Cold cloudy but fine day here today. Just 15C for a max. In more normal times would have expected a few showers today, but our weather is hardly normal atm
Should see some showers overnight, which might locally drop a mm or two. Same again Wednesday and Thursday, but all near coastal.
Hot weekend. Big spit on the models for timing of the front. The German and ACCESS models have the front early Sunday with showers. EC has it through Melbourne early arvo, with a max near 38C followed by a bit of rain. CMC and GFS have it in the evening with a scorcher on Sunday which could get close to 40C in the city
Rain then follows on Monday. Most the models have a bit of rain now, but patchy and only CMC going for anything substantial at this stage. Will take a look at late season records tomorrow. I’m expecting plenty could be under threat. Bad weekend for fire weather with a couple of large fires already burning in Gippsland, and the state baked dry.
Thinking we could do with a new thread for the weekend, once it firms up a bit. Hope this event is the end of the stupid dry spell and crazy “summer” which started in mid November and looks like lasting past mid March.