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by Karl Lijnders
Thu Dec 19, 2013 10:10 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Dec 11 to 20 - Mainly dry and becoming hot
Replies: 132
Views: 56779

Re: Vic: Dec 11 to 20 - Mainly dry and becoming hot

A pretty hot day today with sunny skies. Chance of a thundery shower over the northern and eastern suburbs tonight and overnight with some mid level instabiltiy but rainfall less than 5mm. Should top out at 40C today. Weekend looks slow to start rainfall wise but it will start to move up from Bass S...
by Karl Lijnders
Mon Dec 16, 2013 10:55 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia
Replies: 1084
Views: 392078

Re: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia

Keep an eye on the impending MJO or monsoonal burst that is likely to develop around Christmas for northern Austrlaia. At least 3 TCs are possible out of this burst of weather and will likely see widespread rain and thunderstorms across the tropics that will move SE over the east and south of the co...
by Karl Lijnders
Mon Dec 16, 2013 10:53 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Vic: Dec 11 to 20 - Mainly dry and becoming hot
Replies: 132
Views: 56779

Re: Vic: Dec 11 to ? - Mainly dry, becoming hot, possible st

Looking like a great system coming up after some brief heat. I think we can look forward to some temps in the 35-38C range for Melbourne. Cannot quite see the 40C mark just yet as I think moisture and cloud will develop and afternoon showers and thunderstorms, not widespread, will feature in the sta...
by Karl Lijnders
Wed Jun 19, 2013 1:25 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: 11th June onwards - Cut off low
Replies: 129
Views: 55294

Re: 11th June onwards - Cut off low

Looking like an end to a very wet period across VIC today with the last of the showers pushing off to the east tonight. What a drenched landscape it is. From record falls in the NW, and Melbourne over the first two weeks, now it is the Gippsland regions turn with up to 400mm over the past week. Now ...
by Karl Lijnders
Fri Jun 14, 2013 7:43 am
Forum: Social Soapbox Archives
Topic: The Weight Loss Journey!!
Replies: 284
Views: 153511

Re: The Weight Loss Journey!!

I am glad you had a good time! I am having a rest week - however did 21km run on Monday and will do another 5km run tomorrow and 21km run on Sunday just gave my body a good rest in between.

Plan will be changing up in July as I go more resistence training and lessen the cardio.
by Karl Lijnders
Fri Jun 14, 2013 6:53 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: 11th June onwards - Cut off low
Replies: 129
Views: 55294

Re: 11th June onwards - Cut off low

Sitting on about 40mm for the event as well with just a tad over 27mm from last nights effort but a very very tight rainfall gradient. Seemed to be topographically enhanced with Wantirna picking up 15mm and lighter falls to Viewbank etc. Not much happening at the moment but further showers likely to...
by Karl Lijnders
Wed Jun 12, 2013 9:28 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: 11th June onwards - Cut off low
Replies: 129
Views: 55294

Re: 11th June onwards - Cut off low

Very good falls up and around the NW. 60mm in some spots, 40mm in the Swan Hill area and all of that heading south and east this afternoon. Rain will increase over the southern side of the divide from this afternoon and locally heavy falls developing overnight. Models generally missed the heavy fall...
by Karl Lijnders
Tue Jun 11, 2013 8:13 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: 11th June onwards - Cut off low
Replies: 129
Views: 55294

Re: 11th June onwards - Cut off low

Quite a few storms on the leading edge of the rain band as it is moving in from the NW. 15-20mm showing up in pockets in the Mallee and Riverlands at the moment and in SW and W NSW. Lots of cloud erupting in moist air. I think we will see rain developing overnight and increasing during tomorrow in M...
by Karl Lijnders
Tue Jun 11, 2013 7:38 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: 11th June onwards - Cut off low
Replies: 129
Views: 55294

Re: 11th June onwards - Cut off low

Models are looking very good this morning with extended period of wet weather for most of the state over the coming week. Scattered showers around VIC this morning mainly in C VIC. Should see that clear this morning with rain and thunderstorms developing over western and northern VIC later today. It...
by Karl Lijnders
Fri Jun 07, 2013 10:19 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: ENSO 2013 Prediction (5.2.13)
Replies: 10
Views: 14109

Re: ENSO 2013 Prediction (5.2.13)

