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by snowfall
Thu Mar 28, 2024 10:56 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another long dry spell for most: March 22-
Replies: 10
Views: 646

Another long dry spell for most: March 22-

Yeah it's hard to put much faith in the models next week, especially when we are still quite a few days away and they're jumping all over the place. One thing to note, but still can't be all that confident, is that GFS is at least showing more activity this time. In the past couple of months, it has...
by snowfall
Sat Mar 23, 2024 9:55 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Another long dry spell for most: March 22-
Replies: 10
Views: 646

Another long dry spell for most: March 22-

A bit of drizzle this morning, but nothing meaningful.

We really need some rain now. But unfortunately it's still looking dry for the period ahead. If we end up with only 3mm for March, which seems likely, that would make it the driest month I have ever experienced living here.
by snowfall
Wed Mar 20, 2024 1:10 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20
Replies: 21
Views: 1204

Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20

Nothing here unfortunately. Currently on 15c, which is our max so far for the day, so a fairly cool and windy one.
by snowfall
Mon Mar 18, 2024 10:24 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20
Replies: 21
Views: 1204

Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20

Yeah it's not looking promising for this week. Maybe parts of the north/north east of Vic might also get a bit. West central and further west is looking mostly dry now. Model runs seem highly volatile at the moment, which is never a great sign. This has been an extreme couple of months. We've had a ...
by snowfall
Tue Mar 12, 2024 12:05 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

19c and dark and cloudy this morning.

GFS is still not interested in much rain this week in Vic, except maybe east Gippsland. Other models are a bit over the place, but have generally downgraded overall. Might be something better in a week's time, but it's a long way out.
by snowfall
Mon Mar 11, 2024 12:06 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

Glad you got some rain HB. A bit of cloud around today, which feels like it's taking the edge off it a bit, although it's still 30c here at the moment after an overnight low of 21c. Hopefully we'll still see some rain on Wednesday/Thursday, but there is a wide divergence between models. In the lates...
by snowfall
Sun Mar 10, 2024 10:21 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

24.9c was the minimum here. I'd have to go back through my records, but I reckon it would have been many years since last having an overnight minimum that high, if at all. For the coming week, there's still a fair bit of movement on the models. At this stage, rainfall totals are looking fairly modes...
by snowfall
Sun Mar 10, 2024 12:06 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

Adam38 wrote: Sat Mar 09, 2024 7:46 pm A stinker for March! 39c here with a reasonably highish dew point too. AC will be on all night tonight.
Yep, the aircon will be on all night here too. It’s midnight, and still a crazy 29c…
by snowfall
Sat Mar 09, 2024 5:33 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

As forecast by non-BoM organisations months ago. As I said many posts ago, March is the turning point. La Nina is already forming. Unsure why BoM has gone with a drier than normal 3 months ahead for the whole of Australia. Seems to be their "go-to" forecast these days. It'll just put them...
by snowfall
Sat Mar 09, 2024 10:54 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

A very concerning few days ahead with regard to fire potential. Hope everyone stays safe. It's already pushing 30c here this morning. Not too windy at the moment, but will likely strengthen as the day goes on. What a summer. Over the past 6 weeks, we've had just 14mm. During the 6 weeks prior to tha...
by snowfall
Thu Feb 29, 2024 10:14 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot again: February 26-
Replies: 21
Views: 1474

Becoming hot again: February 26-

A late max of 33.4c here yesterday, once the cloud cleared. We had a short spell of spitty rain around midday but not enough to register in the gauge. Cool change arrived just after midnight but it still took several hours to take effect. We're only on about 12mm for the month. Very much below avera...
by snowfall
Fri Feb 23, 2024 10:12 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 24
Views: 1578

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

A terrible situation with the bushfire near Beaufort, which has already destroyed homes and farms. It would have been an awful, stressful night for people out that way. Hopefully it will get under control today. Unfortunately, it looks like we are in for a repeat next week, especially Wednesday, wit...
by snowfall
Tue Feb 13, 2024 3:42 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2493

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Incredible pic of the storm there stevco. Had a direct hit here. The wind was insane. We're lucky to have escaped any major damage, as I have never seen wind like that here before. 7.4 mmm from heavy, mostly sideways rain. It was all over in about half an hour. Now it's calm and 21c after hitting a ...
by snowfall
Mon Feb 12, 2024 8:53 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2493

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Sea breeze arrived here a couple of hours ago. Currently 20c after a max late this afternoon of 35c.
by snowfall
Sat Feb 10, 2024 9:36 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2493

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Had 3mm from drizzle overnight. Otherwise, it's very dry, with the landscape starting to brown off. We've had just 3.6mm since the 26th January and will likely end up with our first below average month since September. The synoptics are slow moving at the moment, with high pressure dominating across...
by snowfall
Sun Feb 04, 2024 8:37 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

34.7c here today. That’s the warmest this summer.

It’s a bit of a way out, but looks like there might be another big blast of heat early next week. Still no sign of any notable rain unfortunately…
by snowfall
Sun Feb 04, 2024 2:34 pm
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Not too bad of a morning. Hot but not too windy. Unfortunately, the wind has really picked up this afternoon with a very gusty northerly and a current temp of 33c. Luckily it's just one day of it and the ground and landscape still has moisture and greenery, so it won't be anything too destructive. I...
by snowfall
Sat Feb 03, 2024 10:13 am
Forum: General Weather Archives
Topic: A hot start to February with gusty winds.
Replies: 23
Views: 2076

Re: A hot start to February with gusty winds.

Not much to report at the moment, as this dry spell continues. Hot today and tomorrow. Not looking forward to the wind furnace tomorrow, with hot and gusty winds but thankfully it's only one day. Looking ahead, there's not too much to get excited about. Parts of Tas may do OK following the front on ...
by snowfall
Mon Jan 29, 2024 9:56 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3393

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Looks like a period of uneventful weather ahead, at least for the next 7 to 10 days. A very warm to hot weekend coming up, but otherwise fairly mild to warm for the rest of the time. At this stage, it seems there's very little if any rain on the horizon so a mostly dry period ahead, apart from weste...
by snowfall
Fri Jan 26, 2024 12:08 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3393

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Raining steadily here since late afternoon, plus a thunderstorm around midday. Just over 10mm.

Great to see the rain so widespread, and probably more so than most models predicted.