Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

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hillybilly
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Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by hillybilly » Mon Dec 11, 2017 6:58 am

One of those marginally interesting events with a warm then hot day followed by a front. Could be a few showers and possible storm Wednesday into Thursday, though system overall looks fairly moisture starved.

More significant heat in a week.

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by JasmineStorm » Mon Dec 11, 2017 10:50 am

Looks like the hottest day of summer so far on Wednesday.

Definitely something interesting showing up storm wise for early next week if EC is to be believed :)

http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.co ... 20#p103216

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by Australis(Shell3155) » Tue Dec 12, 2017 4:12 pm

Black Cockies on the move saw flock of 6 Sunday @ Arbouretum and could hear them again today, can only hope.

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by hillybilly » Tue Dec 12, 2017 9:12 pm

Nice day here today with a max of 22C. Nasty uppers for tomorrow with the 850Ts in the mid 20s in the northwest, and low 20s in the south. Thankfully we got all that rain last week.

Gotta be a chance for a 40C in the metro area and low 40s in the northwest.

Weak mostly dry front coming through on Thursday so only one stinker.

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by wolfcat » Wed Dec 13, 2017 10:21 am

Sure did warm up fast this morning.

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by flyfisher » Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:54 am

What is going on with the Indian ocean - it just keeps on getting cooler and cooler when it should have broken down by now. Looks like it's suppressing tropical activity in NW Australia. At the same time we have a high that orientated along with a low in the coral sea that means winds are parallel to the coast.

So no much moisture is getting into the continent right now producing clear baking conditions that are being drawn south. Just an ugly setup like I have seen over the last few summers. Complete opposite to the last few weeks.

I hope it changes soon.

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by JasmineStorm » Wed Dec 13, 2017 1:14 pm

The first to 40c for the summer has been won by Longerenong at 12.40pm, beat Walpeup by 15 minutes 8-)

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by JasmineStorm » Wed Dec 13, 2017 1:21 pm

flyfisher wrote:
Wed Dec 13, 2017 11:54 am
What is going on with the Indian ocean - it just keeps on getting cooler and cooler when it should have broken down by now. Looks like it's suppressing tropical activity in NW Australia. At the same time we have a high that orientated along with a low in the coral sea that means winds are parallel to the coast.

So no much moisture is getting into the continent right now producing clear baking conditions that are being drawn south. Just an ugly setup like I have seen over the last few summers. Complete opposite to the last few weeks.

I hope it changes soon.
Just had a quick look and the walker cell is anchored above the equator at the moment. IMO it's going to take a few weeks to head south, so central OZ is just going to keep getting hotter and hotter with the storms here or there. The current set up would give some potential to near 50c in certain spots by early January. One to watch in Victoria if a big north westerly swings down the middle.
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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by WeatherViewer » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:00 pm

Avalon has cracked 40C for central areas today!

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by wolfcat » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:36 pm

39.7c 04:30pm at Avalon makes it there hottest day this year, beating 17/1/17 on 39.6, with still an hour or so before the temp could top out.

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by Macca2395 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 4:59 pm

Certainly this next stretch until Christmas is looking very warm indeed! Looks like next Monday could be a spike day with 39 already forecast for Melbourne. Early predictions are suggesting a very hot Christmas period as well!! Are we heading into an El Nino pattern??

It looks as though the rain over the past few weeks hasn't done much around my area. JS, i drove into Kyneton this morning from Lancefield and it's looking very, very dry. Could be an interesting summer ahead!? :?

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Re: Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14

Post by hillybilly » Wed Dec 13, 2017 5:45 pm

Nasty day out there. Hot, dry and windy. So lucky we got the rain earlier in the month. Even with that, a lot of fires have broken out which isn't a good sign :(

It is surpisingly uncommon (or at least used to be) to get to 43C this side of January in Victoria. We only get to 43C in December in about 1 in 5 years (we fell just short today, but have another chance on Monday and Tuesday).

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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by JasmineStorm » Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:01 pm

36c here today, still not far off that now.

Frankston was 29.1 at 7.17pm then the wind wobbled NNE and it went to 35.8c 7.38pm :)

@macca, yes grassland is drying quickly now around here. Might be a nasty January with the late growth from the early December rain.

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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by typhoon29 » Wed Dec 13, 2017 8:55 pm

Nice typical summers day here today; 34. No humid warmth; dry! Wind change came through around 8pm.
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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by hillybilly » Wed Dec 13, 2017 9:42 pm

Winds getting gusty here now with the front closing in. Maybe a mm tonight if we are lucky. No moisture for this system to tap.

Another hot thread for the weekend into next week.

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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by hillybilly » Thu Dec 14, 2017 7:28 am

Font has pushed through with a puff of a southerly in Ferny Creek and a mid level cloud deck. Suddenly feels like summer :?

Looks like a few days of nothing weather to come. Perhaps a storm about the far east and northeast ranges, and a little fog in the early mornings in the south.

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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by stevco123 » Thu Dec 14, 2017 8:09 am

Can't really see it being higher than about 31-33 on Monday and about 30 on Tuesday. (for now)

Very depressing morning temperature-wise. Can't wait for the wind to swing to the south in a few hours.
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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by Tassiedave » Thu Dec 14, 2017 1:44 pm

East Coast of Tasmania surprisingly warm today with 30 degrees at St Helens.

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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by Dane » Thu Dec 14, 2017 4:33 pm

Reached 36.4c at my place in Cranbourne yesterday. Surprisingly the Hottest day this year.
Have to go back to March 2016 to find a Hotter day.

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Re: Victoria - Becoming hot then a change: December 12-14 2017

Post by typhoon29 » Thu Dec 14, 2017 9:11 pm

Tassiedave wrote:
Thu Dec 14, 2017 1:44 pm
East Coast of Tasmania surprisingly warm today with 30 degrees at St Helens.
I love St Helens! Started off murky here then fine and sunny this avo. The next 7 days seem a bit all over the place??
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