Search found 461 matches

by Blackie
Tue Jan 26, 2021 11:46 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Return of heat followed by possible rain and storms: January 20-30
Replies: 65
Views: 3216

Re: Return of heat followed by possible rain and storms: January 20-30

Nice to see it so green there HB. Hiked around Badger's Creek a couple of weeks ago and was similarly green.

We got 17mm here so pretty happy.

Oddly, BOM just issued a STW for this area and further NE but the band is now clearing to the east. Any clues as to why?
by Blackie
Sun Jan 24, 2021 6:18 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Return of heat followed by possible rain and storms: January 20-30
Replies: 65
Views: 3216

Re: Return of heat followed by possible rain and storms: January 20-30

Calm and misty down here in Walkerville. Nice morning. Here’s a photo looking west towards Venus Bay from the back deck :D https://pbs.twimg.com/media/EsXXjhBVkAALJCI?format=jpg&name=large Beautiful photo HB. Hot here like everywhere. Cloud is tempering things a bit though. This part of the NE real...
by Blackie
Tue Jan 05, 2021 12:55 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Finally a storm outbreak first week of the New Year??
Replies: 207
Views: 11135

Re: Finally a storm outbreak first week of the New Year??

I feel quite inadequate reporting another 10mm to 9am :). Pretty good result though, 41mm for the (extended) event and radar suggests it's not over yet. (PS: I'm another softie - the wood fire hasn't stopped here for a few days, but to be fair its consistently 10-13C, with no sun and no chance to w...
by Blackie
Tue Dec 22, 2020 8:46 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Rain and storms: December 21-23
Replies: 56
Views: 4259

Re: Rain and storms: December 21-23

15mm here Bayside (with 10mm in Mansfield being a nice surprise). Looking for to a wet day and the subsequent greening up of Melbourne over the next week :)
by Blackie
Sun Dec 06, 2020 10:31 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Possible STORMS - hot and cold Dec 5/6
Replies: 68
Views: 5545

Re: Possible STORMS - hot and cold Dec 5/6

Rain last 24hrs in Tasmania: Fisher River 34mm, Mt Victoria 33mm, Scottsdale 26mm, Cressy 18mm, Launceston 15mm, Hobart 8mm Good to see Tasi still getting decent falls. Maybe snow there again tomorrow? 8mm here nice n slow over 5 hours yesterday and chilly up in the High Country. Lovely shot HB.
by Blackie
Mon Nov 16, 2020 1:09 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Low / Trough 15 - 16 Nov
Replies: 35
Views: 2803

Re: Low / Trough 15 - 16 Nov

Apparently we got 0.4mm of mud last night :o Only sign of it is the brown cars and the 0.4mm on my AWS. Another week of not much coming up. Maybe something significant next weekend :?: Yeah it's gone from soft, wet ground to dry here in two weeks thanks to all the south easterlies and warmer temps....
by Blackie
Sat Oct 31, 2020 1:30 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.
Replies: 63
Views: 5489

Re: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.

I am thinking of heading out on a chase up to Benalla around lunchtime as a possible target area. On the BoM grid point wind charts, shear does not look great and steering is weak from the SE, so anything will be slow moving. Conditions look similar to yesterday, so not expecting anything SW of abo...
by Blackie
Fri Oct 30, 2020 4:47 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.
Replies: 63
Views: 5489

Re: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.

STW just issued for here. Absolutely beautiful structure going on in all directions at the moment. Snapped this monster NE of Mansfield a short time ago.
by Blackie
Wed Oct 28, 2020 5:09 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.
Replies: 63
Views: 5489

Re: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.

A little time lapse of the cu development today around here.

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=8WV697F0RJ8

Best looking sky so far this Spring. Hoping for a repeat tomorrow and Friday.
by Blackie
Wed Oct 28, 2020 2:30 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.
Replies: 63
Views: 5489

Re: Trough with low to our north: 27-31 October.

