The Australian Weather Forum

Hard to report when nothing is happening. Almost rained here a couple of times but nothing in the gauge. Some light showers around the west of TAS and coastal Vic, which will pick up a bit in the next few days.

We might get something middle of next week, but too early to be confident.

One of those threads you have between threads. Lots of big highs and weak fronts for the foreseeable future. Will make for lots of gloom in central Victoria and the odd shower, but for most of Australia is just more mild sunny days. Hard to pick individual fronts as they wiggle in timing and are all...

Southern Australia is really split atm. Big falls through central VIC basically centred on Melbourne and the area from Canberra to about Sydney, while SA and WA has a big dry, and TAS gets the dredges. Really stuck weather patterns, which look like sticking for another week to ten days. Struggling t...

Remarkable bay event for parts of central. A warm bay plus cold upper. The bay is still a remarkable 20C so 850Ts of 0C make for an exceptionally unstable airmass. Nothing much to report for TAS. A few dry coldies. Light dusting on the peaks. Tis a cold dry air ass overall. The system is destined to...

Nice rainy Sunday here, though just light. Most spots scored 5mm in the southeast, but heavy falls in parts of the northeast with a few spots near 50mm for the event. Rather cold week head. Westerly flow and quite dry air, so rain will be limited to coastal areas, and focused on western TAS and east...

Looks like a bit of a miss for most on the forum. Good for eastern VIC and northeast TAS and eastern NSW, but rest getting the scrappy showers that make it further west. Down here in southeast TAS waiting to see how far the rain pushes. Progs range from near 20mm to less than a mm across the greater...

Thanks for the new thread Gordon. Looks like a big event for NSW, ok for eastern Victoria and northeast TAS, and showery for quite a few days for western TAS and east central VIC. Not so much elsewhere. The southwesterly part of the system will be very cold and long lived. For quite a while it will ...

Dipped to 3.8C this morning. Feels like we’ve gone from summer to winter with nothing in between.

Next system is already in the progs. Easterly dip becoming an east coast low. Will then be followed by a series of strong cold fronts. Heavy falls in eastern NSW, VIC and TAS. Showers elsewhere.

Chilly 7C here this morning with a light dusting on the mountain.

Showers mostly cleared.

Cold air is headed for the NSW coast where a ECL will form. This will drift south and spread showers over the southeast from about Sunday. Might be a decent follow-up depending on the track of the low.

Nice rainy day here with a wrap around. Finished just shy of 20mm. First proper rain in ten weeks. Very very welcome. Northern TAS did great, while the south did pretty well, mostly between 15 and 30mm. Bands were slow moving so a few spots did better, including the hilly suburbs just south of Hobar...

Fantastic event for central Victoria and nearby parts. Two months of almost zilch then a months worth of rain in 12 hours. All very normal :? Great for northern half of Tasmania. Not so great for southern Tasmania. Progs basically picked this. Had just 6mm here so far. Freshens things up, but not en...

Progs not changing much, a bit better for most of TAS. Probably a bit more compact for Victoria with a harder west and east boundary. It moves out of Victoria fairly quickly so totals will be a bit limited despite the heavy fall rates with storms. It loiters more over northern Tas where the biggest ...

Classic autumn break brewing? Timings about right. Isn’t very widespread though - basically a Victorian and Tasmanian event, but not gonna complain if we all do well. Progs are holding or building totals. Most of TAS and VIC now showing 20-50mm. Far southwest of TAS and far west and east of VIC mig...

Thread for the incoming system. Slow moving trough which develops into a deep low which passes over or near Tasmania. Showers and storms building on Monday becoming widespread and heavy. Will then slowly spread south. Expect close to a months worth of rain in central Victoria and northern Tasmania. ...

Really seeing some good rain totals across 90% of the forecast models now. Yep. Looks very good for the middle half of VIC and northern TAS. Slow moving low with storms spreading to rain. Not sure about the western and eastern edges of VIC and southern TAS is in and out of the rain. Perhaps a threa...

The dry just rolls on. Not sure what to think of next week. Models are very jump, and can’t decide between 5 and 50mm. Going by the last three months that usually ends in zero mm Hope to be completely wrong and that this awful drought affecting the eastern half of TAS finally starts to break.

Still no rain 😩 Been drizzle on the bigger hills around Hobart with some spots sneaking 5-10mm, but nothing on the flats. Looks like it will continue fraction day or two. Looking at Melbourne the driest March and driest February-March records look pretty certain to fall now. That’s pretty significan...

Zero mm here for the front. Progs had 2-10mm. Thats probably it for the month, and headed for a total of about 15mm. Melbournes on track for a March low record, and would guess Hobart and Melbourne are both going to see a February-March record low. Perth is also running record dry though for more th...

Unfortunately another long long dry spell. Not strong highs but just enough to push all the rain north and south of Victoria, and limit rain for TAS to the western half. Temperatures are pretty close to average, perhaps a little above or below. Dry soils mean we will start to see some chilly nights ...

Max of 16C here yesterday. Squeezed out a couple of high based coldies. Was a few flurries on the mountain, with better snow around Mt Field and Ben Lomond. Looks like the long dry continues. A few fronts embed in the westerlies will dump in southwest TAS, but besides that could well be more or less...