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by I_Love_Storms
Fri Sep 30, 2016 9:12 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Gfs pushing heavy falls furthe East. EC still hammering central with bigger falls
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Sep 29, 2016 2:46 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Tassie is gonna get smashed. The whole of Vic is going to get smashed by this system Sun to Tues. I am looking at latest GFS gives widespread 50mm on top of what everywhere as already had. Rinse and repeat by GFS. Latest below: http://stormcast.bsch.com.au/tmp/gfs.raincast.bsch.init-2016092900z.star...
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Sep 29, 2016 8:48 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Latest here. Barely anything next 2 days as follows: http://stormcast.bsch.com.au/tmp/gfs.raincast.bsch.init-2016092818z.start-0.stop-48.vic..png Next system (Sun to Tues) then as follows: http://stormcast.bsch.com.au/tmp/gfs.raincast.bsch.init-2016092818z.start-48.stop-144.vic..png Patience everyon...
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Sep 29, 2016 8:42 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Such a long and extensive thread for a South Australian event. Sunday will be a failure as well for Southern and Eastern areas. Oh well, it did look promising a week ago. It won't be, have faith! I will post GFS chart when available http://stormcast.bsch.com.au/tmp/gfs.raincast.bsch.init-2016092812...
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Sep 29, 2016 8:41 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Latest GFS smashes central on Sunday Monday, gives us barely anything today or tomorrow, then 40-50mm Sunday Monday at initial glance :o
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Sep 29, 2016 8:23 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

JasmineStorm wrote:Another outer band just coming through Macedon Ranges, that is 30mm now here
Wow! Didn't expect Macedon to be at 30mm so quickly
by I_Love_Storms
Thu Sep 29, 2016 7:10 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Yeah not much here til Sunday where an inch looks good
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 7:48 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Maybe SA radar broken as well looks like it is struggling
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 7:45 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Yeah that is an epic line of storms for September. Looks like a summer radar
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 4:33 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Rain was always going to be a struggle in southern areas, especially just west of central, compared to the large falls we will see north of the divide. The NW band on Sunday/Monday will also hit East Central more due to the trajectory. Overall this system definitely isn't downgraded, it is a once in...
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 4:22 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

SEVERE WEATHER WARNING for DAMAGING WINDS For people in the West Coast, Lower Eyre Peninsula, Eastern Eyre Peninsula, Yorke Peninsula, North West Pastoral and parts of the Adelaide Metropolitan, Mount Lofty Ranges, Kangaroo Island, Flinders, Mid North and North East Pastoral districts. Issued at 3:4...
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 4:22 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

stevco123 wrote:Unbelievable. If you look at the Weatherzone satellite loop, you can see it breaking up in the last few frames as it heads towards Ballarat
Yes as further away from low there isn't as much lifting. We need to be patient and lucky.
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 3:16 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Hawker wrote:If anyone has a a link to what is happening somewhere, facebook etc,
put it up here. I am not much of a social media user and can't find things.
Thanks in advance Chris
Check this link out:

https://twitter.com/hashtag/AdelaideSto ... 6627600384
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 1:50 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Latest GFS still showing Adelaide metro and North of divide gonna cop it most rainfall wise with this initial system. 50mm in some spots looks likely (this is just up to Friday midday)
by I_Love_Storms
Wed Sep 28, 2016 1:46 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217759

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Posters from SA on WZ saying radar is overestimating the mid level rainfall quite considerably, yes Strato 10mm seems to be about the max so far, BUT , I've just seen this reading from Adelaide Airport, it MUST be an error.....http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDS60801/IDS60801.99061.shtml :o I saw th...