Alpine snow - May 4th-8th 2010

Post your forecasts, reports, webcams and anything to do with the white stuff over the winter period in Southern Australia. Let us know how the ski slopes are, from cross country, to the black diamonds, to general snowplay and chasing. This forum is for you.

Moderator: Jake Smethurst

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firestorm
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 239
Joined: Wed Dec 02, 2009 9:57 am
Location: Aireys Inlet

Sat May 01, 2010 5:43 pm

Well the snow season is approaching and we may have a possiblity of a pre season fall heres what i see at this stage: For alpine areas.

Tuesday: Strong/Gale forces NW winds with high cloud developing during the day rain to follow overnight it Wendensday. Temps Max 6 Min 2

Wendesday: Gales will continue enitally from NW/ shifting cooler W/SW during the morning and hopefully this is when we can see some snow showers develop over the peaks then gradually lowering to around 1500m in the arvo/evening 5-10cm i see for wendesday Max 2 Min -2.

Thrusday: to me could be a great day for widspread snow as a period of snow could devlop during the morning with snow showers to follow through the evening
winds will remain in the strong to gales force from the SW back to the W/NW before the next system then shift back coolder SW with the next system Temps will warm slightly before the on set of the next frontal system but we should see the snow hold on and not tend to rain across most alpine area Snow level rising to 1700m then back to 1400m during the day Temps Max 1 Min -3 snow accumulation 10cm-15cm

Friday: SW winds slowly easing and snow showers easing also into the evening Southern locations to fair better. Snow to 1500m slowly raising trough the day toward 1700m Min -1 Max 1 Snow accumulation 2-5cm

Saturday: some left over light snow showers through the south!

So this could be a decent little event to get the snow lover pumped for the upcomming season. But dont expect it to last very long :(


Well lets see how this pans out i love the snow and forcasting it so hopefully through the year i can learn more and become more acurate :D cheers.
Last edited by Jake Smethurst on Fri Jun 04, 2010 10:19 pm, edited 2 times in total.
Reason: Title edited.
Sniper
Supercell
Posts: 3730
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2009 8:57 pm

Mon May 03, 2010 3:34 pm

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the Alpine Areas forecast district.
Issued at 11:36 am EST on Monday 3 May 2010.


Weather Situation
A strong cold front will cross the Bight to affect the State on Tuesday.

Damaging winds averaging 50 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are forecast for parts of the Alpine Areas forecast district from Tuesday morning.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:

People should not park or shelter under trees.
Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 pm EST Monday.

This warning is also available through TV and Radio broadcasts; the Bureau's website at www.bom.gov.au or call 1300-659-217*.
firestorm
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 239
Joined: Wed Dec 02, 2009 9:57 am
Location: Aireys Inlet

Mon May 03, 2010 5:06 pm

to me we are still on track for Rain Tuesday evening then some snow Wednesday more so now 10-15cm from the front turning into snow showers into Thursday pto 5cm then it may warm into showers into Friday/Sat but wont be a heap left by then but somthing to get excited if you are a lover of the white stuff :P
Sniper
Supercell
Posts: 3730
Joined: Tue Nov 24, 2009 8:57 pm

Mon May 03, 2010 11:31 pm

Severe Weather Warning
for damaging winds
for people in the Alpine Areas forecast district.
Issued at 9:47 pm EST on Monday 3 May 2010
.

Weather Situation
A strong cold front in the Bight is moving eastwards and will affect the State on Tuesday.
Damaging winds averaging 55 to 70 km/h with peak gusts around 100 km/h are forecast for the Alpine Areas forecast district on Tuesday.

The State Emergency Service advises that people should:
People should not park or shelter under trees.
Secure or put away loose items around your house, yard and balcony.
For emergency help in floods and storms, ring your local SES Unit on 132 500.
The next warning will be issued by 5:00 am EST Tuesday.
firestorm
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 239
Joined: Wed Dec 02, 2009 9:57 am
Location: Aireys Inlet

Wed May 05, 2010 8:29 am

Well we have a nice little dusting on the ground this morning at most resorts temps around -2 im not going to crack out the skis but its always good to see the white stuff on the ground :)
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Karl Lijnders
Tornadic Supercell
Posts: 5771
Joined: Sun Nov 22, 2009 11:17 pm
Location: Knoxfield, Victoria

Thu May 06, 2010 9:35 pm

Looking like tomorrow there could be another 2-5cm about the southern resorts, in particular Baw Baw.

Next week it could dump down on the Alps. Latest US has a strong front wrapping into a low over the Tues/Wed period, with falls of 15-30cm likely.
Former Owner - The Australian Weather Forum. Email me anytime - weatherman1000@hotmail.com
firestorm
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 239
Joined: Wed Dec 02, 2009 9:57 am
Location: Aireys Inlet

Fri May 07, 2010 7:46 am

yeah Karl GFS seems to show good potential for Tues/Wed also maybe another thread later! As for today there is a chance of upto 5cm mainly baw baw and buller probably tending to a dusting the further north you go. :)
Madmel
Cumulonimbus
Posts: 182
Joined: Thu Nov 26, 2009 3:19 pm
Location: Tarneit & Williamstown Vic

Wed May 12, 2010 4:22 pm

Like the sound of it already! See what happens next week
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