Search found 3121 matches

by Jake Smethurst
Mon Jan 20, 2020 12:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

@Jake @Robyn Was there a new easier way to post pics coming ? We did have an easier method direct in the forum, but it became non-compatible when we upgraded (we're working on bringing this back). Best way for now is to upload via attachments when replying or via an image host service such as https...
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 8:25 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

James wrote:
Sun Jan 19, 2020 7:55 pm
is that all for today, or is the conditions there for storms to form overnight?
Conditions remain favorable for further shower and thunderstorm development overnight, but it will be hit and miss so you'll have get lucky. There is still quite a lot of instability out there and convergence.
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 6:49 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Good to hear, Adam! Better safe than sorry!

Thunder getting louder here in Cheltenham, must be from the non-severe stuff moving south now.
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 6:35 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

That cell showing some interesting signatures, Adam. Probably going to pack a bit of a punch! Is the car parked under cover? :P

Can still hear rumbles here, not sure from which cells.
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 6:17 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Doppler shows possible rotation west of Lancefield Yep, wouldn't want to be in the path of that storm. It's split off the rest of the flow now and likely producing large hail and damaging winds plus the heavy rain. The cell southwest of Gisborne is becoming interesting, meanwhile the thunderstorm n...
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 5:45 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Definitely a hook again, look at it move away from the rest of the storm. Supercell!
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 4:50 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Hook echo on the latest frame? I reckon Reed Timmer would agree with that! ...and so would I. I think so!! Will be interesting to see any reports out of that area. have seen plenty of large hail pics. Overall storm is weakening as it enters the bay. P.S. just getting hail now here in Cheltenham, bu...
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 4:24 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Hook echo on the latest frame?
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 4:08 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Definitely as you say Flyfisher! Will bypass here to the north as it continues it's trajectory away from the other storms. Constant thunder here now in Cheltenham. Have seen videos of flash flooding and hail online already from this cell, intense stuff! EDIT: Maybe it won't miss, look at the latest ...
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 19, 2020 3:40 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-23rd Jan 2020

Awesome pics! Can just start to hear the thunder in Cheltenham!

From Moorabbin DFO.
20200119_152610.jpg
20200119_152610.jpg (1.57 MiB) Viewed 352 times
by Jake Smethurst
Fri Jan 17, 2020 12:14 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Managed 24.6mm from the storms the other day. Was kept absolutely flat out at work from about 4pm-9pm because of the storms, was crazy! Very interesting period on the way as analysed so well by our members here :) Weekend looks stormy in general, particularly Sunday with locally heavy falls in thund...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Jan 15, 2020 12:38 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Very complex day overall, but it won't take much for thunderstorms to develop today. Exceptionally unstable with a very moist airmass. Of course focus will be particularly near and just ahead of the trough where forcing is greatest, but the atmosphere is that unstable thunderstorms require little fo...
by Jake Smethurst
Tue Jan 14, 2020 11:28 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-26th Jan 2020
Replies: 504
Views: 19593

Re: Victoria - Warm then more rain - 13th-20th Jan 2020

Horribly disgusting out there! Shocking visibility earlier and the humidity is just making it feel even worse. Can't wait for these conditions to be gone (not likely until later tomorrow).

At least we have possible storms to keep us distracted over the next little while :)
by Jake Smethurst
Sat Jan 11, 2020 7:18 pm
Forum: Forum News, Information & Updates
Topic: Forum Changes and Upgrades
Replies: 39
Views: 39461

Re: Forum Changes and Upgrades

Saturday 11th January 2020 - New website A new front-facing website was launched at the beginning of the New Year to go alongside our recently refreshed forum. Users can find links on the homepage ( https://theaustralianweatherforum.com/ ) to the latest Bureau of Meteorology warnings, a selection o...
by Jake Smethurst
Mon Jan 06, 2020 12:58 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020
Replies: 109
Views: 4073

Re: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020

Had 12.2mm to 9am today, which makes it 14.2mm over a couple of days and have had a further 0.4mm since then. That'll be it I'd say, definitely was good to hear rain on the roof again :P Friday does appear to be the next temperature and fire spike day, but of course will be all about timing of the c...
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:34 pm
Forum: New South Wales / Australian Capital Territory
Topic: Canberra/ACT: Day to Day Weather Talk
Replies: 40
Views: 11434

Re: Canberra/ACT: Day to Day Weather Talk

How did you go, Nick?

Smoky conditions today I'm hearing?
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Jan 05, 2020 4:31 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020
Replies: 109
Views: 4073

Re: Victoria - More heat and then some rain? - January 2nd to 5th 2020

Just 3mm here thus far, but better than nothing! :)

As HB mentioned, will shift south a bit tonight and then back over fire zones tomorrow.

*Click on image to play*

Image
by Jake Smethurst
Fri Jan 03, 2020 11:19 pm
Forum: The Lounge
Topic: Welcome to our Weatherzone friends
Replies: 52
Views: 13823

Re: Welcome to our Weatherzone friends

SsswanssS wrote:
Fri Jan 03, 2020 3:04 pm
Hi all finally made it here from WZ
Welcome SsswanssS :) Don't forget to add your location etc in your user settings :D
by Jake Smethurst
Tue Dec 31, 2019 11:35 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Dec 23-31 2019 - Warming up with a strong front to end the Year
Replies: 136
Views: 6390

Re: VIC - Dec 23-31, 2019 Warming up with a strong front to end the Year?

Was woken up by some rain and thunder overnight, haven't heard that on the roof for a while, just goes to show how dry it's been! Regarding the fires, a relative of mine lives in Clifton Creek. Their property was ablaze last night from one of the significant fires (which was spotting ahead). They ha...