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by hillybilly
Sun Feb 11, 2024 6:33 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2496

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Nice day here yesterday. Unfortunately had too many nice days with things really browned off here now. Plants starting to get pretty stressed. Warming up today. Should be mid 20s here and 30s for vic. Might nudge 35C locally in southern vic and high 30s on the north. Monday and Tuesday look similar....
by hillybilly
Fri Feb 09, 2024 6:43 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2496

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

25C here yesterday so already quite warm. Another warm one today.

Starts to crank up the heat on Sunday, but not unusually hot.
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 07, 2024 9:08 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2496

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Slow warming trend from here ahead of a warm to hot weekend, and a hot start to the work week. Pretty likely northwest VIC will see a couple of days near or above 40C. Melbourne, likely mid to high 30s. Change through TAS earlier on Tuesday and about a day later for northeast Victoria. There is quit...
by hillybilly
Wed Feb 07, 2024 9:04 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Probably time for a new thread. Quite warm then a strong front. Could be a rainband with storms on the front, but progs are pretty jumpy.

Melbourne is pretty likely to see two hot days, but probably fall short of 40C again.
by hillybilly
Tue Feb 06, 2024 5:48 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

28.8C was the top here for the event with 4mm of rain. Was hoping for a bit more, but not to be. Still dry here, though mild weather is helping. Very wet on the west coast where some spots have had over 200mm in the past two weeks. Good to see the rain in the northeast yesterday, but overall a dry s...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 04, 2024 7:24 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

42.5C at Walpeup the top for VIC, and 39.1C at Point Cook the top for the Melbourne metro. Pretty typical February stinker. Will be short lived with the change slowly pushing in. Almost fine for the south, but the northeast will get some rain from the ex-TC. Quite a different day down here. Had a ma...
by hillybilly
Sun Feb 04, 2024 8:26 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Stinker today for VIC. Might sneak a 40C somewhere around Melbourne today, but cbd looks like a near miss. Northwest will easily get past 40C. Melbourne historically used to average a 40C about once ever year or two, so nothing too unusual with summer so far, except all that rain which was locally r...
by hillybilly
Thu Feb 01, 2024 6:00 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Progs not really budging. They sped up the change and have now slowed it down. Still think the old 100F looks good for Melbourne. Avalon will turn on one of its most horrible days with gusty winds and a 40C+. That area can really behave like it’s in the middle of the desert under the right condition...
by hillybilly
Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:23 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Classic summer stinker coming up to start the new month. Saturday won’t be too bad, perhaps peaking at high 30s, but Sunday looks quite awful for the southern mainland. Temps into the low to mid 40s in the northwest, touch 40C in the south, and gust windy with a late in the day change. Front looks b...
by hillybilly
Tue Jan 30, 2024 6:20 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Not a lot to report down here with mild to warm days rolling on. Tis worth noting that the climate has reorganised with the SAM dropping back to neutral after two to three months of dominant positive SAM. Means next few weeks will likely be a lot hotter and drier for the southern mainland. Time for ...
by hillybilly
Sat Jan 27, 2024 6:19 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Some amazing totals there 😳 We’ve been stuck down here between the tropical systems to the north and fronts to the south. Been really windy last few days, but most showers being shredded by the ranges. Picked a couple of mm’s so far. Hasn’t been a bad summer here with our total so far almost exactly...
by hillybilly
Wed Jan 24, 2024 8:24 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

One 40C day in ten years? We’ve had nine in the past five years in Melbourne. The number has increased a lot as you’d expect given Australia has warmed by 1.5C. Theres nothing normal about 50C in Australia. The cloud band over northern Victoria has stalled and is edging south. Will be some patchy ra...
by hillybilly
Wed Jan 24, 2024 6:02 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Looks like a lot of lightening around Melbs to start the day. All high based and really fast moving. Not seeing much weather today for most of us from about 8am.

Record or near record heat to our north with both day and highs being approached or broken, but we sit south of it all.
by hillybilly
Tue Jan 23, 2024 6:09 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Our coolest day yesterday in a while with a max of 16C. Not really complaining as it makes going to work easier. Warming up the next few days. We avoid the real heat, but probably mid 20s Wednesday and Thursday. Heat creeps into the far northwest of VIC, but overall warm rather than particularly hot...
by hillybilly
Sun Jan 21, 2024 6:39 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3395

Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

A bit of a mixed bag this week with a couple of warm to hot days (north) followed by a weak low mid week with steadily cooling uppers heading into the long weekend. Not expecting much weather, but could be a weak rainband mid week, depending on moisture streaming out of the tropical low near WA, and...
by hillybilly
Sun Jan 21, 2024 6:33 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Struggling a bit to find the new thread. Warm, some showers, then cooler…. that’s about it 🤔 Record heat for northwest WA, near record heat for central, a major TC crossing near Townsville follow by the system running down parallel to the coast but inland so a lot of weather, but the southeast is la...
by hillybilly
Fri Jan 19, 2024 7:36 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Nice showery Thursday here with a further 4mm. Cleared today to a nice sunny afternoon. Ducks are happy with the dams jumping a couple of inches and the grass getting a green flush. Not a lot in the progs. Mild weekend, short warm spell (possibly rather too hot in the Mallee) then a cooler run down ...
by hillybilly
Thu Jan 18, 2024 6:45 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Very welcome event down here with just shy of 20mm. Across northern parts of TAS, pretty general 20-50mm falls. South a bit patchier but most spots got at least 15mm, and a few did better with local storms. Heard one rumble here, and was even a possible water spout over our local bay https://pulseho...
by hillybilly
Wed Jan 17, 2024 6:28 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Significant day today. For vic a solid rainband, though will be a bit patchy in the north. It’s not overly heavy but with high precip water values and some embed storms and slow movement would think a good inch for many. Having been hotter and drier don’t expect too many issues, though the local fla...
by hillybilly
Tue Jan 16, 2024 6:40 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5363

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Wow, hadn’t picked that little storm near Moorabbin Airport 😳 That area has really copped it this year. Thats near 250mm in six weeks. Today is a bit of a waiting day, with showers and storms developing late in western VIC and over the coast west of TAS, moving through both states early Thursday. It...