Search found 1440 matches

by StratoBendigo
Thu Dec 12, 2019 4:09 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 311
Views: 14459

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

It's nice to see the +ve IOD finally dissipating. Water is boiling between Darwin and Timor at present, so something's got to give soon....
by StratoBendigo
Thu Dec 12, 2019 3:04 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Cooler with showers in the south: December 10-15 2019
Replies: 17
Views: 609

Re: VIC - Cooler with showers in the south: December 10-15 2019

Having broken the record for the coldest December maximum, it will be remarkable if we break the heat record in the same December :o ! (Hope we don't - cold records I quite enjoy, heat records not so much!) Weird stuff happens with a +ve IOD and -ve AAO. Wed-Fri next week is likely to be three 40c+...
by StratoBendigo
Thu Dec 12, 2019 2:55 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Cooler with showers in the south: December 10-15 2019
Replies: 17
Views: 609

Re: VIC - Cooler with showers in the south: December 10-15 2019

Having broken the record for the coldest December maximum, it will be remarkable if we break the heat record in the same December :o ! (Hope we don't - cold records I quite enjoy, heat records not so much!) Weird stuff happens with a +ve IOD and -ve AAO. Wed-Fri next week is likely to be three 40c+...
by StratoBendigo
Sun Dec 01, 2019 4:08 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Near Stationary, sharpening LWT 26 Nov - 2 Dec
Replies: 75
Views: 3032

Re: Near Stationary, sharpening LWT 26 Nov - 2 Dec

Well it's only made it to 14.0c for a max so far today. December Low Max record is 14.1c at the current site (27th Dec 1993). At old prison site it was 12.9c on 1st Dec 1969.

3mm today.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 28, 2019 5:00 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Near Stationary, sharpening LWT 26 Nov - 2 Dec
Replies: 75
Views: 3032

Re: Near Stationary, sharpening LWT 26 Nov - 2 Dec

Who remembers the November of 2017? I loved it! Warm moist Tropical Warmth for days on end with bubbling clouds. Who would have thought it's the exact same city this year :P Oh do I ever. Especially the grand finale supercell onslaught at the end of that month. Among the nastiest weather I can ever...
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 28, 2019 3:58 pm
Forum: The MET Centre
Topic: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)
Replies: 311
Views: 14459

Re: Climate Driver Discussion 2019 (Enso, IOD, PDO , SAM)

BOM Outlook for summer is out. Going for a damp WA, and dry Eastern Seaboard. Hot everywhere.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 28, 2019 3:54 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Near Stationary, sharpening LWT 26 Nov - 2 Dec
Replies: 75
Views: 3032

Re: Near Stationary, sharpening LWT 26 Nov - 2 Dec

Hmm i thought there was an earthquake, i didnt feel anything but certainly heard a sound like an explosion / thunder rumble that was not "normal" and it reminded me of other times i had heard it and turned out to be an earthquake..interesting Magnitude 2.1 centered between Rowville and Ferntree Gul...
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 27, 2019 8:51 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26 2019
Replies: 23
Views: 1111

Re: Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26

18c max yesterday and a near record low temp this late into the year thus morning (just 2.5c).

November 2019 will be colder than average, despite the record high temp last week...
by StratoBendigo
Tue Nov 26, 2019 11:50 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26 2019
Replies: 23
Views: 1111

Re: Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26

Cold, wet, and windy now. And just 11c. 1 mm in gauge.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Nov 26, 2019 9:41 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26 2019
Replies: 23
Views: 1111

Re: Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26

Well that was a fizzer. Just a couple of drops of rain and that's it. Fail.
by StratoBendigo
Mon Nov 25, 2019 8:07 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: VIC - Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26 2019
Replies: 23
Views: 1111

Re: Solid spring front and possible brief cut off: November 26

We're probably looking at around 10mm in the coming week. Total Fire Ban today though with a dry NWly...
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 21, 2019 2:15 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Half of Bendigo is out of power now. Mostly tree branches to blame. Sky is getting a darker shade of brown. Winds gusting to 50 kts. All a bit apocalyptic now.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 21, 2019 1:46 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Ended up hitting 41.9c. So hottest November temp ever.

Change is just to our West. Winds are gusting to 80 km/h. Humidity 6%. Sky is brown.

Bad fire near Rochester now.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:42 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Cool change is expected around 3-4pm here. That grassfire near Clunes isn't good at all.

Temp has hit 41.0c...
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 21, 2019 12:24 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

0.1c off the November record for the current AWS site (40.2c vs 40.3c). Howling Northerly gusting to 40 kts. Filthy.

There is a 1862-1957 Nov record of 41.4c. That might even be at risk.
by StratoBendigo
Thu Nov 21, 2019 10:32 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Already 37c and 70 km/h gusts. Lucky the grass is still a bit green around these parts.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 20, 2019 4:45 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Macca2395 wrote:
Wed Nov 20, 2019 4:26 pm
Wow! That’ll turn some heads.. When was the last time Vic had a catastrophic rating?
There was one issued on January 11, 2010. Not sure if there's one since.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 20, 2019 3:39 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Adam38 wrote:
Wed Nov 20, 2019 2:39 pm
November record broken at Nullarbor 46.6c with a -23.6 dp...
That's a One Percenter. Outlaw Bikie Gang territory.

They've since had the change blast through. DP now 14c.
by StratoBendigo
Wed Nov 20, 2019 2:31 pm
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

Yeah, not good in SA. They've deliberately turned off the power grid around Port Lincoln today as well... Gusting now to 85 km/h there. Nullabor up to 45.8c. Nov record for SA is 47.9 at Tarcoola on 30th Nov 1993.
by StratoBendigo
Tue Nov 19, 2019 10:14 am
Forum: Victoria / Tasmania
Topic: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019
Replies: 85
Views: 3788

Re: Victoria - Hot blast ahead of a milder change - 18th Nov to 21 Nov 2019

The two stand-out heatwaves for us in November are 1997 (40.3c), and 2009 (a string of mid to high-30c days for much of that month).

OCF ensemble is suggesting 39.6c on Thursday, so it'll be a short-lived but punchy blast of heat. It's the gale force winds that worry me....