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VIC - Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31 2018

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StratoBendigo
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VIC - Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31 2018

Post by StratoBendigo »

A Decent cold front is expected early next week. Perhaps just 10mm here.

Interesting to see a big complex Low potentially bomb in the Tasman Sea in the aftermath.
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hillybilly
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by hillybilly »

EC back on for a solid system after falling away on a couple of earlier runs. Looks quite good... general 10-30mm most southern areas, typically 10mm perhaps a bit more north, less as you head into the Mallee. GFS and CMC similar, though models are a bit jumpy from run to run.

Quite cold too. 850Ts below zero most the week so should drop quite a bit of snow in the alps. They look like dipping to about -2 to -3C at their coldest, so perhaps a bit for the top of Macedon and perhaps even down to the level of about Trentham. Looks a degree or two too mild for the Dandenongs.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by hillybilly »

Mild sunny day in FC with a bit of high cloud. Dying trough approaching atm with some decent showers back through SA, but starting to slip south.

Progs are pretty jumpy atm, so not quite sure what to expect the next few days rain wise. Tending to think this will favour the slopes, far west and coastal strip. With rainshowing quite an issue as the troughs are weak and tending to fade.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Dark grey with Mamatus in the west,
Radar confusion..
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by flyfisher »

The Tasman sea is almost back to normal temperature - so hopefully the never-ending run of cut off lows in the Tasman which holds the high back over SE Australia and the bight will cease. Would be nice to get a run of fronts with some NW cloud bands which is looking more likely in June.

This system looks weak currently but may tide us over until something more substantial occurs.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Gordon »

Pleasantly surprised to be getting quite a string of moderate showers this morning - not a lot in total so far, but more than I was expecting this early, this far east.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by StratoBendigo »

No rain here yet. We'll be lucky to get 10 mm here over the coming days.

Looks like anti-cyclonic domination for the first 2 weeks of June. Reminds me of last year :(
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by StratoBendigo »

Just had a shower of rain now the sun is out and the temp has spiked over 20c (hopefully for the last time in months). Ridiculous for late-May, although certainly not the heatwave that late-May 2014 was when we saw 23c.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by stevco123 »

June is usually the most boring winter month anyway (if you count winter as being from the 1st of the month). Late july to early September is what i look forward to.
https://www.weatherlink.com/bulletin/53 ... 76dd68e8bc: for current weather updated every 2 minutes
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by jimmyay »

3 consecutive days over 20 this late in May, first time for a few years.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Tassiedave »

It reached 20 degrees in Tasmania today on May 29th!! Grove 20.9, Friendly Beaches 20.4, Hobart 19.1, Launceston 18.8
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Horts »

Sparks and a lot of them out west! Could we be onto something here?!
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Chritc »

All getting shredded crossing the ranges. Northern slopes and nearby plains may do alright overnight with around 10 mm in spots. Expect more wind and a gusty shower in Melbourne if you are lucky.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by StratoBendigo »

We copped the bullseye of the storm around 2am last night. A very welcome 16mm in the gauge :D
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Didjman »

No storms here but 9mm on the AWS since midnight.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Gordon »

StratoBendigo wrote: Tue May 29, 2018 7:29 am We copped the bullseye of the storm around 2am last night. A very welcome 16mm in the gauge :D
That is good to hear Strato! 11mm here which is way more than I expected and brings our mtd to 105mm - beating our May record of 117mm is slim chance but pleasantly surprised to get this close.
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by snowfall »

Woke up a few times during the night to the sound of heavy rain. Totalled 7mm here, which is also more thann I had expected. I was expecting almost none!
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Macedonian »

17mm at Mt Macedon. Much more than i thought we would receive.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by Macedonian »

And 11mm at work in Macedon.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Cold front and possible East Coast Low - May 28-31

Post by StratoBendigo »

Up to 50mm MTD here. Fairly close to average for May.
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