Sat Sep 15, 2018 7:59 am

Ah yes. The inevitable downgrade.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Onetahuti » Sat Sep 15, 2018 9:13 am

Change through, temperature dropped quickly, currently 9.3°C and still falling?, Max today will be 18.8°C @ 3:44 AM. Only a spattering of rain thus far.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by mick » Sat Sep 15, 2018 10:10 am

Nice images from Horsham atm

http://auswebcams.com

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Macedonian » Sat Sep 15, 2018 10:18 am

Snowing! 2C

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Didjman » Sat Sep 15, 2018 10:39 am

Definately snow falling out of clouds near Kinglake! Got a good visual from here.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by snowfall » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:15 pm

Temp dropped rapidly here. Currently 3.1c with rain and sleet.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Adam38 » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:27 pm

Wild dust storm driving through Rockbank and Melton at around 1230, very little rain in
that last band of showers.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by Wilko » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:34 pm

TOP PRIORITY FOR IMMEDIATE BROADCAST

Severe Weather Warning
for DAMAGING WINDS
For people in Central, East Gippsland, South West, Northern Country, North Central, North East, West and South Gippsland, Wimmera and parts of Mallee Forecast Districts.

Issued at 1:15 pm Saturday, 15 September 2018.
Gusty showers and thunderstorms across Victoria.
Squally westerly winds averaging 40 to 60 km/hr with peak gusts of 90 to 100 km/hr are possible for the remainder of Saturday, mainly associated with shower and thunderstorm activity.
The strongest winds will contract to the east in the evening and ease early Sunday morning.
Locations which may be affected include Horsham, Warrnambool, Bendigo, Shepparton, Seymour, Maryborough, Ballarat, Geelong, Melbourne, Wodonga, Wangaratta, Traralgon and Bairnsdale.

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by mick » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:39 pm

4y.JPG
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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by JasmineStorm » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:46 pm

Cold convection with that trough currently on the border is cranking. Mt Gambier near sea level went from 11c to 5c in the last 80 minutes :)

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by stevco123 » Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:56 pm

A shower just going through here. Rain mixed with soft hail.
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes

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Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Post by hillybilly » Sat Sep 15, 2018 2:20 pm

15C at 2am and 5C at 2pm. Not sure I’ve seen that before. 4mm so far in FC.

Flying into Sydney was parched. Virga around 30K feet and dusty heat below :o

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