Search found 1364 matches

by JasmineStorm
Tue Sep 18, 2018 5:05 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Cool to mild with a sequence of fronts: September 18 to 24
Replies: 19
Views: 766

Re: Cool to mild with a sequence of fronts: September 18 to 24

A quick few mm here with that mini rain band.

Just spotted something quite interesting on the El Nino topic http://www.theaustralianweatherforum.co ... 46#p106546
by JasmineStorm
Tue Sep 18, 2018 3:45 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: La Nina - El Nino - IOD
Replies: 57
Views: 8719

Re: La Nina - El Nino - IOD

3.4 nino - has dipped again. Now closer to La Nina than El Nino. Models got August wrong as well. I've been waiting for the worm to turn but it's turning the other way for 3.4 nino :) Atmosphere is currently not in sync with the ocean in the Pacific. Maybe this might change soon, maybe it wont....pr...
by JasmineStorm
Sun Sep 16, 2018 9:42 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14
Replies: 64
Views: 2426

Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Nice Gordon. Snow flurries here yesterday evening and then a little dusting of snow on the vehicle overnight. 2nd year in a row for September snow here.
by JasmineStorm
Sat Sep 15, 2018 1:46 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14
Replies: 64
Views: 2426

Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Cold convection with that trough currently on the border is cranking. Mt Gambier near sea level went from 11c to 5c in the last 80 minutes :)
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 13, 2018 5:39 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14
Replies: 64
Views: 2426

Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

Access R has dropped a 524 thickness bubble over eastern parts of Melbourne, the Dandenong's and Yarra Valley on Saturday evening with moisture at 700 hPa. That would put snow in places like Monbulk if it verifies. EC has the upper trough getting a polar injection from 70 degrees south, over the Ant...
by JasmineStorm
Wed Sep 12, 2018 2:46 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14
Replies: 64
Views: 2426

Re: Mild, windy with the odd shower: September 9-14

GFS 00Z showing the coldest 500 hPa temp this year over central areas and snowing in Hamilton Saturday afternoon. Brutal cold shot if it verifies. Moisture @700 hPa has also upgraded in the last 24 hours.
by JasmineStorm
Fri Sep 07, 2018 6:37 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

great shots.

10mm was the end tally for here. Storm season is off and running :)
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 7:15 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

The BoM have finally come back from dinner and decided to issue a STW for Melbourne http://www.bom.gov.au/products/IDV21035.shtml
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:42 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

V-notch echo appeared on that bay storm. Diverging flow around a super cell updraft. Pop! :)
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 5:35 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

Water vapour in the mid level is increasing again west of Melbourne. Maybe trying to build a new squall line. Thinking the area west to northwest of Melbourne should fire shortly. Is strong convergence in this region between the westerly change and the northeasterly pre-frontal flow. Only 0.2mm in ...
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 4:39 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

some cracking cells across Vic in the last 30 min. Looks like that cell on the surf coast super celled around Torquay.

Water vapour in the mid level is increasing again west of Melbourne. Maybe trying to build a new squall line.
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 3:40 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

Boom! Sparks flying up here...CG's and CC's. They are moving quick

Saw a dark core appear near Euroa just after 3pm.
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:55 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

That sparking cluster heading towards Aireys inlet is motoring..... cloud tops in front of the trough now nearing -30c.
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 1:17 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

Nice summary Jake.

Here is my 2 cents worth on the 12.30pm sat image :)
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 10:53 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

Gravity wave clouds appearing over western and central areas of Victoria on the 10.20am sat pic, indicating winds aloft are starting to crank.
by JasmineStorm
Thu Sep 06, 2018 6:13 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018

Access C 12Z showing 40 to 50 knots at 700 hPa this afternoon moving into central areas. This should support the longevity of multi cell clusters that split around a squall line. There is also interesting levels of storm relative helicity on some models, indicating good cyclonic updraft rotation. I’...
by JasmineStorm
Wed Sep 05, 2018 6:39 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Change of season 23 Aug – 7 Sept

Some big vertical temperature differences on Thursday afternoon around the trough. Access R upgrading total totals to over 55 with moisture involved. This might produce an angry squall line and decent shelf cloud if that verifies.
by JasmineStorm
Tue Sep 04, 2018 7:55 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Victoria: Change of season - 23 Aug–7 Sept 2018
Replies: 167
Views: 5612

Re: Change of season 23 Aug – 7 Sept

Just extending the thread for a few more days.

Starting to look more volatile on Thursday. Total totals above 50 through central areas, there might be a spark or 2 followed by a band of rain :)