Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Rivergirl · Post by **Rivergirl** » Tue Feb 24, 2015 10:18 am

Weather guys feel free to change title of new thread
(I think this might be more accurate Robyn, cheers Geoff)

Rivergirl · Post by **Rivergirl** » Wed Feb 25, 2015 8:44 am

Thanks Geoff

Post by **hillybilly** » Wed Feb 25, 2015 7:15 pm

Yep... looking hot then a fairly dramatic front. Bit of wind with the front too... so not a good day to stand under those gums.

Change looks reasonably promising for rain with EC and GFS both showing 5-10mm pretty widespread (e.g., has about 12mm up here in Ferny Creek). It does look like a decent change in airmass, with 850T dropping from 20C+ on Saturday to about 5C by Sunday. Going to be a pretty unpleasant day on Saturday - certainly keep an eye on the forecasts as expect fire weather warnings given the progs.

Alexia · Post by **Alexia** » Fri Feb 27, 2015 8:07 pm

Fire warnings well DSE are lighting the hills around here.

Sean · Post by **Sean** » Fri Feb 27, 2015 9:14 pm

Got excited for a storm after hearing/ feeling a rumble, but I'm starting to think it was an earthquake because the radar is clear above me?

Rivergirl · Post by **Rivergirl** » Fri Feb 27, 2015 10:49 pm

I heard a few rumbles this afternoon up here in the hills but there was nothing on the radar. It was strange

Australis(Shell3155) · Sat Feb 28, 2015 5:27 am

Facebook seems to be saying the rumbles and sounds mentioned over s larger area may have been airshow at Avalon.

Post by **hillybilly** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:01 am

Facebook seems to be saying the rumbles and sounds mentioned over s larger area may have been airshow at Avalon.

That migt make some sense. Sat on the couch hearing low rumblers wondering if the ground was about to shake.

Back to the weather, a hot one, but cloud and a bit of humidity capping things - uppers are hot for the time of year (close to 20C). Decent front late arvo with a band of rain/showers. EC been a pretty consistent 10mm (give or take here). Nice way to start the March total.

Very different weather for next week with autumn starting with SW'ly flow slowly established throughout. Could get cold and, but models are bit jumpy.

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:16 am

Well the current BOM forecast says the rain not getting here until late in the day, so I have to presume all the pretty colours on the radar just approaching Melbourne are mostly virga. Only up to 1mm recorded to the west so far so nothing much in it it seems.

Alexia · Post by **Alexia** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:22 am

Little shower here just enough to wet cement

Jake Smethurst · Post by **Jake Smethurst** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 8:35 am

On the way to the Avalon Airshow. It had been raining the whole way from leaving Melbourne. Rather steady rain also. Judging by radar, looks by the time we reach Avalon, it will have cleared that area (well I'm hoping it would have).

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:23 am

Light showers here too - a nice start to the day.

droughtbreaker · Post by **droughtbreaker** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 9:25 am

One of those days we often get at this time of year where there is a fair bit of pre-frontal mid level cloud and some showers around despite high 850hpa temps. I can imagine some of this cloud will 'burn off' during the day but it certainly should limit how hot it will get today, especially on the ranges. Models have been steadily downgrading the heat over the past few days. Looks like it might not even crack 30C here today.

BTW yet to see the 25-35 km/hr winds, it's fairly light atm.

Geoff · Post by **Geoff** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 6:59 pm

Keep watching the radar folks, it's about to get really interesting this evening!

Dane · Post by **Dane** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:21 pm

Radar is starting to look really interesting now Geoff.
Looks like an interesting night ahead.

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:24 pm

Heavy rain hitting here now, plus quite a bit of thunder & lightning.

typhoon29 · Post by **typhoon29** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:27 pm

storms have arrived here rather noisy and flashy not mush wet stuff

SC. · Post by **SC.** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:33 pm

Hello! Wasn't expecting to see the radar like this.

Gordon · Post by **Gordon** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:40 pm

Violent wind gusts and heavy rain here, surprised there's no STW?

Wilko · Post by **Wilko** » Sat Feb 28, 2015 7:48 pm

Getting very black here
Down at Hampton beach
Will try get some pics

The Australian Weather Forum

Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....

Re: Hot Start then Much Cooler Spell Feb. 28.....