Search found 1304 matches

by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 9:01 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

JasmineStorm wrote:
Thu Aug 22, 2019 6:41 am
Main EC model goes KABOOM by 31 Aug. Full blown SSW @ 10 hPa over the South Pole.
The color temp' variation certainly looks very impressive.
The 10hPa wind stream still looks very much in tact this morning.
Thanks for all the updates.
by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:55 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

This morning we have finally have a vortex split with almost a third vortex between the two: https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-230.80,-86.65,3000 a picture for the archives https://weathercycles.files.wordpress.com/2019/08/22nd-augb2019-central-vortex-2-circula...
by crikey
Thu Aug 22, 2019 8:29 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp10anim.gif https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp30anim.gif https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/intraseasonal/temp50anim.gif Would l be right in saying that heat anomaly is starting to rotate around the pole again, or is...
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 1:35 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Welcome to 'djon' from weatherchaser website. There is a smorgasbord of radar and satellite images, as wel as other cool stuff Check out this massive cold pool and front off the Sth coast of WA atm,. The neg' AAO continuing to do its magic with a strong meridonal wavy pattern in the westerly belt. s...
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:24 am
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 107
Views: 1572

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

WYNNUM NORTH ( 27.4S 153.2E ) - WEATHER DATE....21 AUG 2019...TIME...0730 SUMMARY LAST 24 HOURS ......20.9C THIS MORNING'S MIN TEMP......5.0C ( Coldest morning of the year ) PAST 24 HOUR TEMP.ANOMALY..-3.35C THIS MORNING'S GRASS MIN.....3.1C AVERAGE 24 HOUR DEW POINT......2C AVERAGE 24 HOUR MSLP......
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:17 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

JasmineStorm wrote:
Wed Aug 21, 2019 8:39 am
Goodness me.....over 100+ models across multiple agencies are now showing an extraordinary heat bomb developing over the polar region in the upper stratosphere at the end of August.
Look forward to your updates.
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:15 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

The jet around the Polar "Vortex" is now anything BUT circular at 70Hpa! https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-210.74,-95.15,488 Yes. 70hPa has lost symetry for sure. Noting also, one side of the 10hPa polar vortex has reduced wind speed. https://earth.nullschool.n...
by crikey
Wed Aug 21, 2019 10:11 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

May l recommend you start up your own 'Wordpress' account and publish and save your research there. Its good fun and free. It even downloads and stores your pictures there on their server ................ https://didjman59.wordpress.com/2019/08/20/eddy-heat-flux-anomalies-over-antarctica-winter-201...
by crikey
Tue Aug 20, 2019 2:58 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Crikey, up the top of that site is a drop down menu where you can select "eddy heat flux anomalies" :D Also Crikey, I am saving the heat flux anomaly charts as a sequence for my own learning :D May l recommend you start up your own 'Wordpress' account and publish and save your research there. Its g...
by crikey
Tue Aug 20, 2019 2:38 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 107
Views: 1572

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

Feeling quite cool here this afternoon in a ENE breeze with sun
Just checking obs' for today, 2pm.
Its 19 deg but feels like 13deg c ! Going to put jumper on.
The dew points have been very low. Between minus 6 and zero since 9am.
http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDN60801 ... 4592.shtml
by crikey
Tue Aug 20, 2019 1:31 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Zooming in, there is a lot of wind shear attacking the Polar Vortex at both 10 and 70 Hpa: https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/10hPa/orthographic=-233.64,-90.11,1363 https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/wind/isobaric/70hPa/orthographic=-233.64,-90.11,782 Looking at the following an...
by crikey
Tue Aug 20, 2019 1:18 pm
Forum: South Australia
Topic: Adelaide/South Australia: Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 17
Views: 780

Re: Adelaide/South Australia: Day to Day Weather Talk

A very deep high pressure system centrex just off the SA coast today. 20th August 2019
12.30pm BOM obs for Nullabor at 1038hPa.
Don't that very often
http://www.bom.gov.au/sa/observations/s ... ml?ref=hdr
by crikey
Mon Aug 19, 2019 2:19 pm
Forum: SE Queensland / NE New South Wales
Topic: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019
Replies: 107
Views: 1572

Re: Southern QLD/ Wide Bay & North NSW day to day weather 2019

Have July and August been unusually dry in South East Queensland? This BOM deciles map,indicates it has been dryer west of the divide in the past 3 months. Lots of high pressure and zonal sub tropical jet hasn't helped. The weather on the Gold coast has been absolutely splendid for the tourists thi...
by crikey
Mon Aug 19, 2019 2:06 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 172
Views: 2856

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

Yes. 'didj' . The central vortex is definately looking very nodal. Thanks for the updates. ......... 19th August 2019 The AAO has been negative since July 2019. That’ 46 days in the negative range. We haven’t seen a long negative phase like this for awhile. The AAO is currently minus one and forecas...
by crikey
Sun Aug 18, 2019 7:52 pm
Forum: Southern Western Australia
Topic: Perth/WA - Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 483
Views: 68705

Re: Perth/WA - Day to Day Weather Talk

SW WA to get another westerly belt trough and cold front, with tropical moisture infeed from the Indian ocean
22nd Augustm2019
Image
by crikey
Sun Aug 18, 2019 5:34 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: World Weather
Replies: 20
Views: 446

Re: World Weather

August 17th 2019
Amazing footage of flash flooding in the streets of Instanbul, Turkey

https://twitter.com/severeweatherEU/sta ... 3976192000
by crikey
Sun Aug 18, 2019 4:00 pm
Forum: South Australia
Topic: Adelaide/South Australia: Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 17
Views: 780

Re: Adelaide/South Australia: Day to Day Weather Talk

18th Aug 2019.3.30pm. Cold pool has arrived.
Adelaide 7.6 deg c , feels like 3 deg c
Mount Lofty temp',is dropping nicely. Currently 2 deg c with a dew point of 2 deg c.
Good chance for snow up there as the sun goes down this evening

http://www.bom.gov.au/sa/observations/s ... ml?ref=hdr
by crikey
Sun Aug 18, 2019 3:55 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: VICTORIAN SNOW. Past and Present
Replies: 2
Views: 46

Re: VICTORIAN SNOW. Past and Present

Oh.,That is so awesome 'JS'.,Thanks for posting :D Most people know about spencer creek snow depth time series in NSW but many don't know that Mount Buller has their own..Natural snow depth time series 1979 to 2017 I have no idea why they don't have 2018 and 2019? https://www.mtbuller.com.au/Winter/...
by crikey
Sat Aug 17, 2019 4:42 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: VICTORIAN SNOW. Past and Present
Replies: 2
Views: 46

VICTORIAN SNOW. Past and Present

I made this thread so snow records wouldn't be lost in the event threads. ............. 11/12th August 2019.l went to Falls creek. It was 48hrs after the big snow dump on the alps. The road was closed to Falls creek the day after it snowed Antartic blast thread http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.c...
by crikey
Fri Aug 16, 2019 6:09 pm
Forum: Southern Western Australia
Topic: Perth/WA - Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 483
Views: 68705

Re: Perth/WA - Day to Day Weather Talk

Following on from above Weatherzone https://www.weatherzone.com.au/news/best-snowfall-in-years-expected-on-was-highest-peaks-this-weekend/530077 extracts 'This could be the best snowfall to hit the Stirling Ranges in recent years with snow expected to fall as low as 600 metres, potentially covering ...