The Australian Weather Forum

24C here so about 29C at sea level. Beaut day, though awfully dry with the dewpoint frequently negative. Will dry out really quickly if this goes on for long :o Hot windy dry one tomorrow. Severe fire danger in the Mallee :? With Hillbilly on this won't spell a good ending in terms of fire danger n...

Both the 18z GFS, 12Z EC have a thickness bubble of 524 appearing in the runs. ICON also on board for snow to low levels. Just timing of a 12-hour gap is the only thing the models seem to be disagreeing on but otherwise are all on the same page with the event of a Strong Cold Front. Be Interesting a...

Initial frontal Boumdary has just moved through Mt Danadenong and after a brief mix of snow and rain in Olinda. As the coldest air starts to move in should peak by 4am. Just had a snow shower with more cells moving off the bay Round 3 should be soon and hopefully more intense.

King Island down below 6c between 10pm and 11pm as Cold Pool affects the island may still further drop. So likely airmass COLDER then projected by the models. Currently 5.7c as at 10:20pm

What link do you use @Hillbilly for the tide predictions and tracking? For the Bays this one’s good. You can spot the surges by the change from day to day. It’s actually really hard to compare a lot of the data as there are so many “standard tide heights”. The record for the top of the bay is near ...

What link do you use @Hillbilly for the tide predictions and tracking?

Looks as if the ACCESS-C wants it's totals around 60-80mm in the west of VIC, while Melbourne's totals are a mixed bag, Agree looks as if a decent convergence line will form and trigger storms some SEVERE overnight Wednesday into Thursday Morning. But weather or not Melbourne will see these SEVERE T...

Back to near 40c again for here today. All moisture in the ground basically gone now. First initial look at a mesoscale level on Access C for the 12z run. One thing I noticed is it projecting through northern Vic into central areas a mean wind speed of 40 to 60 knots @900 hPa (1000m ASL) from 8am t...

Waiting on the ACCESS-R to get in Friday Afternoon range as for Thursday it showing a scorcher of near 45c in parts of the Lower South East forecast district of SA. Then that heat likely to pulse to maximum intensity by 2pm-3pm Friday Afternoon in Melbourne. If the change or cold front don't cross V...

mine has jumped again.. was 36/25 this morning now 43/25 http://www.bom.gov.au/vic/forecasts/fire-danger-ratings.shtml Live in the same suburb and this won't be good. Latest EC Hi-Res wants to keep 850mb temps at 27-28c near Black Saturday Thresholds with winds ever slightly increasing in each new ...

With Hillbilly on this if this Cold Front doesn't get to Melbourne by midday Friday a maximum of 46c is not out of the question and what will seem like a nice very hot day we undoubtedly turn in to one hell on earth day. If progs continue the way they are I am expecting at least "CODE RED"...

So what a eventful day of rain and storms, copped a good amount of HEAVY RAINFALL and above what the BoM where expecting of 30mm. Got 34.4mm out here in Wantirna South according to the Scoresby AWS. 37mm down the road at the Knox Retarding Basin. Unfortunately as said in this thread throughout the e...

Prepare for the HEAVY RAIN and keep an eye out for pop-up storms as they fire off the current obs of 18c Dew Points around Melbourne and the bay, a few storms and the arrival of the rain band. Might see of us get close if not the 30mm as forecast, more like 15mm if you don't get a thunderstorm. So n...

Yeah, I'm keeping an eye on the band just hitting Horsham now. That's our one chance... [/quote] Agree totally as both StratoBendigo and JasmaineStorm have said one chance likely with this rain band coming from Horsham way. It is moving SE but more hope we get a few of these thundery showers moving ...

Storms now firing up all over western VIC and should add some nice rains to parts of parched western VIC. Should see a few reach Melbourne over the next 3 hours or so before the action heads North. Looks though as the steady rainband misses to the North but before we all complain let's hope it goes ...