La Nina - El Nino - IOD

All general weather related discussion & questions, including model discussions, longer-term outlooks & anything non-breaking weather.

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JasmineStorm
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Re: La Nina - El Nino - IOD

Post by JasmineStorm » Tue Jun 06, 2017 3:48 pm

Indian Ocean has warmed of NW Australia and cooled off East Africa in the last 7 days. Interesting change and one to watch in the next 2 weeks relating to the IOD.
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SST change Indian Ocean last 7 days.jpg
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Geoff
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Re: La Nina - El Nino - IOD

Post by Geoff » Mon Aug 07, 2017 7:18 pm

Encouraging signs taking place in the Indian Ocean now, with warming to our N/W and cooling over towards Africa. Rainfall prospects should continue to improve if this development continues.

Image
AWF Rainfall Details - Monthly rainfall stats. Please post your totals here at the end of each month, thank you
http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.co ... &start=180

JasmineStorm
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Re: La Nina - El Nino - IOD

Post by JasmineStorm » Fri Aug 11, 2017 11:02 am

Geoff wrote:
Mon Aug 07, 2017 7:18 pm
Encouraging signs taking place in the Indian Ocean now, with warming to our N/W and cooling over towards Africa. Rainfall prospects should continue to improve if this development continues.
Good pick up Geoff. Interesting signs also on the eastern side of the Pacific.... looks a little La Nina-ish

Gordon
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Re: La Nina - El Nino - IOD

Post by Gordon » Sun Aug 20, 2017 11:54 am

Sneaky little 'mid-term' revision from BOM here: http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/outlooks/ ... ew/summary

Looks like the apocalyptically dry spring forecast (http://www.bom.gov.au/climate/ahead/arc ... look.shtml) needed urgent attention!

I wonder what period the 31 August outlook will apply to given the 17 August forecast is for Sept-Nov?

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