Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia

All general weather related discussion & questions, including model discussions, longer-term outlooks & anything non-breaking weather.

Moderators: Geoff, mad*moo73

JasmineStorm
Cumulonumbus Calvas
Posts: 998
Joined: Thu Sep 22, 2016 9:40 pm
Location: Kyneton 527 ASL

Summer 2016 /17 possible upcoming weather events

Post by JasmineStorm » Thu Dec 15, 2016 10:43 am

There is certainly a monsoon trough in the OZ neighbourhood on Dec 23rd according to CMC. A fascinating few days on the models to come and what will be the flow on affect on the Victorian Chrissy period.
Attachments
CMC 23122016 12z 14122016.jpg
CMC 23122016 12z 14122016.jpg (158.62 KiB) Viewed 3951 times

Jake Smethurst
Site Admin / Senior AWF Forecaster
Posts: 3360
Joined: Mon Nov 23, 2009 8:49 pm
Location: Cheltenham
Contact:

Re: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia

Post by Jake Smethurst » Thu Sep 14, 2017 9:10 pm

Just thought I'd pop this in here. It's been a looooonnnnngggg time since I've seen the models prog something like this in Victoria. Will most definitely change as we get closer, however it's good to see the instability starting to return for the upcoming storm season! :P
gfs.stormcast.bsch.init-2017091406z.fcst-201709221600z.li.vic.null.0.png
gfs.stormcast.bsch.init-2017091406z.fcst-201709221600z.li.vic.null.0.png (60.43 KiB) Viewed 166 times
Jake - Site Admin/Senior AWF Forecaster
Feel free to send me a private message if you have any questions.
http://www.jakesmethurst1.wordpress.com

Jake Smethurst
Site Admin / Senior AWF Forecaster
Posts: 3360
Joined: Mon Nov 23, 2009 8:49 pm
Location: Cheltenham
Contact:

Re: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia

Post by Jake Smethurst » Fri Sep 22, 2017 7:54 pm

Certainly nothing in the models to get excited about at this point for Victoria. Most have mainly stable conditions persisting throughout the outlook period, varied by a couple of weak fronts. Maybe, just maybe something towards the end of the model runs coming through.
Jake - Site Admin/Senior AWF Forecaster
Feel free to send me a private message if you have any questions.
http://www.jakesmethurst1.wordpress.com

Post Reply

Who is online

Users browsing this forum: No registered users and 1 guest