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by StratoBendigo
Thu Mar 21, 2024 10:06 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20
Replies: 21
Views: 1204

Becoming warm ahead of a stronger cold front: March 16-20

We managed 4mm on Tuesday. A very dry March. And nothing on the horizon either.

3.1c this morning. Coldest March minimum since the 2.3c we had on 30/3/2008.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Mar 07, 2024 9:49 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

Starting to see some hints of rain this time next week, along with temps cooling down a lot.

New ECMWF AIFS forecast is now available. Goes out to 360 hours.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Mar 05, 2024 2:29 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

I very much seeing strong parallels with March 2016 - both in terms of sea-surface temperatures and a transition from El-Nino to LaNina.

We had a spectacular heatwave in early March that year (3x 39c days in a row, and 8 days in a row over 35c), before things cooled off.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Mar 04, 2024 10:57 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: When will it rain? 1 March -?
Replies: 43
Views: 2172

When will it rain? 1 March -?

The long weekend looks horrible in Northern Vic. Disgusting heat is likely.

On a brighter note - looks quite a bit cooler from March 12th onwards.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Feb 28, 2024 3:44 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot again: February 26-
Replies: 21
Views: 1474

Becoming hot again: February 26-

80 km/h winds out West. Still a long way to go...
by StratoBendigo
Sat Feb 24, 2024 5:15 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot again: February 26-
Replies: 21
Views: 1474

Becoming hot again: February 26-

This reminds me of Feb 1995. A few stinking hot dry and windy days in late-Feb, before a cool March and April.

Wednesday does look quite dangerous. Could be a very gusty change.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Feb 22, 2024 2:28 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 24
Views: 1578

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Things are spiralling out-of-control between Ararat and Beaufort with a large bushfire bearing down on Mt Cole and nearby towns.

Very very dangerous, so stay well away from that region...
by StratoBendigo
Tue Feb 20, 2024 7:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28
Replies: 24
Views: 1578

Warm to hot with mostly dry changes. February 20-28

Where did that come from? Just got 14mm. A few flangs in the mix too.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Feb 13, 2024 9:32 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14
Replies: 45
Views: 2493

Becoming hot ahead of a change with possible rain and storms: February 10-14

Any chance the 500 kV towers going down near Lara was due to a tornado? Quite extreme damage tbh.
by StratoBendigo
Fri Jan 26, 2024 9:22 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3393

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Still raining here. Closing in on 20mm... The new Weeaproinah :). What's your mtd? Bendigo Airport MTD is 171mm. Second wettest January on record (since 1862). Fun fact - 250mm in Bendigo in the 31 days from December 24th to January 25th. About as wet as it can get for a one month length of time, a...
by StratoBendigo
Thu Jan 25, 2024 10:01 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3393

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Still raining here. Closing in on 20mm...
by StratoBendigo
Thu Jan 25, 2024 8:25 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3393

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

Now up to 14mm and still raining. What a January!
by StratoBendigo
Thu Jan 25, 2024 5:01 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27
Replies: 41
Views: 3393

Re: Becoming warm to hot, followed by showers: January 22-27

8 mm so far today. Chilly too.

We haven't gone over 36c here this January. That's very rare.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Jan 17, 2024 10:12 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

28mm and now clearing. Wettest January since 2011 (155mm so far).
by StratoBendigo
Wed Jan 17, 2024 8:04 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Pouring in Bendigo. Already more than 13mm and heaps more coming.

I can see this cold front delivering 20-30mm, easy.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:14 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

It's looking like another 15-30mm possible here this week. Quite humid again today, and easterly winds are picking up.

Incidentally, very wet overnight in Sydney.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 15, 2024 10:13 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

It's looking like another 15-30mm possible here this week. Quite humid again today, and easterly winds are picking up.

Incidentally, very wet overnight in Sydney.
by StratoBendigo
Sun Jan 14, 2024 9:31 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20
Replies: 58
Views: 5362

Re: Developing low with more rain and storms: January 15-20

Access-G also keeps throwing up weird inland deluges too for the next week or so.

Whacky. And rather tropical...
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 08, 2024 3:25 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Bendigo broke a daily rainfall record with this event - 92mm in the 24 hours to 9am. That's with records going back to 1862. Worth noting that it broke a record that's stood since March 1914 (a soft 87.6mm). In Kangaroo Flat we got 96mm in the April 2020 storm which ended the last drought. Just 70mm...
by StratoBendigo
Mon Jan 08, 2024 1:28 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10
Replies: 70
Views: 6351

Re: Deepening low with rains and storms: January 7-10

Campaspe River flood peak at Rochester expected tomorrow morning at around 114.8m.

Much lower than January 2011 and October 2022 floods (115.56m & 116m respectively).