Models are slowly shifting the inland low further south, then hooking it up with a series of fronts in the westerlies. Not completely confident but it does look prett encouraging on the latest runs. We really need something big here; I'm not thinking this is it, but should st least see 30 to 50mm in the next week and a bit. Doesn't look so good for areas near the city, and the western plains with the fronts tending to mainly peak to our west.
System through NSW and the other in SW WA today both good rain producers which is very good to see. Fire season was starting to loom large for NSW, but this will put things back for a while.
Btw looked at numbers for Saturday. It was by some margin the nastiest July fire weather day in records (though these mainly go back about 20 years). Mildura saw a FFDI above 50 which would trigger a fire ban in summer
Highest there by a long way. Similar records in most spots from about Ceduna to Sydney.
Looks like Melbourne Airport will crack 180 hours of sunshine in July with an average of around 6 hours a day. It really has been a very sunny winter so far. Torn between hoping for rain and enjoying the brightness. And yes I can start to feel the sun getting brighter too...maybe it's wishful thinking .
Reckon summer can wait. This year reminds me ATM of 1967, 1994, 2002 and 2006 at this point. Those years had horrid summers. We haven't got a strong driver this year in the Indian or Pacific Ocean which makes this year all the weirder. One positive is my power use is down about 30% thanks in part to all the sun (and a new efficient heat pump water system).