VIC: Early Summer Blast of Heat, and storms - Dec 6-10

StratoBendigo · Post by **StratoBendigo** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 8:05 am

hillybilly wrote: ↑Wed Dec 05, 2018 6:46 pm
I'm trying to work out how Ballarat temps of 14-32 Thursday, 20-34 on Friday, and 18-28 on Saturday, constitute a 'low intensity heatwave
Possible significant system later next week which EC is really keen on.

Yeah, noticed that too. EC still keen this morning but GFS isn't. Something to watch though.

wolfcat · Post by **wolfcat** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 9:19 am

"Well that escalated quickly..."

wolfcat · Post by **wolfcat** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 11:14 am

And 30.0c at 11:09am in the city already.

Opticast is now saying 39 for tomorrow as well.

QldTwister · Post by **QldTwister** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 11:17 am

Great day out there and Hot one tomorrow

Sat through Tues Wed could be hot and stormy on and north of the ranges early next week lucky them

Mild SSE winds here for us i think with trough just to our N and E

More typical December pattern though with Heat and moisture building over the continent

Adam38 · Post by **Adam38** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:04 pm

Some really dry air around Adelaide atm, 8-10% humidity and dew points down to -4c in some parts.

stevco123 · Post by **stevco123** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm

Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

Adam38 · Post by **Adam38** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:28 pm

stevco123 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

It is NewsCorp...

Skywalker · Post by **Skywalker** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 2:26 pm

stevco123 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2

Yep, obviously they have already forgotten what an unprecedented summer scorcher really is. Perhaps they need a trip down memory lane. Black Saturday anyone?

Post by **hillybilly** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 3:37 pm

Skywalker wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 2:26 pm
stevco123 wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 12:25 pm Geez, didn't take long for the media to sensationalise normal summer heat, using word like "Unprecedented"in the article below.

Must be a VERY slow news day.

https://www.news.com.au/technology/envi ... 71732eeee2
Yep, obviously they have already forgotten what an unprecedented summer scorcher really is. Perhaps they need a trip down memory lane. Black Saturday anyone?

My gut feeling is this is about a once every couple of years event for Melbourne for December (nowadays). 40s used to be quite rare in December so if we get one, then it might pop up a bit higher.

I do wonder about the run of 35C at Mildura. A week is a long run in December. I can’t inagine that’s happened often before

Btw some extreme numbers showing up in northern Australia. 45.2C at Wyndham which is barely below their highest on record. Lots of near misses or records in other tropical sites. If that dives south there will be some serious heat

Post by **hillybilly** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 3:39 pm

Looks like a fire gone up near Ballarat on the radar

Emergency warning out for area around Buninyong

Adam38 · Post by **Adam38** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 3:55 pm

hillybilly wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 3:39 pm Looks like a fire gone up near Ballarat on the radar

Emergency warning out for area around Buninyong

I just had one of those Elvis air crane helicopters fly over heading up that way.

Post by **hillybilly** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 4:52 pm

Progs rolling in are looking better for patchy rain trailing the change form late Saturday through Sunday. GFS3 and CMC both have quite widespread 10mm plus falls, and locally over 25mm. Meanwhile stinker tomorrow. Most spots on the flats are going to be close to 40C by the mid arvo. Not a nice day.

They are also picking up something big second half of next week. EC has been keen on this second system for a while, so seems to be firming

stevco123 · Post by **stevco123** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 6:07 pm

hillybilly wrote: ↑Thu Dec 06, 2018 4:52 pm Progs rolling in are looking better for patchy rain trailing the change form late Saturday through Sunday. GFS3 and CMC both have quite widespread 10mm plus falls, and locally over 25mm. Meanwhile stinker tomorrow. Most spots on the flats are going to be close to 40C by the mid arvo. Not a nice day.

They are also picking up something big second half of next week. EC has been keen on this second system for a while, so seems to be firming

Late next week has me interested very much so

snowfall · Post by **snowfall** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 6:59 pm

32.6c as a maximum today. Hottest day in a long time. Still 31c, so it’s going to be a warm night.

Didjman · Post by **Didjman** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 7:58 pm

33.1 top here. Currently 30/12

Adam38 · Post by **Adam38** » Thu Dec 06, 2018 9:42 pm

Just on 37c for me today and currently on 30c.

Post by **hillybilly** » Fri Dec 07, 2018 4:36 am

Min of 23C for us in FC. Going to be a stinker. Anticipate something around 34 or 35C for us which is about 40C equivalent at sea level.

Thankfully just one shocker in this sequence for us in the south, though the front is weak as and will take a day or two to clear through to the east/northeast. No relief for spots like Mildura and Albury till the second half of the weekend

Some showers developing around middle of the day Saturday. Still looks like we should get a few mms.

Progs going big for late next week. CMC and GFS have got widespread 25-75mm falls

Onetahuti · Post by **Onetahuti** » Fri Dec 07, 2018 6:27 am

Overnight min here was 27.4°C no complaints slept well.

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Fri Dec 07, 2018 8:25 am

hillybilly wrote: ↑Fri Dec 07, 2018 4:36 am Some showers developing around middle of the day Saturday. Still looks like we should get a few mms.

Progs going big for late next week. CMC and GFS have got widespread 25-75mm falls

Yes, both the weekend and next week looking quite a bit better on this morning's WATL runs

Skywalker · Post by **Skywalker** » Fri Dec 07, 2018 11:27 am

Currently 35c here in the western desert on the way to a potential 40c.

The Australian Weather Forum

VIC: Early Summer Blast of Heat, and storms - Dec 6-10

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