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by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 10:21 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure system over SE AUS - Sept 28 - 30 2016

This beast is upgrading...... I didn't think that could be possible.... History tells us, this has to downgrade. If it doesn't, this is carnage for most of vic
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 4:55 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic: Epic low pressure system over SE AUS - Sept 28 - 30 2016

Thanks for the welcome Jake and tend to agree with your and ilovestorms comments. BoM are in a tough position......but their severe weather forecasters would have heightened senses and slightly quicker heartbeats watching this unfold. If it keeps lining up like this, they'll have to pull the trigger...
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 3:55 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic / Tas / SA Epic low pressure system Sept 28 - 30

Starting to really ramp up on GFS on the latest run. 986 hPA over central Victorian highlands late Wednesday accompanied with a bucket tipping from the sky. I need to look 3 times and rub the eyes ... Long way to go though.....Looking forward to the next EC run.
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 11:55 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Two troughs: September 24 to 26 2016
Replies: 28
Views: 11466

Re: Two troughs: September 24 to 26

Hi guys, tend to agree on maybe the upside near 10mm in the south. The latest satellite pic is showing a little more feed from the north than was originally thought. It will definitely keep the gauges ticking overnight across Vic.
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 11:43 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic / Tas / SA Epic low pressure system Sept 28 - 30

On the Beaufort scale 64 knots + is a hurricane (cyclone). If you live on the west coast of Vic facing south on Thursday night.... it could be a touch cyclonic
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 10:32 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic / Tas / SA Epic low pressure system Sept 28 - 30

The models are definitely fascinating..... If they keep lining up like this by Tuesday, I think this storm might have to be given a name. Models are absolute atomic....but....will it go off....
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 24, 2016 8:55 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic / Tas / SA Epic low pressure system Sept 28 - 30

Agree with this mornings analysis. Interesting updates from the last run on GFS, it's upgraded its rainfall....especially across the ranges. Models are wiggling around as you would expect but this still looks fairly serious. Rainfall across the ranges just outside Melbourne are now becoming consiste...
by JasmineStorm
Fri Sep 23, 2016 5:58 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic / Tas / SA Epic low pressure system Sept 28 - 30

Thanks Rivergirl and skywalker for the welcome..... Location now updated. GFS and EC latest runs are starting to align.....
by JasmineStorm
Fri Sep 23, 2016 8:54 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Re: Vic / Tas / SA Epic low pressure system Sept 28 - 30

Thanks for the Welcome Geoff. I've been watching the forums for a while but decided to pull the trigger once the EC model kept reporting the same story, then BoM jumped in as well overnight. GFS is too erratic for me but it's also coming into line. One thing is for sure....it's a very strong cold fr...
by JasmineStorm
Fri Sep 23, 2016 8:02 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016
Replies: 596
Views: 217757

Vic: Epic low pressure sequence over SE AUS - Sept 28 - Oct 4 2016

Based on current models, this beast deserves its own thread. This maybe the largest weather system and rain event since January 2011 for SE Oz. It's going to throw the kitchen sink at SE Australia. Extreme wind, heavy rain and the back end looks like sending a polar pulse and low snow fall by Friday...