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by Gordon
Sat Dec 30, 2023 7:48 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January
Replies: 54
Views: 5125

Re: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January

Not quite in that league, but a cool day here with a max of just 14.5C.

It's been an odd December. Only one day over 30C, but few really cold days either, so our average maximum will be about average - even though it feels like it's been colder.
by Gordon
Fri Dec 29, 2023 11:37 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January
Replies: 54
Views: 5125

Mild then more showers, 29 Dec to 5 January

Looks like a few cool/mild and almost dry days except for the far northwest, then more wet weather from about the 2nd to get 2024 off to a good start :). Favouring the east at this stage, although WATL has significant rain for west central and north central, and at least something further west and n...
by Gordon
Tue Dec 26, 2023 8:47 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Another 13.5mm makes 64mm for the event and 114mm mtd. That's already our second highest December total in our 27 years here. (December is often a disappointing month for us.)
by Gordon
Mon Dec 25, 2023 9:20 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

50.5mm here to 9am. Looking at the radar, hoping to make the eastern suburbs run between rainbands, but might be a case of 'Tell 'im he's dreamin'. ' Merry Christmas all, and a happy El Nino :). (Snowfall, you must be looking at a pretty impressive total for 2023? We're doing well, but I think you'v...
by Gordon
Sun Dec 24, 2023 7:26 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

stevco123 wrote: Sun Dec 24, 2023 6:51 pm My view, full on wet day west of the city tomorrow, dry in the east with showers very late in the day (don't take this view as gospel, it is just how i see things and could well be different)
That would suit me perfectly :)
by Gordon
Sun Dec 24, 2023 6:36 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Despite full cloud cover for hours, thunder is rumbling around us regularly now, and the rain is coming down at a steady to heavy rate.
by Gordon
Sun Dec 24, 2023 12:50 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Low at 10am was significantly deeper than forecast (1003 hpa vs 1006).

First showers of the system here are inbound.
by Gordon
Sat Dec 23, 2023 4:05 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Cold fronts and warm fronts have now appeared on the BOM 4 dayer that weren't there yesterday. Lots of complexity.
by Gordon
Sat Dec 23, 2023 9:27 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

I'm at the point of modifying travel plans this Christmas Day due to the threat of severe storms unloading large rain quantities on our place. I wish that was an option for us - not looking like the best day for a trip to the eastern suburbs! Only slight positive is it looks slightly less wet there...
by Gordon
Thu Dec 21, 2023 4:16 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

'Possible heavy falls' now in our BOM forecast for Christmas Day. That's up from 'Possible shower' yesterday morning, then 'Showers' yesterday afternoon. Apparently, BOM like to break it to us gently! Will be great to get more rain, although not looking forward to the Christmas drive across Melbourn...
by Gordon
Wed Dec 20, 2023 5:48 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Very quiet on here... what am I missing? Or is it just Christmas shopping bumping weather down the list :)?
by Gordon
Wed Dec 20, 2023 9:15 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Time for a new thread. As discussed a few times in the previous thread, it's beginning to look a lot like (a wet) Christmas.

Now all but two models I can see predict a rainy period, starting as early as the 23rd.
by Gordon
Tue Dec 19, 2023 10:11 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Another trough in the easterlies forming a low: December 18-20
Replies: 13
Views: 1568

Re: Another trough in the easterlies forming a low: December 18-20

Handy little addition here with 6mm to 9am, and still a few showers to come. Passed 50mm mtd; December just keeps on giving!

Cool too - just 11C currently. Christmas progs looking okay for another top-up... or perhaps not for anyone with a Mallacoota holiday planned!
by Gordon
Mon Dec 18, 2023 11:02 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Another trough in the easterlies forming a low: December 18-20
Replies: 13
Views: 1568

Re: Another trough in the easterlies forming a low: December 18-20

Cooler and damper here than I expected: full cloud and even a few spots of rain, although not enough to trouble the scorer so far.
by Gordon
Sun Dec 17, 2023 12:00 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Another trough in the easterlies forming a low: December 18-20
Replies: 13
Views: 1568

Re: Another trough in the easterlies forming a low: December 18-20

Latest climate update suggests above average rainfall for the Christmas period (map is for 21-27/12):

Image
by Gordon
Sat Dec 16, 2023 10:26 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7508

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Back home from a week away. We scored 30.5mm for the dates, making 45mm mtd. And yes, time for a new thread.
by Gordon
Sat Dec 09, 2023 9:42 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7508

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Non-stop rain here since the wee hours, only backing off somewhat now. 21.5mm so far.
by Gordon
Thu Dec 07, 2023 3:52 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7508

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Not sure the models are coping very well with the complexity... 4pm and still no update to BOM's 4 dayer.
by Gordon
Mon Dec 04, 2023 11:37 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7508

Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

New thread needed. Can we keep the rain going from late this week? WATL seems to think so. (Finish date may end up needing adjustment...)

Image
by Gordon
Mon Dec 04, 2023 8:17 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30
Replies: 104
Views: 8395

Re: Becoming humid with showers, storms and rain: November 22-30

Yes, that certainly turned into a cracker of a thread! 87mm here from 9 days straight of rain - and we're at the lower end compared to many. Back to dry - and mild to warm - for a few days, before showers return at the end of the week. This morning's WATL has most of Vic down for 15mm plus for 7th t...