Series of fronts in strong westerlies until Friday 20th.

[Geoff]

Time for a new thread now the big low has gone. I think the title sums it up for the coming week possibly ending with a high over us next weekend, so I've left out any dates.
Can see a large layer of Alt-Cu spreading down from the northwest at sunset, linked to a trough forming, should result in some instability over the next 24 hours.

[hillybilly]

Going to be a good week for the windfarms and the Tasmanian Dams

Otherwise I suspect a week of frustration for weather watchers. April like temperatures with warm uppers and mostly northwest winds. Hopefully one of those fronts has a bit of a kick and delivers some decent showers.

First front showing up on the Mt Gambier radar as a narrow band of drizzly showers.

[hillybilly]

Picked up a 5 minutes sun shower from that first front.

Next front tonight looks a little more productive. EC has 5mm in FC... would be nice to continue the month ticking along.

As an aside, went for a walk up the 1000 steps yesterday (Southern Dandenongs). Struggling to think of a time when the creeks have been so low, even in mid summer. Really surprised me as the surface is damps but the poor spring and 6 month long summer seems to have taken a real toll on the water table.

[stevco123]

Quite chilly out there this morning down here. First proper cool morning this season. Minimum was 4.6

[StratoBendigo]

Nice cool morning here too. No frosts as yet.

Talking of Tasmania and rain, it's all been falling on the West Coast of Tasmania. Check out Mt Read (632.8mm MTD):
http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/dwo/IDCJD ... test.shtml

Temps look to be cooling during the week, but not by much....

[Dane]

Yes a bit colder this morning Stevco got down to 5.1c. Nothing unusual got down to 2.4c in May last year.
My record for May is -0.2c in 2008. Still tracking for a record warm May here.

[stevco123]

Yes a bit colder this morning Stevco got down to 5.1c. Nothing unusual got down to 2.4c in May last year.
My record for May is -0.2c in 2008. Still tracking for a record warm May here.

Yeh nothing unusual but considering it's been closer to 14 or 15 AT NIGHT then i think it's worth a mention haha

[Jake Smethurst]

A storm warning has been issued for the southwest. Some of these may extend towards the central coast and Melbourne area tonight, only a chance.

For people in parts of the
South West Forecast District.
Issued at 1:32 pm Monday, 16 May 2016.
Severe thunderstorms are likely to produce damaging winds in the warning area, extending from the far southwest corner after 2.30pm. Locations which may be affected include Warrnambool, Portland and Nelson.

[StratoBendigo]

It's been raining here for a little while. Wasn't really expecting it today to be honest.

[Supercellimpact]

Yeah strato I wasn't expecting anything either. 1.4mm in the gauge at my place.

[stevco123]

What a boring forecast. 19 or 20 for the next 7 days at least

[hillybilly]

Radar looks promising for a few mm's tonight. EC has 7mm. Decent band of showers/storms/rain moving up. Also a bit of an upgrade on the progs.

Otherwise, just more mild weather - May's going to end up warmer than an average April at this rate.

Talking of Tasmania and rain, it's all been falling on the West Coast of Tasmania. Check out Mt Read (632.8mm MTD)

Is getting up there. Apparently the Tas record is 940mm, though the data is pretty sparse going back in time in the wet spot. Also, the much warmer weather we get now means more rain and less snow (which means a better proportion is caught by the gauge). Gotta be a decent change for 1000mm down there going by the forecasts. Awesome news for their dams (by contrast St Helens on the east coast is stuck on ~25mm!).

[Gordon]

Nice sharp shower just now - might be a few mm in this front for us after all.

And yes spectacular totals in Tassie's west. Hydro storages now at 20% which will be a great relief.

(Edit: Just noticed the STW has been extended east to include us.)

[mick]

Should stick a date on the thread title.

70kph gusts her ahead of front about to cross the bay. Thwey have been holding up so far and its not cold here
so someone will cop a belting, rumbles expected I think

[Wilko]

Is that a squall line developing in the south of the bay ?

[Geoff]

Is that a squall line developing in the south of the bay ?

Seems to be a few sparks on the tracker Wilko.

[Andy]

The next bit coming our way is exceptionally lightning active! A pretty good show and now constant rumbles will try get a decent photo or 2.

[Dane]

Seemed to peter out as it came through here only 1mm.
According to the Melbourne rainfall map though Frankston got 16mm's.
http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/flood/melbourne.shtml

[hillybilly]

Pretty frustrating front last night. 1mm as it all fell apart on our doorstep. Pretty unusual to see 10mm down Geelong way and the watch it die coming across the bay.

Another trough middle of today. Hopefully this one surprises

Nearly 50mm more at Mt Read

[Onetahuti]

Seemed to peter out as it came through here only 1mm.
According to the Melbourne rainfall map though Frankston got 16mm's.
http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/flood/melbourne.shtml

Melbourne Water recorded 11.4mm @ Frankston reservoir, 13.4mm @ Devilbend reservoir. 7.4mm @ Authurs Seat as well as the 16.2mm @ Frankston Nth

http://www.melbournewater.com.au/waterd ... l-new.aspx