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Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31 2017

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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Skywalker »

Another pathetic result overnight for this western dump, 2mm if that. :roll:
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by JasmineStorm »

Latest Access R (July 27 18z) suggests a lock in Severe weather warning for wind. All models are suggesting it could be a 8 to 12 hour gale force northerly attack for central areas.

Check the latest Himawari sat loop on that monster causing it :)
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Dane »

Had 5.2mm's overnight here. MTD now 47.5mm's, need another 25mm's to reach the
monthly average, so no chance of that.
Quite pleasant outside ATM sunny with just a light to moderate westerly and 13.5c.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Didjman »

Current wx forecast for YMML (Melbourne Airport):

MELBOURNE (YMML)
TAF AMD YMML 272331Z 2800/2906
26012KT 9999 SCT035
FM280800 36014KT CAVOK
FM281600 36020G34KT CAVOK
FM281900 36025G46KT CAVOK
FM282300 36036G55KT CAVOK
RMK FM281400 MOD/SEV TURB BLW 5000FT TILL281800
FM281800 SEV TURB BLW 5000FT

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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by WeatherViewer »

Extremely still around Melbourne right now, no wind at all.

The calm before the storm hey?
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by StratoBendigo »

Seriously epic sunset atm
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by hillybilly »

Nice cool day in FC today. Been quite calm, but the trees are starting to rouse outside. Very windy 24 hours coming up.

31.2C at Nullabour today so warm air headed our way, but this will get pinched by the approaching front so only the northwest and Gippsland will see the full potential. I'd watch for runs at 27C plus in these two areas. In central Vic, just mild with a nasty north wind.

Rain prospects nudging up a bit for Sunday and looks quite unstable during the day. Definitely wouldn't rule out a rumble with heavy showers about in an unstable westerly with the upper trough sharpening up. Low then to form somewhere near southern NSW which could well clip the eastern half of Vic.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Already windy @ Melb Ap.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by hillybilly »

Wind starting to pick up here. Not too bad so far (hope it stays that way), but we do tend to be quite sheltered despite being on top of the ridge (it's much wilder in the foot hills behind us).

Hearing reports of the odd tree down already in the general area.

Progs basically look unchanged. Gales today, late rain then showers tomorrow. Rain looks like peaking in the southwest so not expecting a lot here. Maybe 5-10mm. Thinking city will struggle with the ranges shreading the rain overnight. Showers tomorrow should add a few more mm's.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Skywalker »

Wind has picked up here on the Island as well. Pretty much started in the early hours overnight.
We are in a pretty sheltered spot here so should be okay, just have to hope that massive gum withstands another battering.

Dreading what I'll be arriving back to late tomorrow in the western desert.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by hillybilly »

Dreading what I'll be arriving back to late tomorrow in the western desert.
I picturing tumble weeds and sand dunes :P

One a serious not this weather is bad for the dry. Vic has had a crap June-July with large parts in decile 1 or less. Feels like an El Niño year but without the El Niño. The dry nwly gales which I've found are pretty common in dry years really sap what moisture there is.

Looking at progs, winds to increase through the morning, probably peaking early arvo. We are lucky things wil mix as the upper winds keep ramping up into the evening with 850hPa flow reaching 70 knots just east of the city tonight. That's get comparable to the blow last October, but the timing is not as bad so fingers crossed we won't seen that sort of damage :?
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by JasmineStorm »

Melbourne airport up to 104 km/h at 9am
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Didjman »

JasmineStorm wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2017 9:15 am Melbourne airport up to 104 km/h at 9am
current atis has wind at 500ft, 360 degrees at 70kts(130klm/hr)!

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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Sean »

Everything is creaking, but it's quite calm atm. Sunny, too
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by JasmineStorm »

That is whistling Peter... Pilots earning their cash today.

Gusting around 60 km/h here. Looks strongest on the south side side of the range ATM
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by tonycynic »

Carnage in the north and west suburbs if Emergency Vic is right. Lots of trees down and building damage being reported.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by Didjman »

JasmineStorm wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2017 12:06 pm That is whistling Peter... Pilots earning their cash today.
....
I am soon heading down there to video them landing. Could be interesting watching.
Peter
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by JasmineStorm »

Didjman wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2017 12:14 pm
JasmineStorm wrote: Sat Jul 29, 2017 12:06 pm That is whistling Peter... Pilots earning their cash today.
....
I am soon heading down there to video them landing. Could be interesting watching.
Peter
Great viewing indeed, enjoy! ..... just had a 72 km/h gust here. It's starting to crank now....
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by JasmineStorm »

107 km/h Fawkner beacon. A very good spread of significant gusts around Melbourne now.
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Re: Victoria: Cool, wet and windy: July 23-31

Post by hillybilly »

Wind dropped here the last hour or so. That usually happens here as the atmosphere mixes. Our strongest winds typically happen around sunrise when things can get squeezed below an inversion.

Bit of damage in the suburbs in the lee of the Dandenongs where you tend to get eddies mixing down very strong gusts.

Mildura on track for the Vic July record. 26C now and still rising :(
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