The Australian Weather Forum

Had good 66mm so 50% is run off and 50% soaking all day....to catch up last 2 months. There different times in 48hours 28th 2mm 29th 22mm 9.30am 29th 21mm 12pm 29th 17mm 5pm 30th 4mm 9am. To compare rain days is Januray 2020 is 5 days of 24mm out of 33mm average month. Januray 2021 is 4 days of 75.5...

Windy TV Chart almost got it right at 4pm time

Thundstorms likey delelopment in West and North West failed by this model chart by 2pm

But i think it will late in afternoon...

Its raining in Bendigo and that clear slot in West is terrible will dry up later.

Thundry in North and clear slot in West and Raincast update is the Grampians and near Horsham getting 50mm to 70mm and East mountains 50mm

Anyway the answer is wait for thundry cells to pop up thats the area go get.

I always think Northren Country is loophole dust bowl.

The system on Friday looks fast moving and maybe 25mm and if from Thunderstorm is more heavy like micoburst.

IF the system start pouring in SA and moist river cut off from NT then VIctoria get less.

La Niña and High Pressure Eastlery Dip is hopless.

Another loop hole of Greater Bendigo mmmmm just 5mm

December 1st to 23rd 24mm

January 3rd 4.5mm
26th 5mm

OH well wait to Friday system if helps anotherwise East...

The trough and eastlery dip is very lazy not bring enough Rain to SE Australia as the SE wind of High Pressure made it dry.

I think 5 days Heatwave is long enough before big switch dry to late La Niña wet.

For Bendigo

THURS - 34c
FRI - 35c
SAT 36c
SUN 42c
MON 43c

Heat wave over 40c this weekend might be first of year

Feels wntery today in middle of summer, its common get some quick cold days.

19.7c at 12.45pm

While we have boring Hot weather until next 9 Days is Cold cut off Upper low is trapped snd moving to SE Australia bring wet..Too Early Chart might change.

Felt like summer is late and impressive that Southlery wind is colder.

Warm to Hot coming very short days to next cool change.

The mix is La Nina and Solar Cycle .

Our stormchaser chapter is closed and tropical is leaving US to switch to heatwave from WA but too early yet by GFS charts

Bendigo is 28c very good recipe and there no action yet wait jet stream from West move in shft wind shear.

I only had 4mm for Kangaroo Flat VIC.

I think thunderstorms will blow up somewhere from SW to East all along divded ranges Victoria later as trough axis sits in off Bass Strait waters

The trough axis is moving very strong seem pushing humid out Eastward

Looks like the trough line start shifting Eastward from SA/VIC border.

Looking West of Kangaroo Flat , now first raining of year

Clear slot in West good sign somthing will fireup while warming up later.

Very weak storm west of Bendigo slipping away.