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The forum will receive an update on Saturday 15th December 2018 at around 9PM AEDT. There may be a short outage period while this occurs.

Search found 1532 matches

by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 2:21 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Looks like a multicell merge is underway in Melbourne's SE
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 1:47 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

I love it when it all comes together :)
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:42 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

@Macedonian, probably a micoburst on the front of the storm. Moisture plumes are going up again in the mid levels NE of here. Melbournian's.... keep a close eye on wind observations bayside. If they continue to swing back to the north this afternoon, there is potential for another local convergence ...
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 10:03 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Cracker of a storm. 15mm in 10 min, hail, constant strobe lightning, wall cloud. Airport recorded a gust of 74 km/h. Worst part was on the eastern flank, SE of here. Now up to 35mm, trying to catch up with the rest of the thread :) The mothership is still dragging moisture into big parts of Vic. Any...
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:44 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Flying eagle signature on the radar on the eastern flank now. It's Super-celling

Helmet on, batteries charged, candles in position
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 7:20 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

incoming!! High precip cell that is exploding on the eastern flank into North Central.
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 5:58 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Upper low has slightly moved NW in NSW. This will now have flow on impacts on the surface low, converging winds and where the conveyor belts launches new cells. BoM has issued a new warning area for the STW.

Also, with the wiggle of the lows, Tassie's NE about to cope a hiding
by JasmineStorm
Sat Dec 15, 2018 4:46 am
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Nice little total there Blackie. Another runaway rogue super charged by the jet above. Might get Geelong as well.

Keeping an eye of a pluming -60c cloud top beast coming into the NE Ranges at the moment.
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 8:28 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Not surprised Adam, you just got hit by another rogue cell.

@Stevco, lol. The conveyor belt is running between us.
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 8:14 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

This is totally nuts at the jet stream level. Upper cyclone is now a hybrid cut off jet, interacting with the subtropical jet. It is super charging the cells coming in from the east. https://earth.nullschool.net/#current/w ... 33.81,1811
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 7:30 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

400+ flood incidents on Emergency Vic at the moment.
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:57 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Dane wrote:
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:16 pm
Just cant a trick with this system. less than half a mm since 9am.
Melbourne water Altona reporting 48 mm's since 9am.
2 inches in no time. Saw the streets didn't cope too well in Altona https://twitter.com/i/status/1073480207443476480
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:48 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

In case anyone is interested - I've missed the centre of every cell so far here. 7mm for the day, 20mm for the thread …. can only laugh :D Just checked the water vapour image.....Upper low almost hasn't moved and the moisture in the mid levels haven't now dropped further south over Bass strait yet. ...
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:31 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

tonycynic wrote:
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:20 pm
On the radar I spotted this over Lilydale. Is that a hook or not?
Nice pick up. I just rewind the tape and it was a 'Flying eagle' or 'V-Notch echo near Lilydale. Monster updraft.... clear sign it was starting to super-cell at that stage of its life.
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 6:08 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Just for the records - 3 close up snaps of the Melbourne radar from 5pm to 5.20pm. CG's were fizzing around the city as the cell kept exploding.
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:48 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Melbourne OP 36mm and counting Few amateur gauges showing 50mm+ around the CBD. The very peak of that storm just passed north of OP. Peak rainfall rate I've seen is 18mm in 5 minutes at https://www.wunderground.com/personal-weather-station/dashboard?ID=IVCTEAST7#history 190 mm/h rate on that gauge :)
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:32 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Melbourne OP 36mm and counting
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:13 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Viewbank just had an inch and counting under that cell
by JasmineStorm
Fri Dec 14, 2018 5:06 pm
Forum: Weather Events & Observations
Topic: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec
Replies: 371
Views: 9567

Re: Major upper and surface lows 12–16 Dec

Popping nicely. The rare east to north east attack, this system doesn’t mind doing the unconventional :)