Today looks promising for a break in our storm drough. Widespread storms central through east. Some will sneak into the west. Weak steering, so will be slow moving and pulse. LI drop to around -4 at a minimum so very unstable. On these days the sea breeze can keep storms away from the coast, though...
by Blackie
Sat Oct 24, 2020 10:39 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: another 1 or 2 lows tracking SE over Vic 22 Oct - ?
Replies: 119
Views: 9876

Re: another 1 or 2 lows tracking SE over Vic 22 Oct - ?

A soaking 40mm in the gauge here with most falling between 4-8am. Very heavy at times . Takes our mtd to 115mm. As Onehauti said, it's not over until the last drop falls. And while the temptation is to turn negative Nancy before before events are even properly underway, again this event has proved a...
by Blackie
Sat Oct 17, 2020 3:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another low tracking south over Vic/Tas 16-19 Oct
Replies: 80
Views: 7684

Re: Another low tracking south over Vic/Tas 16-19 Oct

Storms developing sw and east of here as forecast. Some decent totals in quicktime with Wang getting 20mm in 25mins.
Nice hearting with sun out so this should enhance cells.
by Blackie
Sat Oct 17, 2020 9:45 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another low tracking south over Vic/Tas 16-19 Oct
Replies: 80
Views: 7684

Re: Another low tracking south over Vic/Tas 16-19 Oct

We got the higher side of the forecast here at 25mm event total so far. Steady and wet night. Dew point around 15C so feeling damp. Creeks and gullies have again come back to life after last week's heavy flows. Will check out rivers later. Eildon will hit 65% today which is an increase of just shy o...
by Blackie
Thu Oct 15, 2020 6:38 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another low tracking south over Vic/Tas 16-19 Oct
Replies: 80
Views: 7684

Re: Another low tracking south over Vic/Tas 16-19 Oct

Had a few rumbles and some moderate rain now. Nice! looking forward to more throughout the evening. Saturday looking good for heavier rain and a resumption of riverine flooding up this way.
by Blackie
Thu Oct 08, 2020 11:52 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October
Replies: 188
Views: 17570

Re: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October

Incredible totals in Tas again TD. Still coming down here passing through 50mm for the event so far. May get another 10-20mm by morning looking at the radar.
by Blackie
Thu Oct 08, 2020 8:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October
Replies: 188
Views: 17570

Re: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October

No dud here approaching 40mm now and rain continuing. Biggest 24hrs for some time. Lot's of gushers flowing into Eildon so should reach 60% tomorrow.
by Blackie
Thu Oct 08, 2020 1:44 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October
Replies: 188
Views: 17570

Re: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October

Yeah Twister great falls over a large part of the state and still coming.Closing in on 32mm for the event so far in Mansfield. Loving the wrap. Now turned cold with the westerlies. Oh and a couple of good cells passed here in the wee hours with loud thunder that seemed to echo on and on.
by Blackie
Wed Oct 07, 2020 5:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October
Replies: 188
Views: 17570

Re: Warm with possible heavy falls developing: First week of October

Is forecasting a mere 10% of the original progs classified as a fizzer to anyone else? 3 to 8mm, compared to 30 to 80 (roughly) just days ago 😡😡😡 Not unless you have the ability to actually see into the future. This thing is just cranking up now. Perhaps reserve conclusions until the conclusion :P
by Blackie
Sat Sep 26, 2020 8:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low and cold outbreak: September 22-29
Replies: 102
Views: 9666

Re: Deep low and cold outbreak: September 22-29

Great event for many. Did a little snow chase today and found quite a bit up around Tolmie circa 900 m. Tons of low lying snow in all directions around the high country. The mountain shot is Mt Timbertop. Buller was in cloud and snow most of the day but will look spectacular tomorrow if the cloud cl...
by Blackie
Tue Sep 22, 2020 6:36 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deep low and cold outbreak: September 22-29
Replies: 102
Views: 9666

Re: Deep low and cold outbreak: September 22-29

Couple of heavy, wintry showers here today. 7mm since midnight. and we're just shy of 700mm YTD (LTA 732mm).