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Victoria - Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18 2017

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93ben
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by 93ben »

Not sure if the lightning will reach Melbourne. It seems to be dying around Ballarat.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by snowfall »

hillybilly wrote: Sun Jul 16, 2017 4:32 pm
Crickey that's dry. Must be running driest on record ATM?? We keep sneaking showers in unstable nwly and swly streams so dry here but nothing like that. Real worry for the fire season in northcentral which will hit by start of October if it doesn't start raining properly soon :?
Not sure if it's a record. I haven't lived here long enough to know and official records are a bit scarce for this area, but it's the driest winter I have experienced! On the plus side, it is currently raining - hooray! The band is making it across the divide. Looks like it may be getting a little weaker in patches but should be raining in Melbourne fairly soon. A few flashes of distant lightning earlier and some steady, not overly heavy, rain here.
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Didjman
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Didjman »

Saw a flash south of Wallan, CG over Romsey and distant flash Seymour way on way home, 30mins ago. Also got sleet here in Kilmore with brief torrential rain and wind. Has eased off now.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by snowfall »

After just posting, the band is breaking up a bit.
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hillybilly
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by hillybilly »

0.2mm here :roll: Guess the models we're right in the end.

Should pile up on the northeast ranges, but central areas and the east miss out again. Next band back near Mt Gambier should rotate across Vic for tomorrow morning.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Sean »

My god, what a rush! :o :o :o :o

Thought the house was going to float away when I saw the ground almost completely wet!!

Thankfully the gutters managed to keep up with the torrents of water and the sandbags did their job. I think it's safe to safe fire season is starting LATE this year with that 0.000000000004mm downpour.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Dane »

Typical, look at that Rainband collapse around Cranbourne. I got one drop I think. :x
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by JasmineStorm »

The storm shield at work again for Melbourne. Kyneton had 7mm and hail from all reports.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by hillybilly »

0.6mm in the gauge this morning. Today should bring more widespread showers, but still pretty hit and miss. Some spots will pick up 5-15mm others basically zilch. The showers are training in bands spinning around the parent low so they will tend to run over the same spots.

Mild around town ATM. 10C in the city and a balmy 6C in Ferny Creek :P Even turned our main heater off yesterday for a while.

Bit of snow in the alps which is good to see, though temperatures are pretty marginal with the snowline somewhere around 1400m (Lake Mt has been in and out of rain/snow).
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by nafets »

Up at Hotham this week, driving up on Sunday there was barely any snow below 1500m. Snowing heavily now with 7cm reported overnight. Unfortunate to see Melbourne and the rest of the state miss out on some promising falls.
Go the bombersss!
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Gordon »

No heaters off here - relentlessly cold and windy: 3-6C has been the range for most of the last couple of days.

Another 6mm overnight and raining lightly now. The east/ west thing seems to be happening in reverse lately in central Vic - very weird :?

Edit: Just trying make a comparison between Mt William in the west at 80mm this month vs 55mm for Falls Creek (questionable given Buller has had 139mm) and what is clearly a stuffed AWS at Mt Hotham. Geez I hate that - years of records wrecked because no one has the sense to fix it :( . Same thing happens to the Mt William AWS regularly, meaning we lose vital climate data forever.)
Last edited by Gordon on Tue Jul 18, 2017 10:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by StratoBendigo »

We copped 8mm in last night's storm (up to 10mm for the week) along with some strong wind gusts. A house near us had a 14ft trampoline end up on a roof. Some of the hail was still lying around at 9am this morning. Probably the most memorable winter hailstorm I can remember since Sept 1982 (which happened to be our driest ever year).
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Tassiedave »

Rainfall until 9 am this morning, Yolla 37 mm, Sheffield 35 mm, Meander 25 mm, Mt Barrow 21 mm, Deloraine 15 mm, Devonport 11 mm, Launceston 11 mm, Ross 2 mm, Hobart 0.6 mm.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by StratoBendigo »

Report on localized damage from last night. Looks like a microburst:
http://www.bendigoadvertiser.com.au/sto ... orm/?cs=80
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hillybilly
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by hillybilly »

2.2mm in FC today. Showers looked quite good on radar and out window, but didn't quite get going. Event now up to (about) 10mm for us so slowly inching up.

Tomorrow should be rather better for us with things going southwest. Am expecting another 10mm or so for us locally.
Edit: Just trying make a comparison between Mt William in the west at 80mm this month vs 55mm for Falls Creek (questionable given Buller has had 139mm) and what is clearly a stuffed AWS at Mt Hotham. Geez I hate that - years of records wrecked because no one has the sense to fix it :( . Same thing happens to the Mt William AWS regularly, meaning we lose vital climate data forever.)
Big problem in the alps. The AWSs regularly freeze over (even with a heater) and even when they don't the totals are pretty suspect due to snow blowing in or out of the funnel. The instruments can also suffer damage or outages just because the weather is so feral up there. That said, Falls could well have been drier than Buller because things have tended to fade as they got east this year (and Buller unfortunately gets a lot of drizzle in cool westerlies air streams). The AWSs in the Snowy Mountains show a pretty ordinary July so consistent with the lack of systems making it east.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Tassiedave »

Some handy falls since 9 am. 11 mm here at Grindelwald giving us 63 mm now over the past week. Other significant falls since 9 am include Scottsdale 15 mm, Mt Victoria 13 mm, Legerwood 11 mm, Launceston 9 mm, Deloraine 5.6 mm Devonport 2.2 mm. Hobart once again missed out and remains on 18.4 mm for the whole of winter so far. The good news for southerners is that with things turning southerly overnight there is some hope of showers over the next day or two.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by Macedonian »

Really chilly day in central highlands today. Mt Macedon only had a max of 4.8C and Trentham 6.6C.
Nothing unusual for mid july i suppose but it was sort of a nice looking day, i wasnt expecting it to stay cold.
It was a tiny diurnal range at my place today. 3.6C min to 4.8C max.
Today marks a month of maxs less than 8C. The last >8C was 17th of June.
Home- "Shepherd's Bush" at Mt Macedon. 870m
Work- "Bolobek" at Macedon. 430m
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by StratoBendigo »

We've had a fair bit of rain this afternoon/evening (8mm) and it's a cold 7 degC and raining atm. This week's total rain so far 18mm :)
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by hillybilly »

Front starting to show up nicely now on the west coast. Will make for a rainy commute tomorrow in Melbourne. Unfortunately moves through a bit too quick for big totals.

Btw some impressive falls back through SA. Numbers locally near 50mm north and east of Adelaide in the hills today, adding to a big month out there. Mt Lofty nearing 200mm at the mid point of the month :o Great bounce after their shocking start to winter.
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Re: Finally a cold outbreak: July 13-18

Post by JasmineStorm »

14mm in Kyneton for the thread. A bit more than expected with these scattered intense showers over the last 48 hours.

Over here in NZ, it's certainly not boring. Access R has modelled this Tasman low to bomb at 969 hPa on Thursday night just off the west coast with wind gusts of around 130 km/h on the north east and south west flanks of the core. Basically a high end cat 1 cold core cyclone.
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