Hi Harley
I am not a storm chaser but the BOM 7 day day wind forecast map overlayed with the temp data and relative humidity data from Australia looks to be very fiery for a broad area including VIC All of SA and western NSW .
Notice the different source of north westerly flow on the saturday and monday.
On saturday the source is particularly interesting as the N/west stream is modified air from the south, which has flowed up into central SA and takes a sharp clockwise turn over VIC and s/western NSW; whereas on the Monday the N/westerly stream comes from a high pressure cell from the east and comes from central NSW
Also note a North west moist cloud band from mid Indian ocean is feeding into the low pressure belt in the southern ocean atm.
I reckon this is going to be a sensational event if the set up suggested by wind, temp and RH forecast maps hold out.
Here is a summary of BOM wind forecast map as this simulation see the hot spots .
I have highlighted the VIC spots
WIND FORECAST MAP
Saturday 17th 10.00am on SA coastline looks a good watch as cool moist winds collide head on with warm dry northerlies. Firecracker time. Got to watch this one!
On man! This set up is looking very interesting from the perspective of the wind forecast map.
A strong southerly flow pushing up well into SA on saturday afternoon 4pm. Cool moist southerlies from the south interacting with very warm dry inland air over SA on saturday arvo.
After the southerly stream reaches inland SA.
The airstream from the south takes a sharp clockwise curve over central parts of SA and the wind stream now a mixture of cold from the south and warm from the north stream down over Northern, north central and VIC and most of western NSW. If this comes off this is going to be amazing weather variable interacting. Ka pow!
This major disturbance takes in a large area of SA /VIC and western NSW
By 10pm the air becomes more stable with still some activity in S/west NSW and central SA. and
along the Murray near about Echuca/Yarrawonga /Albury way.
At the same time a strong front with high winds has encroached on the S/west corner of WA on saturday evening into sunday..all day
Marking saturday afternoon to sit at computer and watch this one.WOW
Monday 4.00am SA is again confronted with another strong front running in a north south line across the whole state from North to south. That change moves across SA from west to east.
Coastal areas expecting the strongest change and stronger winds
By 10.00am that frontal change line extends from mid western NSW to the Victorian coastline.( north /south line)
All areas along this line look impacted. Especially Mildura and the west and N/west of the state.
The forecast areas around the coast of SA and Adelaide continue to experience strong westerlies.
Also western and Swest VIC and western NSW.
A wind change at Bendigo latitude at about 4pm Nwest to west.
However this time the source of the warmer winds is from the high to the east and streams down from central NSW
SA.near Adelaide still continuing with strong frontal change Monday night at 10.pm
Tuesday morning S/west Vic and west Vic and Adelaide area and Melbourne and southern coastal still experiencing strong westerly flows
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