The push towards a La Nina is starting to gain ground with the SOI continuing to move in the right direction, trade winds beginning to increase and SSTs really cooling across the E Pacific region. A moderate event looks on the cards with room for further strengthening in the event over the coming mo...
by Karl Lijnders
Fri Jun 07, 2013 9:50 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: June 6 - 8: Cold Front, trough
Replies: 28
Views: 12884

Re: June 6 - ??: Cold Front, trough

Had 18mm with the band of rain and local thunder this morning. NIce squall as it came through and not much of a drop in temp. Cold front has arrived now and dropped 8mm in quick time and sitting on 26mm for the event. Probably 1mm more in it and then a generally fine afternoon. Place is an absolute ...
by Karl Lijnders
Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:14 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras, Carl Young killed chasing Tornado
Replies: 5
Views: 10959

Re: Tim Samaras, Paul Samaras, Carl Young killed chasing Tor

They have upgraded the tornado in that region to an EF5.

http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMa ... rynum=2426" onclick="window.open(this.href);return false;
by Karl Lijnders
Thu Jun 06, 2013 7:13 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: June 6 - 8: Cold Front, trough
Replies: 28
Views: 12884

Re: June 6 - ??: Cold Front, trough

I think a reasonable burst of rain and wind overnight and tomorrow morning for southern areas. 10-25mm looks like a good bet about southern and mountain areas with a dusting of snow for the highlands (albeit washed away over the weekend). Next week looking like a messy situation but perhaps becoming...
by Karl Lijnders
Tue Jun 04, 2013 12:32 pm
Forum: Social Soapbox Archives
Topic: The Weight Loss Journey!!
Replies: 284
Views: 153511

Re: The Weight Loss Journey!!

Are you loving it!!? It is freezing here! I want the heat back so I can sweat it out and not be so hungry all the time.

I just had a few rolls of sushi! AMAZING!
by Karl Lijnders
Tue Jun 04, 2013 8:43 am
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia
Replies: 1084
Views: 392078

Re: Looking towards substantial rainfall for SE Australia

After the results of 80-100mm for many places and widespread 50mm falls across the state, it is a sign of what is to come from the Indian Ocean. Lots of moisture still tracking across the country and likely to see further heavy thundery rain events this winter and it will most likely remain mild and...
by Karl Lijnders
Tue Jun 04, 2013 8:41 am
Forum: Social Soapbox Archives
Topic: The Weight Loss Journey!!
Replies: 284
Views: 153511

Re: The Weight Loss Journey!!

Just on 32km of running the past two days. Quite sore now so heading to gym to do more upper body.

Eating has been good too and continuing to maintain a really good pattern of work, rest and play! :)
by Karl Lijnders
Tue Jun 04, 2013 8:41 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Rain Event - Thursday May 30th - June 4th 2013
Replies: 194
Views: 76836

Re: Rain Event - Thursday May 30th - June 4th 2013

No it does not feel like winter at all. Cool but very humid at this time. Just on 4mm overnight from heavy drizzle and light showers. Should see a few showers and thunderstorms with a change on Thursday/Friday with 10mm possible through much of southern VIC and up to 15mm along the ranges and coast....
by Karl Lijnders
Sat Jun 01, 2013 5:24 pm
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Rain Event - Thursday May 30th - June 4th 2013
Replies: 194
Views: 76836

Re: Rain Event - Thursday May 30th - June 4th 2013

LOL! Sounds perfect Anthony! I finished with a whopping 101.4mm for the evening. Had a tremendous storm at around 920pm last night that contained hail and strong winds and torrential rain. It was followed by another storm at around 10pm with strong winds and very heavy rain. Then it was thundery rai...
by Karl Lijnders
Fri May 31, 2013 10:35 am
Forum: Australian Weather Archives
Topic: Rain Event - Thursday May 30th - June 4th 2013
Replies: 194
Views: 76836

Re: Rain Event - Thursday May 30th - June 4th 2013

Yeah ILS certainly has the feel for it. I think GFS has handled this system appallingly just quietly so I would take this run like the others with a grain of very fine salt. That said, unchanged forecast for mine. Widespread 20-50mm across the state, 50-100mm over northern areas and the northeast is...
by Karl Lijnders
Fri May 31, 2013 8:02 am
Forum: Social Soapbox Archives
Topic: The Weight Loss Journey!!
Replies: 284
Views: 153511

Re: The Weight Loss Journey!!

Too good, let your hair down, have everything you want, smash the food and drink and then get back on it! LOL!