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by Geoff
Sun Apr 23, 2017 7:29 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic - April 23-30: Mild then a sequence of fronts and cold air
Replies: 141
Views: 61516

Re: April 23-30: Mild then a sequence of fronts and cold air

Favorable set up developing for us in the Dandenongs, and with it going on for most of the week we could end up with some big totals. The only drawback could be a flow that's too southerly for us, but with the bay at 17C and some pretty cold air all week it wouldn't surprise me if we get over 50mm, ...
by Geoff
Thu Apr 20, 2017 8:15 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low
Replies: 115
Views: 53241

Re: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: Thu Apr 20, 2017 8:09 am when do I have to have this mowing done by..?
If you can't get it done today, then Saturday might be okay Shell. Next week not looking favorable.
EC has dropped our expected rainfall from 72mm to 30mm, that'll do fine.
by Geoff
Wed Apr 19, 2017 6:39 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low
Replies: 115
Views: 53241

Re: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low

Oh well, lets just see what eventuates. Remember up until a couple of days ago some of the models were indicating mostly dry weather through the rest of the month. EC currently forecasting 72mm here in the next nine days! :o
by Geoff
Sun Apr 16, 2017 5:35 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low
Replies: 115
Views: 53241

Re: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low

The average temperature for Launceston in April is 20 degrees. It is forecast to get above that temperature for all of next week with maximum temperatures of 20,22,23,24,22,22,22. Hobart will reach 25 and Melbourne 26 mid next week. Yep, a bit of "deja vu" with the old blocking Tasman Hig...
by Geoff
Fri Apr 14, 2017 5:26 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential upper low
Replies: 115
Views: 53241

Re: Vic: April 12 -22 Cool, mild, warm, then a potential v strong front / low

StratoBendigo wrote: Fri Apr 14, 2017 5:11 pm 00Z GFS run looks terrible. Very strong high pressure ridge well to our South. No rain in sight.
Yes, I noticed that, but it's been doing that for a few days now, flip-flopping from big rains to next to nothing on alternate runs.
EC still keen for reasonable falls from the 19th-22nd.
by Geoff
Thu Apr 13, 2017 9:05 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events
Replies: 27
Views: 29223

Re: 2017 Possible upcoming weather events

I thought I'd just post this chart as something for us to salivate over while we wait for the current boredom to pass.....

Imagegifs uploadcertificity.com
by Geoff
Wed Apr 12, 2017 7:30 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Some boredom and maybe some action later next week coming up for us, I think we need a new thread. Difficult, nothing much happening to have a thread about. There's always the "Day to day weather talk" thread which gets little use. Next Wednesday or Thursday looks to be the next "eve...
by Geoff
Tue Apr 11, 2017 5:03 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Anyone notice Darwin is sitting on 20 degrees at the moment? Must be wearing jackets up there They're probably wearing full polar gear! Incidentally, the current low daily max record for April in Darwin is 24.6c set in 1954. A good chance of that being broken I reckon... ...and down to 18C now, loo...
by Geoff
Mon Apr 10, 2017 7:56 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

hillybilly wrote: Mon Apr 10, 2017 7:38 pm 37mm so far and hoping to slip past 40 with mizzle overnight. Suspect we will fall just short.
Latest radar loop is encouraging, quite an increase in showers moving up from Bass Strait this evening.
by Geoff
Mon Apr 10, 2017 10:41 am
Forum: International Weather Archives
Topic: Northern Hemisphere Winter
Replies: 4
Views: 16083

Re: Northern Hemisphere Winter

Some extraordinary scenes coming out of Newfoundland after one of their famous "Noreasters".....
by Geoff
Mon Apr 10, 2017 9:32 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

...and now we play catch up.
Torrential drizzle/light rain here this morning quickly adding up.
Congrats to the western desert folks, long overdue for you over there! :D
by Geoff
Sun Apr 09, 2017 8:12 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

I took a screenshot, just because it's an image we hardly ever see, western side of Melbourne getting smashed while the east is dry and calm.

Imageimage url
by Geoff
Sun Apr 09, 2017 1:21 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Australis(Shell3155) wrote: Sun Apr 09, 2017 1:17 pm you should be getting it now Geoff,
Yep, getting a good thrashing now. :D
by Geoff
Sun Apr 09, 2017 1:06 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Next line of showers suddenly exploding as they cross the eastern suburbs. Should be on us here in a few minutes. (Thunder heard)..
by Geoff
Sun Apr 09, 2017 7:53 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Anyone have any ideas when we will know about the low location? BOM AccessR has the low with two centres tony. One south of east Gippsland while the other moves up from below the bay, over the bay and N/E into eastern Vic, taking the bulk of the rain across north central. It's all a bit uncertain t...
by Geoff
Sat Apr 08, 2017 5:23 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Lightning and thunder getting closer from the N/W here, rain has started.
by Geoff
Sat Apr 08, 2017 4:42 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low

Gone very dark indeed, but all the good stuff seems to be slipping south of us.
(Just heard a distant rumble to our south).
by Geoff
Sun Apr 02, 2017 7:53 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1st to 8th Mild, warm to very warm

Had a chuckle to myself when I saw this tonight from Yr Norwegian (GFS).....

Imageupload gif
by Geoff
Sat Apr 01, 2017 8:23 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic- April 1 - 10 Mild, warm then a major front, possible cut off low
Replies: 257
Views: 111426

Re: Vic- April 1st to 8th Mild, warm to very warm

There's a whole batch of showers currently moving up the lower end of the bay, I wonder how far they'll get? The coming week looks absolutely glorious. After the recent rain here a sunny mild/warm week will do wonders for the start of the autumn colour season. GFS getting very excited about next wee...
by Geoff
Fri Mar 31, 2017 7:02 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Strong cold front: March. 29-30
Replies: 55
Views: 25538

Re: Strong cold front: March. 29-30

No more showers here today, so event finished on 17mm taking our March total to 69mm, an awful lot better than I thought it was going to be half way through the month.
YTD = 240mm.