Nice and wet this morning. Had about 24mm that last 36 hours, and event now near 30mm. MTD about 60mm (about half the long term average). Rain gradients are really tight - while we've had nearly 20mm since 6am yesterday a site just 5km to our west has only had a couple of mm's in the time, while spots about 20km east of us are approaching 30mm.
Today looks wet here. Thinking another 10mm is a good chance. Classic cold air pool over us with SW'ly sort of day. Good for wet weather through the Yarra Valley, Otways, and South Gippsland.
Uppers are chilly - mid arvo they will dip to near -4C which is about the cut-off for flurries about the tops of the Dandenongs. Looking at the model sounding the freezing level dips to about 1000m or a tiny bit lower which would tend to mean flurries to about 700m pretty generally so something making it to 560m (our house) isn't out of the question. Been a lean lean year for low level stuff - had a couple of sleet showers in early June but that's been it.
A good bigger picture of where our air is coming from is this one
http://cci-reanalyzer.org/wx/DailySummary/#T2_anom . The "average" period is a very recent warm one (to move it to standard 1961-1990 you have to take add 0.2C to all the anomalies). Across the whole Southern Hemisphere is pretty warm almost everywhere in the Southern Ocean. The Antractic has been basically cut-off from the westerlies for weeks with the cold air bottled up over the continent. The current Antractic Sea ice extent is also the lowest on record. Lots of wierd things going on. BTW that warm spot over WA will come into play next week. It looks like Northern Australia could well see it's hottest July weather on record next week, and we'll go into a mild rainy pattern in a moist and mild (for winter) westerly to northwesterly flow.