Vic: Inland low and frontal system: August 3rd-6th 2017

[Sean]

Decently heavy rain, but still yet to cop anything substantial. 5mm here, 7mm there. Been a while since it's truly rained.

Brilliant blues skies at the moment and the temp has spiked. Thankfully, the wind has stopped, but I was hoping for some more blustery, on and off downpours.

Hopefully we get some more showers, but won't count on it.

[Blackie]

We are sitting on 5c at Mansfield presently with moderate showers. 16mm since midnight. Could be a chance here for a flurry overnight.

Jasmine what do you think is likely to happen rainfall wise overnight in the NE and snow in the alps in terms of quantity?

Round two is marching in from the west but unsure how far it will reach intact.

[hillybilly]

Just in 3mm here today. Had brief shower this morning. Was odd as it was splattered flakes, but temperature was 4.5C at the time. Must have been decent down drafts as those temps are pretty marginal for it here. Rainwise pretty disappointing as as EC had 12mm here today.

Made it up to Mount Donna Buang. Was about 5cm at the top, maybe 10cm in spots and snowing pretty consistently. Got very heavy for a while. Snow was falling to about 700m with slushy rain to about 500m. A few photos below. Traffic was mayhem with lots of 2wd without chains

[mick]

JUst another dud system so far,
fair dinkum, im sick ot the media hype its all BS.

THE BOM needs to be held to account. They play along with this media game because they love the attention.

If the likes of Ward Rooney were still on deck, common sense would prevail.

Instead, we get these end of the world warnings that are becomming a farce.

[Blackie]

"The Great Apline Road has been closed between Harrietville and Hotham Heights due to heavy snow falls. The road will remain closed until it is cleared with snow clearing machinery"

Looks like the heavy snow predictions have come to pass at Hotham at least.

[nafets]

Apparently about 40cm has fallen at Hotham today alone! All the lifts were closed due to thundersnow concerns. The road to Falls Creek is closed as well.

[StratoBendigo]

14mm here since yesterday afternoon, and nearly 25mm since Thursday. We've done quite well.

Currently 6 degC.

[JasmineStorm]

@Blackie, plenty more come on the rain and snow for the NE in the next 24 hours.
@HB, great pics of Donna

This double headed gyre is spinning some magic at the moment. Outer bands racking up the totals up here. I'm keeping a close eye on this polar trough launching an attack through western Bass strait from the southern cold core. This baby might drop cm's more snow in the early hours in the Macedon Ranges down to 600 to 700m

[hillybilly]

JUst another dud system so far,

Melbourne was always going to struggle. The system had no tropical infeed and peaked to our west. We very rarely do well in winter nwly flow as they are cold and what moisture there is gets wrung out over the ranges. This was always going to be a northern slopes, northeast ranges and southwest coast system. In the alps it's probably been the best snow producer in a few years (people are suggesting 2010, but not sure whether a that's optimistic or not).

Melbourne should pick up a bit on the backside of the low. I'd hope for at least 15mm here the next 36 hours.

Getting a heavy shower ATM but again mainly missing us and headed for the Upper Yarra Valley. Being out at Warburton today was remarkable how dry things are from about Mt Evelyn to about Launching Place, then from there it was sodden with lots of water running down the side of the hills. Just repeated misses for much of central Vic

[Macedonian]

It was snowing here again at dinner

[JasmineStorm]

34mm for the thread so far. Currently 4.5c with the wrap around south westerly flow moving in. At these temps I think maybe a bit of sleet for here, above 700m will be a good chance this morning for more snow in the Macedon Ranges.

Interesting to see what happens around the Dandenongs with the SW flow coming in this morning.

[hillybilly]

Pouring up here ATM with thick fog. Temperature is 3.5C and dropping so expect to see some sleet soon. Be very surprised if it was to get cold enough for snow here, but have fingers crossed.

6mm for the last 24 hours and just a tad under 20mm for the event. Hope to double that today. Is worryingly dry here ATM (feels like the driest here since 2009), so really really need something significant.

Epic snowfalls in the alps. Looks like a metre or thereabouts across most the major resorts for the date range. Would probably put this as a once every few years event up there. Spencer's Creek in the Snowys will be interesting on Thursday as the event has basically all fallen between Thursdays so the total will give a good guide as to how much has accumulated.

[StratoBendigo]

We've cracked 30mm for the event since Thursday morning. Local creeks have started to run which is good.

And the temp hasn't been above 12c since Wednesday afternoon too. Currently 9c.

[Geoff]

There was a bit of sleety stuff on my windscreen going through Olinda at 11am, temp was 4C at the time, now up to 5.4C.

[hillybilly]

There was a bit of sleety stuff on my windscreen going through Olinda at 11am, temp was 4C at the time, now up to 5.4C.

Not surprised. Unfortunately I left home this morning between showers so didn't get to see whether it was sleeting or not. Expect it would have at times.

Looks like out max today has been 5.5C which is certainly chilly (nothing close to a record, but more like something you might get a few times a winter).

Have added 10mm to our event total so far today so edging up... only a shower or two shy of 30mm now.

[JasmineStorm]

SW flow ramping up now on the wrap around low. A few colours showing up on the Melbourne radar at 3.50pm.

[nafets]

Went for a bit of a drive around the central ranges today. Wasn't much precipitation of any kind, most showers were skirting the Macedon area. Was sleeting and hailing at the top of Macedon at around 2:30 on the edge of a shower, no doubt it would have snowed on the back end of a heavy shower. Pea-sized hail in Moonee Ponds just before dropping 4mm in about 5 minutes. Can assume the yellow echos in the Melbourne area are indicating hail.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Missed it all in Torquay, tip so far is get out of Melb for the better weather.

[Sean]

Another day, another odd shower..

Melbourne's weather is so lame it's almost leaving me comatose.

[mick]

Fair dinkum, my name should have been drought. The clouds part wherever I am.
IN the last week, 4 showers, 3mm total, no wind to speak of.