StratoBendigo wrote: ↑Tue Nov 28, 2017 11:27 am
And the BOM are still downplaying it:
i.e Friday for Bendigo - Cloudy. Very high (95%) chance of showers, most likely in the afternoon and evening. The chance of a thunderstorm.
I heard somewhere the BoM are waiting either for tonights update or tomorrows update to reflect what models are saying. Their fear was jumping on the bandwagon to only have to downgrade forecasts as we've seen plenty of times before. They cop a lot of flack most of the time, so I'd say their reasoning is justified.
Just coming back to today's weather, and we've updated the thunderstorm forecast for today. If people aren't enjoying these, please let me know and I'll stop posting them - we should have our website back and updated over the next week so they'll go there when it's up and running again but I can still post them here if people wish.
VICTORIA THUNDERSTORM FORECAST - DAY 1
Tuesday 28th November 2017
Broadly unstable conditions across parts of the state today means the slight risk for isolated thundery showers this afternoon within the "chance" area; these are slightly more likely near seabreeze convergence zones during the afternoon through the southern part of the "chance" zone. Isolated afternoon thunderstorms are likely across the eastern ranges where there is a better lifting mechanism, and convection has already been observed via satellite through these areas. All severe phenomena is possible with thunderstorms today, although only a low risk.
For Melbourne, only a slight chance of a thundery shower developing this afternoon, better prospects later in the week.
- Thunderstorm Forecast Day 1 281117.png (52.07 KiB) Viewed 9538 times