VIC - Strong frontal period - wind/rain - 16/8 to 23/8 2013

[Jake Smethurst]

Starting off this new thread for the upcoming major system on Friday and Saturday, mainly in terms of wind speeds, and then for the week ahead with further frontal activity!

Going to be a wild day!

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts
Issued at 10:46 am EST on Thursday 15 August 2013.

Weather Situation
A strong cold front will cross Bight waters on Friday to reach the far west of the State at night then rapidly progress eastwards over the remainder of the State on Saturday morning.

Damaging winds around 65 km/h with peak gusts of 100 km/h are forecast to develop on Friday morning for parts of the North East, South West, Central, West and South Gippsland and East Gippsland forecast districts. On Friday evening wind gusts to 120 km/h are possible above 1000 metres in the northeast.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Think it is a wise that we dont take the kids to the snow in these conditions.
Plan B. - Counter Meals is the better option..

[stratospear]

Yeah Nah, otherwise know as EC reckons it won't get above 0c at Mt Hotham all next week:
http://www.yr.no/place/Australia/Victor ... /long.html" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;

Could almost see a metre of snow falling in the alps IMO.

[I_Love_Storms]

Jake, it does look windy but do you really think it will push a few records? It doesn't look like anything extraordinary at this stage, at least not in the warnings or forecast. I can remember seeing wind warnings of sustained winds up to 75kph and gusts up to 130-140kph - this event doesn't look quite in that category. You may be right but I just can't see this being a record breaker.

[Jake Smethurst]

I retracted what I said ILS ... what i was meant to say is, it is looking like one of the windiest periods. My apologies.

[Geoff]

Wind is picking up already here. If we don't get some of the white stuff early next week we could well get some later in the week if AccessG is to be believed.

[aussiestormfreak]

Wind is picking up already here. If we don't get some of the white stuff early next week we could well get some later in the week if AccessG is to be believed.

Yes I noticed the winds were starting to freshen late this afternoon, and it's going to be wild, windy day tomorrow! And I'm anxiously monitoring the unfolding situation, just hoping that this is the one that FINALLY brings snow to the Dandenong Ranges!

[Macedonian]

i thought there3 was meant to be low-ish snow overnight tonight with the rainband? no? breezy and blue her now

[Wilko]

Wind starting to pick up here
Mt William just recorded a gust of 100km p/h and the worst of the winds are not expected until late afternoon/ early evening in the central areas
Batten down the hatches

[eegs]

Awesome morning at eildon this morning. Still calm and blue skies at 9.50 so enjoying a fish on the like while it's still nice. Not for too much longer I suspect

[Jake Smethurst]

The Australian Weather Forum
SEVERE WEATHER WARNING
for DAMAGING WINDS

The Australian Weather Forum is warning that northerly winds will strengthen further today ahead of a strong cold front, to average around 60-70 km/h with associated gusts likely to reach up to 110 km/h. Elevated locations will see gusts to 120 km/h. Please also note that thunderstorms are possible near the frontal system which may cause further gusts to 120-130 km/h. Winds will ease slightly from the west after midnight.

Currently at issue time, winds are averaging around 50-60 km/h over western and central areas, with recorded gusts to 90-100 km/h at some locations already.

For official warnings, please visit the Bureau of Meteorology.

[Skywalker]

Yep, here we go again, more damn wind! I'm so over it.

[snowshow]

Absolutely beautiful atm, sun shining, warmish 12.5, light breeze, I no it wont last but, boy it was nice for a change It would be worth loosing it for a chance of snow?

[Gordon]

My wife's in Ballarat atm and she reports trees down and road closures, plus some roof damage.

Dangerously windy here 25 km south-east & 200 m higher, but so far no damage (fingers crossed!)

[Lara_Hunter]

Just watched a large sign fail here in Williams Landing after a strong 10 minute burst. The sign is 12x4m so not a small one!! Just slowed down now.

[Geoff]

Noticed this vapour trail from the Sydney to Perth flight overhead at 31000feet at about 1pm, still there after 20 minutes, a good sign of moisture aloft ...

Vapour Trail 1.jpg (23.2 KiB) Viewed 9471 times

Then after 25 minutes it looked like this...

Vapour Trail 2.jpg (17.42 KiB) Viewed 9471 times

Kelvin-Helmholtz waves, caused by instability in the upper levels.
So we've got good moisture and instability up high, and severe gales down to the surface with an active front rushing in from the west, somethings got to happen.

[Australis(Shell3155)]

Geoff I saw one this morning about 8.30 its was a little curly but more vertical not horizontal, didnt have time for camera..

[mick]

If it was he same one that was visible around 7am. its the Auckland to Perth.

Gusting 100k at Moorabbin and very ugly.

[Wilko]

Constant 50km per hour here now with gusts to 80km
The wind is getting very squally..could get very hectic come peak hour
I am predicting lots of damage unfort as this wind is forecast to continue like this to midnight
Stay safe everyone

[Geoff]

It's very sporadic, one minute it's almost calm and glorious in the sunshine, then it comes in like a 747 with a deafening roar and bends the trees right over, then calm again. Rain only just crossing the SA border now at 3pm so possibly another 10 hours or so of this.