Search found 1315 matches

by crikey
Sun Aug 25, 2019 9:46 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 119
Views: 3279

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

The first signs of this upcoming tropical troughing appearing on the surface synoptic tomorrow . Monday the 25th Aug.The dip commences west of the divide in QLD tomorrow with no precip' but wondering if we will start to see some cloud development on that trough line initiating. The first signs of a ...
by crikey
Sun Aug 25, 2019 9:21 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Didjman wrote:
Sat Aug 24, 2019 7:21 pm
We almost have a split at 10hpa:
https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 96.80,1379
I can't see anything that resembles a split? atm

Thanks for the temp' anomalies for polar stratosphere. That certainly looks intriguing.
by crikey
Sat Aug 24, 2019 2:57 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Jetstream report.24th August 2019 The southern hemisphere jetstream pattern has changed from zonal sub tropical and weak sub polar in the winter of 2019 to a moderate meridonal wavy pattern for both jets. The sub polar jet still looks a bit weak https://weathercycles.files.wordpress.com/2019/08/24th...
by crikey
Sat Aug 24, 2019 2:02 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

The AAO seems to be responding to the stratosphere temperature anomalies by remaining negative since July 4th 2019 and is forecasting another significant drop in the AAO this coming week into the first week of September. That is now 51 days in the negative range :D Might have to keep watching the st...
by crikey
Sat Aug 24, 2019 1:38 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

There is something strange going on at 10 Hpa. At 70Hpa, the 3 elongated vortices have air moving clockwise into them. At 10Hpa the winds are still clockwise but spiralling outwards like the top of a cyclone. https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/orthographic=-220.20,-91.86,1379...
by crikey
Sat Aug 24, 2019 1:26 pm
Forum: New South Wales / Australian Capital Territory
Topic: Sydney/NSW: Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 175
Views: 43215

Re: Sydney/NSW: Day to Day Weather Talk

The calender spring is here in a week. There are signs the surface synoptic pattern is changing . August 29th 2019 A big tropical dip in isobars off the coast of east Australia draws tropical moisture down to a low off the NSW .Some of this wetstuff is directed onto the coast via a SE onshore flow.,...
by crikey
Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:27 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

I'm seeing a +60 to +70c temperature anomalies on EC 00Z 22082019 in the upper stratosphere at the end of August over Antarctica. Ladies and Gentlemen, boys and girls....I'm speechless. In the short term, this will have a global impact on weather patterns over many months if it comes off. could you...
by crikey
Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:16 pm
Forum: Southern Western Australia
Topic: Perth/WA - Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 484
Views: 70140

Re: Perth/WA - Day to Day Weather Talk

Another nice trough and cold front for the SW WA. ACCG forecast t+ 162 hrs With a tad of Infeed from the Indian ocean https://weathercycles.files.wordpress.com/2019/08/28th-aug-2019-tropicaldip-in-isobars.jpg source http://www.bom.gov.au/australia/charts/viewer/index.shtml?type=mslp-precip&tz=AEDT&a...
by crikey
Fri Aug 23, 2019 1:02 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 119
Views: 3279

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

I am happy to post this good news August 28th 2019 Is this the start of the SE QLD storm season. Here we have a small tropical dip in isobars aligning with a protrusion of the westerly belt (troughing). We have a 500 and 200hPa trough supporting the surface albeit this upper troughing sits a tad wes...
by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 2:37 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: World Weather
Replies: 23
Views: 842

Re: World Weather

by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 2:04 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 119
Views: 3279

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

Crikey, You highlighted my daily temp anomaly...As of yesterday the anomaly for the month was barely positive at +0.08C. Last 24 hour temps have pushed the monthly anomaly back to the negative. thanks for the clarification.RWM ACC G forecast August 26th 2019 The tip of a trough might bring a few dr...
by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 9:01 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

JasmineStorm wrote:
Thu Aug 22, 2019 6:41 am
Main EC model goes KABOOM by 31 Aug. Full blown SSW @ 10 hPa over the South Pole.
The color temp' variation certainly looks very impressive.
The 10hPa wind stream still looks very much in tact this morning.
Thanks for all the updates.
by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:55 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

This morning we have finally have a vortex split with almost a third vortex between the two: https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-230.80,-86.65,3000 a picture for the archives https://weathercycles.files.wordpress.com/2019/08/22nd-augb2019-central-vortex-2-circula...
by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:29 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp10anim.gif https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp30anim.gif https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp50anim.gif Would l be right in saying that heat anomaly is starting to rotate around the pole again, or is...
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 1:35 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Welcome to 'djon' from weatherchaser website. There is a smorgasbord of radar and satellite images, as wel as other cool stuff Check out this massive cold pool and front off the Sth coast of WA atm,. The neg' AAO continuing to do its magic with a strong meridonal wavy pattern in the westerly belt. s...
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:24 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 119
Views: 3279

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER DATE....21 AUG 2019...TIME...0730 SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS ......20.9C THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......5.0C ( Coldest morning of the year ) PAST 24 HOUR TEMP.ANOMALY..-3.35C THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....3.1C AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......2C AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP......
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:17 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

JasmineStorm wrote:
Wed Aug 21, 2019 8:39 am
Goodness me.....over 100+ models across multiple agencies are now showing an extraordinary heat bomb developing over the polar region in the upper stratosphere at the end of August.
Look forward to your updates.
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:15 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

The jet around the Polar "Vortex" is now anything BUT circular at 70Hpa! https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-210.74,-95.15,488 Yes. 70hPa has lost symetry for sure. Noting also, one side of the 10hPa polar vortex has reduced wind speed. https://earth.nullschool.n...
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:11 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

May l recommend you start up your own 'Wordpress' account and publish and save your research there. Its good fun and free. It even downloads and stores your pictures there on their server ................ https://didjman59.wordpress.com/2019/08/20/eddy-heat-flux-anomalies-over-antarctica-winter-201...
by crikey
Tue Aug 20, 2019 2:58 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 288
Views: 9088

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Crikey, up the top of that site is a drop down menu where you can select "eddy heat flux anomalies" :D Also Crikey, I am saving the heat flux anomaly charts as a sequence for my own learning :D May l recommend you start up your own 'Wordpress' account and publish and save your research there. Its g...