Deep Low Heavy Rain Vic April 16

[BERVY]

Long way off but boy I hope it eventuates. Hopefully a good Autumn break at last.
BOM don't seem to be too keen on the idea but WZ is progging 20-40mm for here (NE Vic).
Oh and as I type they've gone down to 10-20mm. I guess it will swing around a bit until the models can get a better idea during the week.

[BERVY]

Typical. Massive downgrade. Sigh.

[Geoff]

That'll teach you Bervy, never trust the models that far out!
You would've been better off putting your thoughts into the "Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia" thread.
Having said that, your region should still do better than most out of it this coming weekend, GFS has 25mm over you.

[hillybilly]

Pretty frustrating watching the models with this one.

EC trying to come back, but gone through the complete sequence from nothing ->heaps->nothing->something.

[hillybilly]

EC back to zero here. Um...

[hillybilly]

Looks like the most significant feature of this event might well be warmth. Couple of 25C for Melbourne and into the 30's further north. Not record breaking, but getting warm for mid April.

Frustratingly, all models now completely lost interest in rain

[WeatherViewer]

Interesting temperature variations on the western side of the bay today. Laverton at 21.8C and Melbourne sitting at 26.2C.
Is that purely down to sea breezes?

[hillybilly]

Another warm one today. 28C at Melbourne Ap is getting up there for the time of year.

Maybe a shower or two tomorrow.

Some sign that mid next week might deliver something more substantial.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

After 7pm last night my car was showing 21,
Very comfortable,
Had to splash water around the garden again,
Few new tree's and some still a little sick from the long drawn out lack of moisture.
Fair bit of mowing to do, so hold off a few hours with the heavy rain please..
Do we have a gardening thread ?

[stevco123]

Quite a brief shower last night. Enough to register 0.4mm and make roads wet.

[Geoff]

Do we have a gardening thread ?

Ha! Now there's an idea Shell. I'd be on there more than the weather thread!
I think the title of this thread is going to prove to be one of the most inaccurate we've ever had, doesn't look at all rainy to me out there.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Why do my oranges split ?
They get water, not regular, which I understand can be the problem,
But my question is why when the lemon right next door that doesn't get watered doesn't split..?
My father in law asked the same question ,but he is a waterer so lack of water wouldn't be the case in his situation and his is a new tree, we purchased for a gift aiming to be the same tasty orange as our tree.

[Dane]

Couple of light showers overnight, 0.4mm's all up.

[Geoff]

Why do my oranges split ?

Symptomatic of the weather we've had in the last year or so Shell. Loooong dry spells interrupted by biggish (brief) wet spells. orange peel gets a sudden injection of moisture too fast and can't cope, so splits. Mostly a problem in younger trees, older ones should cope.
Sun's shining, my bonfires burning, lawn is mowed - wheres these showers then?

[Australis(Shell3155)]

So the oranges are still on Topic.
Well I got 3 hours mowing in,
Did pack up once thinking I'm under this big low black cloud,
Made me think Low Heavy Rain. And panicked putting mower etc in car.
Only to find nothing what so ever..
Don't think it actually rained st all where I was,

[Gordon]

Surprising 3 mm of drizzly rain here and still going. I'll take what I can get!

Edit: 4mm to 9 am.

[hillybilly]

0.6mm for us from this event

Was in the northern suburbs last night and quite drizzly - good to see a few 5-10mm falls in the foothills of the dividing range.

[WeatherViewer]

Picked up around 1mm here in Wyndham Vale, all of which were drizzle showers spawning from the bay. Can't complain!

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Word has it that FTG had wet concrete around 6pm sat, dry as a ________ ______ here..

[Macedonian]

I got 10mm out of this last saturday night. All of it torrential drizzle
Nearby Bullengarook picked up 14mm