VIC: End of September low pressure: 27-31 2017

[Harley34]

End of September finishes with some spring instability. We have low pressure forming over the interior and southern ocean. Jasmine should come back...

Anyway, thoughts?

[Harley34]

It actually looks decent and we could get something decent like an inch, but I'm not entirely sure, as I'm just going by my limited knowledge.

25 and still learning, been here since 2010 and this place is still rolling on, it's good to see...

What's the storm chance for Melbourne?

[Gordon]

I'm struggling to interpret the charts atm (even more than normal ) - the last lot looked wet at the start and dry at the end, yet it was almost flipped in our area - a few spits at the start then an inch at the end.

Latest BOM 4 day just looks like 'regulation' cold fronts except for tomorrow's low. Yet BOM's forecast for us has little interest for the whole period.

[hillybilly]

Is a wierd system as the Synoptics look great, but the rainfall doesn't. Seems to be again moisture starved with little coming in off the Indian Ocean. Thinking maybe 10-20mm locally, and quite showery but never really gets much beyond that. Both Wednesday and Friday show some instability with troughs so a rumble is a chance.

To the north shocker of a heatwave with newly set records likely to fall again I hope that heat stay to our north

[Skywalker]

Morning all
I'm down on the island for the rest of the week so my reports will be coming from there.

Had some overnight showers push through here, currently overcast with not much else happening. Radar however suggests overwise.
Can't wait for the Laverton site to come back online. This Broadmeadows thing is a joke.

[stevco123]

Currently 20 degrees in the city, 19 Scoresby, but 12 here, and 13 in Cerberus down the road.

Quite a variance.

[Wilko]

Temp jumped 5c in no time when the sun came out
Currently 20c in highett
Could easily exceed the forecast if the sun makes an appearance this arvo

[Tassiedave]

Steady soaking rain currently in Northern Tasmania.

[StratoBendigo]

25c here today. Now cooling down after dry cool change.

EC is suggesting we might get our first decent fall of rain since August later next week. We need it!

[Tassiedave]

Rain since 9 am Meander 14 mm, Sheffield 11 mm, Mt Barrow 11 mm, Deloraine 10 mm, Launceston Airport 8.6 mm, Low Head 5.2 mm, Hobart 4.2 mm, St Helens 3.4 mm. Another burst of showers approaching from the North West.

[hillybilly]

Geez not much happening. 0.2mm in FC today, but that's it. Month is turning out to be quite dry apart from the southwest and south central coasts.

Should be some showers tomorrow, but I'm not that confident

[Gordon]

Geez not much happening. 0.2mm in FC today, but that's it. Month is turning out to be quite dry apart from the southwest and south central coasts.

And parts of west central - we're on 86mm mtd vs 77mm September average. Ytd tracking quite well too; just 7mm short of end of September average.

But yes, the next few days look uneventful.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

In 5 days the garden has burst into life. PS where is Geoff ?
Glad to be home from windy Welshpool, Melbourne weather isn't that bad after all.
Next to head to the Wimmera and see how shocking it is that way, I hear in the grapevine, not that pleasant on old bones..
I'll test the rain out, about to hang out Donna Covers.. hope they do get wet..

[Jake Smethurst]

Was in Bendigo on Wednesday and Thursday. Absolutely marvellous weather, particularly on the Wednesday. Warm and sunny!

Parents reported a thunderstorm at their place this afternoon. That's their second storm in a few days, with a third on track at the moment. Looks like a few showers moving across Melbourne region now, maybe a rumble or two if we're lucky.

[stevco123]

Distant rumbles heard from here towards my west with that incoming band

[stevco123]

Here's a nice view of our city (including a perfectly placed rainbow) as I came down the Westgate bridge earlier today as some showers started to develop.

Ahhhh Melbourne...

[Gordon]

Heavy showers and a bit of small hail up hear late afternoon - a few mm worth I think; haven't checked the gauge.

[Tassiedave]

Two short lived periods of showers and thunderstorms in northern Tassie this evening. Another impressive line now crossing the West Coast.

[Skywalker]

Thunderstorm hit the island as we were leaving just before 6pm earlier tonight. Drove through moderate rain with a great light show & thunder.

Absolutely nothing happening upon arrival back in the western boredom zone.

[Sean]

Western Tas sure has been copping it recently, shame it barely reaches Vic.

Starting to dry out atm. Would like a top up soon as the plants have kicked into gear.