VIC - Major low and possible cold outbreak: May 7-14 2018

[Tassiedave]

Rainfall in Tas since 9am: Buckland 106mm, Nugent 88 mm, Triabunna 84 mm, Maria Island 81mm, Grove 42mm, Swansea 31 mm, Hobart 26 mm, Deddington 15mm, Launceston 5.6mm

[hillybilly]

Latest GFS looking good for central areas and Gippsland next 36 hours. Widespread 25-50mm central, and into the hundreds locally in Gippsland. Looks to get to over the divide so hopefully a bit for the north.

We get an impressive wrap around with strong warm air advection. The 850Ts jump from -2 to -3C currently to about 4-6C tomorrow arvo.

http://stormcast.com.au/stormcast.html? ... :null:0#sc

Rainfall in Tas since 9am: Buckland 106mm, Nugent 88 mm, Triabunna 84 mm, Maria Island 81mm, Grove 42mm, Swansea 31 mm, Hobart 26 mm, Deddington 15mm, Launceston 5.6mm

Starting to get impressive. Plenty more to come.

[tonycynic]

So when is the wind going to pick up? Nothing much here so far.

[JasmineStorm]

Freezing levels rising, moisture advection machine starting to crank in bass strait and Tasman, pressure gradient tightening on 2 lows....it's about to get real

[Horts]

Geez Melbourne must be the great wonder of the world for meteorologists
If you can learn your craft here then anywhere else in the whole wide world must be Pour easy.
Topography, Tassie, Ranges north of Melbourne
Competing weather systems and god knows what else.
Radar looking good

Add Arthurs Seat/Red Hill to that list, have been rainshadowed in Safety Beach all day and looks like its about to happen again with the next band coming along the Bass Straight conveyor belt

[stevco123]

Oh seriously? Not again. For the umpteenth time today the rainband is breaking up before getting here.

Watch it redevelop now as soon as it goes north of Cranbourne

[Wilko]

Oh seriously? Not again. For the umpteenth time today the rainband is breaking up before getting here.

Watch it redevelop now as soon as it goes north of Cranbourne

We have same problem with this direction
Not expecting over 10mm here unless something changes

[Hunter1890]

Hobart wow... Just wow. They may clock the ton here. Officially their highest May daily rainfall on record. Could they break the all time record of 156 mm...

EDIT/ Surely flooding in Hobart right now.

Interesting phenomenon with the rainbands splitting. I'd assume it may be from the weakening area of circulation over South Gippsland? Where the right turner is dragged into there and the left turner is just steered by the uppers? I could watch this system with intent all night but sleep is required

[Sean]

Hobart wow... Just wow. They may clock the ton here. Officially their highest May daily rainfall on record. Could they break the all time record of 156 mm...

EDIT/ Surely flooding in Hobart right now.

Interesting phenomenon with the rainbands splitting. I'd assume it may be from the weakening area of circulation over South Gippsland? Where the right turner is dragged into there and the left turner is just steered by the uppers? I could watch this system with intent all night but sleep is required

Where's Tassiedave?? We need an update. The rainfall rate is almost landslip provoking.

[Tassiedave]

Absolute chaos in Hobart. 52 mm in the last 2 hours. Lots of flooding according to my daughter who attends Tas Uni!!

[Sean]

Absolute chaos in Hobart. 52 mm in the last 2 hours. Lots of flooding according to my daughter who attends Tas Uni!!

91mm and counting

[Hunter1890]

This is just berserk. My cousin has just flown over from Hobart and when I told her what is currently happening there she couldn't believe she was missing it! 5000 odd without power now and rising.

Hopefully those storms track a little further south :S this is becoming quite serious. Hope your daughter stays safe and dry TD!

[Sean]

Meanwhile, Melbourne's forecast get's more boring. Now up to 15c forecasted tomorrow. Wanted a real cold, gloomy day.

[stevco123]

Meanwhile, Melbourne's forecast get's more boring. Now up to 15c forecasted tomorrow. Wanted a real cold, gloomy day.

Unfortunately was not gonna happen. Temp was due to rise tomorrow night but everything has been moved earlier.

Will be quite cold in the morning then temp will skyrocket

I'm going for a rainy night tonight (if we're lucky) and then fine day tomorrow followed by a little rain late afternoon.

[Hunter1890]

Reports coming in of some serious flash flooding in Hobart. Cars being washed down streets. Houses innundated. Wettest Hobart day in 58 years and I daresay they have never experienced a period of rain like this in recorded history

[WeatherViewer]

Reports coming in of some serious flash flooding in Hobart. Cars being washed down streets. Houses innundated. Wettest Hobart day in 58 years and I daresay they have never experienced a period of rain like this in recorded history

It's incredible and quite scary! What was Hobarts forecast from BOM, were they expecting this much rainfall?

[snowfall]

Incredible rain in Hobart - now up 95mm! Wind is starting to pick up here and some beefy showers showing up on the radar. Looks like Ballarat is getting a bit of a drenching right now.

[snowfall]

Reports coming in of some serious flash flooding in Hobart. Cars being washed down streets. Houses innundated. Wettest Hobart day in 58 years and I daresay they have never experienced a period of rain like this in recorded history

It's incredible and quite scary! What was Hobarts forecast from BOM, were they expecting this much rainfall?

They were forecast for 15-40mm, so they’re getting way more than forecast.

[nafets]

In shock about the Hobart rain totals...104mm now!

[93ben]

Who would've thought Hobart's weather is more interesting than Melbourne's... I feel sorry for them. Looks really bad on Facebook and the BOM's website.