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East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

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Geoff
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East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Geoff »

Gap filler thread to accommodate the ECL now happening and the troughs coming in from the west, before the big event later in the week.
The TV towers on Mt. Dandy have just disappeared in the lowering cloud from the east. Looks like some light rain or drizzle creeping in across Gippsland too, might get a bit tonight.
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Australis(Shell3155)
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Australis(Shell3155) »

Wet Air down below at 6pm
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Wilko »

Looking at the Radar is quite deceptive as it looks like the Rain from the North is coming down in to Central Vic !
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by 93ben »

Wilko wrote:Looking at the Radar is quite deceptive as it looks like the Rain from the North is coming down in to Central Vic !
Yeah I've had this feeling this afternoon. It seems to be heading straight for Melbourne this time!
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Sean »

93ben wrote:
Wilko wrote:Looking at the Radar is quite deceptive as it looks like the Rain from the North is coming down in to Central Vic !
Yeah I've had this feeling this afternoon. It seems to be heading straight for Melbourne this time!

Don't think it'll make it past those mountains, tbh.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by stevco123 »

Past experience shows rain from the east or north east usually makes it here (east suburbs) but it usually always brings very low cloud and drizzle, as per this afternoo and evening.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by hillybilly »

3mm this morning in FC and still raining. I wasn't really expecting anything.

Looks like the rain will continue for a few more hours at least. Good falls out east.

Not sure about the front tomorrow. Looks blustery but the rain looks like it will tend to peak on the ranges and near the coast with the system very westerly rather than the more typical NW/SW sequence. Maybe a few mm's if we are lucky. Despite all this weather the uppers stay mild - probably too warm for snow in the alps apart from really high.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Dane »

7.2mm's up to 9am this morning, wasn't expecting that much.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by stevco123 »

Dane wrote:7.2mm's up to 9am this morning, wasn't expecting that much.
I reckon we'll have some of the best falls in the "metro" area with the south east flow here Dane.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Macedonian »

10mm to 7am on top of 33mm since last sunday, its getting damp out there
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Gordon »

10.5 mm overnight here - completely unexpected.

I've just about given up on forecasts/ models that presently don't seem able to manage accuracy a day out, let alone further. But so long as the 'mistake' is rain, I'll take it :)
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by StratoBendigo »

A bit of warm air advection at present from the soupy Tasman Sea. Currently 15c with a Southerly which is the warmest it's been here for nearly 3 weeks.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by 93ben »

Sean wrote:Don't think it'll make it past those mountains, tbh.
I think it just did lol. It's been raining most of the day, heavily at times! Haven't been able to see the city from Doncaster area!
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Geoff »

Well I mentioned last night that we might get a drop, and we've had 15.5mm! It's not very often we get good rain from that direction, it definitely seems we are now in different times, meteorologically speaking.
A couple of cold fronts to come over the next 24-36hrs to add to the total, and then..... :D
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by hillybilly »

Second surprise fall in less than a week. 20mm at our place in Ferny Creek and the AWS got nearly 25mm. Was thinking 1mm if we got lucky, zero if we didn't.

MTD is now ~130mm which means we've had two months of above average in a row :D

Next system showing up in the bight and should be worth 5-10mm at a guess.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Sean »

93ben wrote:
Sean wrote:Don't think it'll make it past those mountains, tbh.
I think it just did lol. It's been raining most of the day, heavily at times! Haven't been able to see the city from Doncaster area!
It attacked form all angles :D
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Geoff »

It's getting quite dark here at 1pm but looks like the bulk of the showers are affecting North Central areas. Can see the next front reaching Portland, so won't get here til evening probably.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Wilko »

Baro down to 996hp
Hav'nt seen it this low for a while which means one thing (Wind)
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by stevco123 »

Meh...nothing interesting. Typical 11 degree forecast for the city which will turn out to be 13 or 14 in reality because the showers will skirt south and north.

Winters in victoria (and southeast australia) are pretty boring unless you live above 800m asl.

In fact the most interesting of weather will be next week with all the frosts that are typical aftet a strong front.
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Re: East Coast Low followed by Cold Front 20-23 June

Post by Supercellimpact »

7mm in the gauge and still drizzle out there.
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