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by stevco123
Tue Jan 16, 2024 1:40 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Moorabbin, 40mm in 15 minutes. Oh boy 😳😳😳
by stevco123
Sat Jan 13, 2024 12:30 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Cloudy, chance of a shower. Can BoM look out the window now and change their forecast? Looks like a wet day ahead. Another fail
by stevco123
Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:10 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

The one gauge 6 million people will be hearing about tonight and talk about has now passed 59mm for the event: the Melbourne CBD gauge.

Over a months' worth in 24 hours
by stevco123
Mon Jan 08, 2024 8:49 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

100% humidity, rain coming straight down, no wind. Definitely feels like far north Queensland out there.

14mm in half an hour, 45mm since 9am yesterday, and the nearby Melbourne Water gauge confirms that with 46mm.
Radar looks interesting.
by stevco123
Sun Jan 07, 2024 2:13 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Please keep comments respectful in the forum. BOM bashing is not cool. Please also be mindful that some of our significant contributing members are closely connected to the Bureau and deserve respect. Thanks Admin Team Agree with the principles of respectful comments, but everyone has the right to ...
by stevco123
Sun Jan 07, 2024 11:25 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

The last time BoM had a conference advising of 200mm falls, it failed spectacularly. People were told to go home early from work, change plans etc. In the end, something like 5mm fell. At least they're abandoning their el nino narrative. Should've listened to other amateur meteorologists who declar...
by stevco123
Sat Jan 06, 2024 7:21 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

The last time BoM had a conference advising of 200mm falls, it failed spectacularly. People were told to go home early from work, change plans etc. In the end, something like 5mm fell. At least they're abandoning their el nino narrative. Should've listened to other amateur meteorologists who declare...
by stevco123
Tue Dec 26, 2023 9:29 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Over 30mm for the event here. Might got a possible late, short lived El Nino in late Jan/Feb, but one would think it's days are very much numbered
by stevco123
Mon Dec 25, 2023 4:42 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Well i was wrong. 24mm today, amongst the highest in Melbourne metro for now. Frankston is higher at 37mm
by stevco123
Mon Dec 25, 2023 10:30 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Partly blue sky here now. Spitting drops a little but nothing fancy. I'm actually thinking we could miss the bulk of the rain as it skirts just to the north, as the low is forecast to move north and then east. Timing, as usual, is everything.
by stevco123
Mon Dec 25, 2023 9:58 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Great to see BoM doing their bit for once and providing an updated forecast as at 9.30am. :)
by stevco123
Mon Dec 25, 2023 8:34 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Still thinking 50/50 chance of a continuous rainy day for Melbourne, going by the radar. Could well be fine most of the day. Current rainband seems to be dissipating
by stevco123
Sun Dec 24, 2023 10:39 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

Seems to be breaking up over Melbourne. Hhmm...
by stevco123
Sun Dec 24, 2023 6:51 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

My view, full on wet day west of the city tomorrow, dry in the east with showers very late in the day (don't take this view as gospel, it is just how i see things and could well be different)
by stevco123
Sat Dec 23, 2023 11:06 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December
Replies: 87
Views: 8837

Re: Wet Christmas 23 to 28 December

I'm always overly cautious with these types of setups. BoM will get heavily criticised if it ends up being a mostly fine day. They're already in deep **** over the Cairns flood emergency. Years of cutbacks and "streamlining" is coming back to haunt them now. They need to come out with a pr...
by stevco123
Wed Dec 13, 2023 5:51 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7500

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Beautiful night for a bbq. No storms tonight by the look of it.
by stevco123
Wed Dec 13, 2023 4:44 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7500

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Some awesome development to my north west. The clear really shows storms building
by stevco123
Wed Dec 13, 2023 2:55 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7500

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Very unorganised storms. Annoying
by stevco123
Tue Dec 12, 2023 11:36 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12
Replies: 76
Views: 7500

Re: Warm then more showers, 4/12 to13/12

Dangerous storms. Cloud to ground lightning. Definitely hitting power terminals