Search found 3063 matches

by Jake Smethurst
Sun Mar 24, 2019 6:01 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Humid with showers and storms, followed by strong front: March 22-26
Replies: 93
Views: 4311

Re: Humid with showers and storms, followed by strong front: March 22-26

Pretty strong forcing and volatile atmosphere this evening, wouldn't be surprised to see some storms persist into the night, including over the Melbourne area. They'll pack a punch in-terms of wind too. Already development across several parts of the state. Might be an interesting night.
by Jake Smethurst
Thu Feb 28, 2019 5:50 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Return of heat: Feb 24 to March 5
Replies: 91
Views: 5818

Re: Return of heat: Feb 24 to March 5

Blimey it's warm out there! Bit of convection bubbling away, some thundery showers to the west of Melbourne and over the eastern ranges. Will have to check how high we got to today a bit later. Maybe a thundery shower to come.
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Feb 06, 2019 7:16 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

Little burst just to the NW of the city, hopefully that can make it here. Convergence zone pretty much over us currently.

Looking towards bay from our place, just black!

EDIT: Good view of some lightning now, and hear thunder. Scuddy stuff swirling around.
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Feb 06, 2019 6:12 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

The Sheoaks cell is nasty. Doppler had some very interesting returns on it during last little while. Sheoaks has also seen nearly 22mm in quick time! Definitely also moving more E than SE in my opinion. Will be interesting to see what else develops in the area. EDIT: That main band does appear to be...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Feb 06, 2019 3:28 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

Yep, some more local convective development ahead of the main band currently. Still touch and go as to whether Melbourne region will see local development, or if we'll have to rely on the band later (EC this morning had this decaying as it reached central parts though :| ). Amazing looking satellite...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Feb 06, 2019 2:26 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

The southern portion of the band is unfortunately sparking a few fires (rain isn't has widespread). One west of Terang has 11 appliances attending. It is extremely dry down that way, so hopefully some rain will quickly follow-up.
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:38 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

Definitely an unstable day out there. Judging by both the models and obs, appears trough has slowed more than anticipated. Would suggest to me the focus for shower and thunderstorm activity will be about the western districts (as playing out now). EC particularly keen on thunderstorm activity out t...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Feb 06, 2019 1:16 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

Definitely an unstable day out there. Judging by both the models and obs, appears trough has slowed more than anticipated. Would suggest to me the focus for shower and thunderstorm activity will be about the western districts (as playing out now). EC particularly keen on thunderstorm activity out th...
by Jake Smethurst
Mon Feb 04, 2019 10:56 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms

Nice to get a much more milder day thrown into the mix, had started to forget what these types of temps felt like :-P Also just quickly, the BoM's "Simpson South" rainfall site for January (which is on the family farm), had their driest January on record. Just 2.0mm. Records began 1968. That part of...
by Jake Smethurst
Sun Feb 03, 2019 5:36 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC: First week of Feb 2019 - A break in the pattern, hot then showers/storms
Replies: 269
Views: 14518

Re: First week of Feb 2019 - a break in the pattern?

One can clearly see the smoke plumes on the latest satellite imagery. Hopefully conditions ease and firefighters can get on top of the nasty ones.
Smoke 2019-02-03 173531.jpg
Smoke 2019-02-03 173531.jpg (308.44 KiB) Viewed 1220 times
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Jan 30, 2019 6:56 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

Another burst of heavy rain and frequent lightning/thunder here in Cheltenham. Amazing few storms! Seems to be easing off now and clearing out to the east. Was fun while it lasted :D By the way, great video Stevco! You did well! rumbling thunder in the distance...but cant see much lightning is more ...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Jan 30, 2019 6:19 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

Had a short burst of heavy rain, but haven't seen any significant falls like some other places. We had multiple cells pass close by, just continuous thunder and very frequent lightning, including a few flangs also! Was awesome, one of the most lightning active storms I've seen in a very long while. ...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Jan 30, 2019 5:26 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

Squeezed between two lots of storms here in Cheltenham. Have heard plenty of thunder and the wind is very gusty. Plenty of branches flying around thanks to this current dry spell. A few drops on the roof, but missing most currently. Amazing looking cells out there! Development to the northwest of Me...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Jan 30, 2019 4:43 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

Going to be some car damage looking at those radar frames :? Definitely! Radar indicating plenty of new cells with black cores developing or existing storms able to reach that severity. Should be an interesting afternoon and evening, hopefully not too much damage. Winds also will be an issue. The c...
by Jake Smethurst
Wed Jan 30, 2019 4:21 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

That storm east of Macedon and west of Wallan looks severe. Doppler indicating strong winds (and maybe large hail)! Severe Thunderstorm Warning - Melbourne Area for DAMAGING WINDS, HEAVY RAINFALL and LARGE HAILSTONES For people in Inner East, Inner, Northern, Geelong and Bellarine Peninsula and part...
by Jake Smethurst
Tue Jan 29, 2019 4:33 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

Reached 36.6 degrees here in Moorabbin today, slightly behind the CBDs top of 36.8 degrees. Southerly has kicked in now with a lovely refreshing cooler temperature of 29! :) More hot weather tomorrow ahead of the change. Freshening and at times locally gusty winds over the state, but particular west...
by Jake Smethurst
Sat Jan 26, 2019 8:33 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019
Replies: 145
Views: 8104

Re: VIC - Hot and humid with showers and storms: Last week of January 2019

Heat returning from Monday and building each day ahead of the system later in the week, though not to the extreme heat we have seen over the last few days or so. Wednesday looks like the hottest out of the sequence with high 30's across most western and central districts, slightly cooler through the...
by Jake Smethurst
Sat Jan 26, 2019 4:42 pm
Forum: Forum News, Information & Updates
Topic: Forum Changes and Upgrades
Replies: 32
Views: 29590

Re: Forum Changes and Upgrades

Saturday 26th Jan 2019 - 4:42PM AEDT A minor update to the forum today ( from 3.2.4 to 3.2.5 ) to bring it up to the latest version and fix some minor pesky bugs! There was a brief outage of the forum for around 10 minutes, but all back up and running! Please note, there are a few further minor upd...
by Jake Smethurst
Sat Jan 26, 2019 11:38 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 17943

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

Here's a snippet from BoM regarding yesterdays temperatures and records. :o
VICTEMPRECORDS 2019-01-26 113727.jpg
VICTEMPRECORDS 2019-01-26 113727.jpg (103.73 KiB) Viewed 515 times
by Jake Smethurst
Fri Jan 25, 2019 10:49 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: More heat and possible records: January 19-27
Replies: 303
Views: 17943

Re: More heat and possible records: January 19-27

Oh deary me is that rain I can hear on the roof!? Forgot what it had sounded like! Just a light shower passing through here.