Progs firming on a couple of troughs affecting the southeast for the coming week. First trough Tues/Wednesday is a decaying front. An upper feature then persists for a couple of days with a deepening trough at the surface. This second feature could be quite productive, but models are jumpy so uncertain at this stage.
We managed 4mm overnight which just settled the dust. Welcome nonetheless.
Most forecast models have a trough and rainband entering the Northern border/Murray River parts of the State on Friday. Hopefully it drifts further South a little and we cop a good soaking. It's desperately needed....
Just incase you all have been sleeping whilst I have been working...wicked show over the bay looking south. Loads of touch downs and fingers in the sky
Woken by the loudest thunder I've heard all year. The whole house vibrated and car alarms were set off in the street. Short but heavy rain just smashed us here in Wyndham Vale. Exciting stuff and very unexpected.
Lots of noise out there but hardly any rain for us, seems to be going all around us.
Our rain will come at the weekend with the cold front surging up from the deep south, just coming into the far S/W corner of the satellite image.
A lot of thunder and lightning last night, from about 2am, had 3 storms move through with some great cg's and 6mm in the gauge so washes the dust off the plants.
Nice surprise this morning, plenty of thunder and a few flangs scored 7.9mm's up to 9am, Melbourne Water Cranbourne South had 8.4mm's. MTD now 40mm's (ave 74mm's)
It was certainly a more interesting trip on the bike this morning and a bit scary. Saw one bolt strike 100 metres away when I was crossing the overpass at Mt Derrimut Road.
Caroline Springs, Melbourne's meteorological boredom zone.
3mm back home from this mornings storms. Adds to the one mm yesterday. First part of this system was always going to be pretty sparse so no surprises.
Still struggle to know what to make of the second part. Main rainband to our north (perhaps dipping into northern Vic) but progs showing a secondary area of rain developing further south and then the front proper. Front is going increasingly southeasterly which will increase the rain, but decrease the showers. EC and GFS both showing about 10-20mm for central areas.
MTD just shy of 40mm.
Unseasonal temps out there few 30s in northern Vic (shy of record territory but not by a lot). NSW, QLD, SA and NT are seeing local late season heat records, with the warm air peaking to our north.